---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:54 PDT

safe3step boys Shelby County 1
  
Shelby County         
W-L: ( 6-12) PR = 76.1021

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Collins ( 6- 9, 78.4) 6- 8 305 H South Oldham (12- 3, 96.6) 1-16 307 A Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 0-14 311 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 78.7) 4-13 314 H Male ( 4-10, 75.2) 10- 1 318 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 10- 7 320 A Central Hardin ( 3-10, 72.2) 12- 0 325 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 7- 7, 79.4) 9-13 409 H Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 3- 7 414 A Oldham County ( 0-10, 67.9) 17- 4 417 A Greenwood ( 7- 5, 80.4) 4-15 421 H Collins ( 6- 9, 78.4) 5-12 423 H Atherton ( 8- 4, 80.4) 4-11 429 H Walton-Verona ( 4-12, 73.5) 12- 3 501 A DeSales ( 8- 4, 76.1) 1- 9 506 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 1-12 508 N Oldham County ( 0-10, 67.9) 20- 2 509 A South Oldham (12- 3, 96.6) 1-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Collins                 6- 8      -2    -3           1.07
   305 H South Oldham            1-16     -15   -20           0.00
   307 A Dixie Heights           0-14     -14    -9           0.00
   311 A Cooper                  4-13      -9    -3          -1.62
   314 H Male                   10- 1       9     2    +      3.38
   318 A Great Crossing         10- 7       3    -3    ++     5.61
   320 A Central Hardin         12- 0      12     3           1.88
   325 A Paul Laurence Dunbar    9-13      -4    -4           0.06
   409 H Great Crossing          3- 7      -4    -1    -     -2.89
   414 A Oldham County          17- 4      13     7           0.00
   417 A Greenwood               4-15     -11    -5           0.00
   421 H Collins                 5-12      -7    -2    -     -3.44
   423 H Atherton                4-11      -7    -4          -1.49
   429 H Walton-Verona          12- 3       9     3           1.65
   501 A DeSales                 1- 9      -8    -1    --    -4.28
   506 H North Oldham            1-12     -11    -8           0.00
   508 N Oldham County          20- 2      18     8           0.00
   509 A South Oldham            1-20     -19   -21           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A DeSales                 1- 9      -8    -1    --    -4.28
   409 H Great Crossing          3- 7      -4    -1    -     -2.89
   421 H Collins                 5-12      -7    -2    -     -3.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Great Crossing         10- 7       3    -3    ++     5.61
   314 H Male                   10- 1       9     2    +      3.38

Shelby County Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Atherton Atherton Atherton  
Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Bluegrass Bluegrass   Bluegrass
Bowling Green Bowling Green tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bowling Green
Bryan Station Shelby County Shelby County   3- 3 vs 1- 4
Central Hardin Shelby County Shelby County  
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Christian Academy-Lo
Collins Collins Collins  
Cooper Cooper Cooper  
Covington Catholic Covington Catholic Covington Catholic   3- 2 vs 1- 4
DeSales DeSales DeSales  
Dixie Heights Dixie Heights Dixie Heights  
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual DuPont Manual   6- 1 vs 2- 5
Eastern Eastern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Eastern
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Frederick Douglass
Great Crossing Great Crossing insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Great Crossing
Greenwood Greenwood Greenwood  
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Louisville Collegiat
Male Shelby County Shelby County  
North Hardin Shelby County insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Shelby County
North Oldham North Oldham North Oldham  
Oldham County Shelby County Shelby County  
Owensboro Shelby County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shelby County
Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar  
Ryle Ryle insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 3) Ryle
Sayre Sayre tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Sayre
Scott County Shelby County Shelby County   3- 5 vs 0- 7
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham  
South Warren South Warren South Warren   3- 0 vs 1- 3
St Henry Shelby County Shelby County   2- 4 vs 0- 5
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Tates Creek insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 3) Tates Creek
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Trinity Louisville
Walton-Verona Shelby County Shelby County  
Woodford County Woodford County insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Woodford County

PowerWise = 9


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Collins         ( 6- 9, 78.4)     6- 8      -21.48      10.50       0.75         0.76           -15.69
   0 H South Oldham    (12- 3, 96.6)     1-16       -3.31      28.68      -0.75         0.76            -3.07
   0 A Dixie Heights   (12- 5, 84.5)     0-14      -15.35      16.63       0.75         0.76           -11.05
   0 A Cooper          ( 6- 8, 78.7)     4-13      -21.17      10.81       0.75         0.76           -15.45
   0 H Male            ( 4-10, 75.2)    10- 1      -24.67       7.31      -0.75         0.76             4.96
   0 A Great Crossing  ( 8-10, 78.0)    10- 7      -21.94      10.05       0.75         0.76             8.17
   0 A Central Hardin  ( 3-10, 72.2)    12- 0      -27.67       4.32       0.75         0.76             3.84
   0 A Paul Laurence   ( 7- 7, 79.4)     9-13      -20.49      11.49       0.75         0.76           -14.94
   0 H Great Crossing  ( 8-10, 78.0)     3- 7      -21.94      10.05      -0.75         0.76           -17.17
   0 A Oldham County   ( 0-10, 67.9)    17- 4      -31.98       1.00       0.75         0.76             1.33
   0 A Greenwood       ( 7- 5, 80.4)     4-15      -19.46      12.53       0.75         0.76           -14.15
   0 H Collins         ( 6- 9, 78.4)     5-12      -21.48      10.50      -0.75         0.76           -16.82
   0 H Atherton        ( 8- 4, 80.4)     4-11      -19.54      12.45      -0.75         0.76           -15.35
   0 H Walton-Verona   ( 4-12, 73.5)    12- 3      -26.40       5.58      -0.75         0.76             3.65
   0 A DeSales         ( 8- 4, 76.1)     1- 9      -23.83       8.16       0.75         0.76           -17.46
   0 H North Oldham    ( 9-10, 84.5)     1-12      -15.38      16.60      -0.75         0.76           -12.21
   0 N Oldham County   ( 0-10, 67.9)    20- 2      -31.98       1.00      -0.00         0.76             0.76
   0 A South Oldham    (12- 3, 96.6)     1-20       -3.31      28.68       0.75         0.76            -1.93
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -132.57

winning pts = 22.7085 losing points = -155.2769

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------