Bear River
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 75.4674Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Lincoln Sacramento ( 2-13, 73.0) 12- 8 305 H Roseville ( 9- 6, 78.2) 6- 5 312 A Lincoln Stockton (12- 3, 79.8) 4- 9 317 A Grant Union ( 0-12, 69.7) 6- 2 319 H Nevada Union (10- 6, 79.3) 5-10 324 A Oakmont ( 7- 8, 77.2) 5- 2 326 A Lincoln Sacramento ( 2-13, 73.0) 8- 7 331 A Roseville ( 9- 6, 78.2) 5-17 407 H Lincoln Stockton (12- 3, 79.8) 5-13 409 H Grant Union ( 0-12, 69.7) 13- 2 421 A Nevada Union (10- 6, 79.3) 5-18 423 H Oakmont ( 7- 8, 77.2) 9-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 H Lincoln Sacramento 12- 8 4 3 1.17
305 H Roseville 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.40
312 A Lincoln Stockton 4- 9 -5 -5 -0.29
317 A Grant Union 6- 2 4 5 -1.00
319 H Nevada Union 5-10 -5 -4 -1.49
324 A Oakmont 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 5.05
326 A Lincoln Sacramento 8- 7 1 2 -1.11
331 A Roseville 5-17 -12 -3 -1.88
407 H Lincoln Stockton 5-13 -8 -4 -1.01
409 H Grant Union 13- 2 11 6 0.00
421 A Nevada Union 5-18 -13 -4 -0.77
423 H Oakmont 9-12 -3 -1 -1.67
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Oakmont 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 5.05 305 H Roseville 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.40 |
Bear River Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acalanes | Acalanes | Acalanes | ||
| Alhambra | Alhambra | Alhambra | ||
| Amador Valley | Amador Valley | Amador Valley | ||
| Archie Williams | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Bay School | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Bentley School | Bentley School | Bentley School | ||
| Berean Christian | Berean Christian | Berean Christian | ||
| Berkeley | Berkeley | Berkeley | ||
| Bishop ODowd | Bishop ODowd | Bishop ODowd | ||
| Branson | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Campolindo | Campolindo | Campolindo | ||
| Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | ||
| Casa Grande | Casa Grande | Casa Grande | ||
| Clayton Valley Chart | Clayton Valley Chart | Clayton Valley Chart | ||
| College Park | College Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | College Park | |
| De LaSalle | De LaSalle | De LaSalle | ||
| Dougherty Valley | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Drew | Drew | Drew | ||
| Dublin | Dublin | Dublin | ||
| Foothill Pleasanton | Foothill Pleasanton | Foothill Pleasanton | ||
| George Washington SF | George Washington SF | George Washington SF | ||
| Granada | Granada | Granada | ||
| Head-Royce | Head-Royce | Head-Royce | ||
| Justin Siena | Justin Siena | Justin Siena | ||
| Las Lomas | Las Lomas | Las Lomas | ||
| Lick Wilmerding | Lick Wilmerding | Lick Wilmerding | ||
| Livermore | Livermore | Livermore | ||
| Lowell | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Marin Academy | Marin Academy | Marin Academy | ||
| Marin Catholic | Marin Catholic | Marin Catholic | ||
| Miramonte | Miramonte | Miramonte | ||
| Monte Vista Danville | Monte Vista Danville | Monte Vista Danville | ||
| Moreau Catholic | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Napa | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Newark Memorial | Newark Memorial | Newark Memorial | ||
| Northgate | Northgate | Northgate | ||
| Novato | Novato | Novato | ||
| Petaluma | Petaluma | Petaluma | ||
| Piedmont | Piedmont | Piedmont | ||
| Rancho Cotate | Rancho Cotate | Rancho Cotate | ||
| Redwood | Redwood | Redwood | ||
| San Marin | San Marin | San Marin | ||
| San Rafael | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| San Ramon Valley | San Ramon Valley | San Ramon Valley | ||
| Sonoma Academy | Sonoma Academy | Sonoma Academy | ||
| Sonoma Valley | Sonoma Valley | Sonoma Valley | ||
| St Vincent de Paul | St Vincent de Paul | St Vincent de Paul | ||
| Stuart Hall | Stuart Hall | Stuart Hall | ||
| Tamalpais | Tamalpais | Tamalpais | ||
| Terra Linda | Terra Linda | Terra Linda | ||
| University SF | University SF | University SF | ||
| Urban School | Urban School | Urban School | ||
| Vintage | Vintage | Vintage | ||
| Washington Fremont | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Windsor | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Birmingham Charter | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| El Camino Real Chart | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| North Valley Militar | North Valley Militar | North Valley Militar | ||
| Palisades Charter | Palisades Charter | Palisades Charter | ||
| University Los Angel | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Aptos | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Aragon | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Archbishop Mitty | Archbishop Mitty | Archbishop Mitty | ||
| Archbishop Riordan | Archbishop Riordan | Archbishop Riordan | ||
| Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep | ||
| Burlingame | Burlingame | Burlingame | ||
| Carlmont | Carlmont | Carlmont | ||
| Carmel | Carmel | Carmel | ||
| Christopher | Christopher | Christopher | ||
| Gunn | Gunn | Gunn | ||
| Harbor | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Hillsdale | Hillsdale | Hillsdale | ||
| Hollister-San Benito | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Latino College Prep | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Leland | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Live Oak | Live Oak | Live Oak | ||
| Los Altos | Los Altos | Los Altos | ||
| Los Gatos | Los Gatos | Los Gatos | ||
| Menlo School | Menlo School | Menlo School | ||
| Menlo-Atherton | Menlo-Atherton | Menlo-Atherton | ||
| Monte Vista Christia | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Monterey | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Pacific Grove | Pacific Grove | Pacific Grove | ||
| Palma | Palma | Palma | ||
| Palo Alto | Palo Alto | Palo Alto | ||
| Pioneer | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Priory | Priory | Priory | ||
| Sacred Heart Cathedr | Sacred Heart Cathedr | Sacred Heart Cathedr | ||
| Sacred Heart Prep | Sacred Heart Prep | Sacred Heart Prep | ||
| Salinas | Salinas | Salinas | ||
| Santa Cruz | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Saratoga | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Scotts Valley | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Sequoia | Sequoia | Sequoia | ||
| Serra San Mateo | Serra San Mateo | Serra San Mateo | ||
| Sobrato | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Soquel | Soquel | Soquel | ||
| St Francis-Mtn View | St Francis-Mtn View | St Francis-Mtn View | ||
| St Ignatius Prep | St Ignatius Prep | St Ignatius Prep | ||
| Stevenson School | Stevenson School | Stevenson School | ||
| Valley Christian | Valley Christian | Valley Christian | ||
| Woodside | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Agoura | Agoura | Agoura | ||
| Aliso Niguel | Aliso Niguel | Aliso Niguel | ||
| Beckman | Beckman | Beckman | ||
| Beverly Hills | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Brentwood School | Brentwood School | Brentwood School | ||
| Calabasas | Calabasas | Calabasas | ||
| Canyon | Canyon | Canyon | ||
| Capistrano Valley | Capistrano Valley | Capistrano Valley | ||
| Castaic | Castaic | Castaic | ||
| Cate School | Cate School | Cate School | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Chaminade Prep | Chaminade Prep | Chaminade Prep | ||
| Chaparral | Chaparral | Chaparral | ||
| Compton | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Corona | Corona | Corona | ||
| Corona Del Mar | Corona Del Mar | Corona Del Mar | ||
| Crean Lutheran | Crean Lutheran | Crean Lutheran | ||
| Crescenta Valley | Crescenta Valley | Crescenta Valley | ||
| Crespi | Crespi | Crespi | ||
| Culver City | Culver City | Culver City | ||
| Damien | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Dana Hills | Dana Hills | Dana Hills | ||
| Dos Pueblos | Dos Pueblos | Dos Pueblos | ||
| Downey | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| El Dorado | El Dorado | El Dorado | ||
| El Modena | El Modena | El Modena | ||
| El Segundo | El Segundo | El Segundo | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | ||
| Esperanza | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Foothill Santa Ana | Foothill Santa Ana | Foothill Santa Ana | ||
| Glendale | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Grace Brethren | Grace Brethren | Grace Brethren | ||
| Great Oak | Great Oak | Great Oak | ||
| Hart | Hart | Hart | ||
| Harvard-Westlake | Harvard-Westlake | Harvard-Westlake | ||
| Hemet | Hemet | Hemet | ||
| Heritage Christian | Heritage Christian | Heritage Christian | ||
| Heritage HS | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Huntington Beach | Huntington Beach | Huntington Beach | ||
| Irvine | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| JSerra Catholic | JSerra Catholic | JSerra Catholic | ||
| King | King | King | ||
| La Canada | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Laguna Hills | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Lakewood | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Liberty | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Linfield Christian | Linfield Christian | Linfield Christian | ||
| Long Beach Poly | Long Beach Poly | Long Beach Poly | ||
| Los Alamitos | Los Alamitos | Los Alamitos | ||
| Loyola Los Angeles | Loyola Los Angeles | Loyola Los Angeles | ||
| Lynwood | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Mater Dei Santa Ana | Mater Dei Santa Ana | Mater Dei Santa Ana | ||
| Millikan | Millikan | Millikan | ||
| Mira Costa | Mira Costa | Mira Costa | ||
| Mission Viejo | Mission Viejo | Mission Viejo | ||
| Murrieta Mesa | Murrieta Mesa | Murrieta Mesa | ||
| Murrieta Valley | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Newbury Park | Newbury Park | Newbury Park | ||
| Newport Harbor | Newport Harbor | Newport Harbor | ||
| Norco | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Northwood | Northwood | Northwood | ||
| Notre Dame Sherman | Notre Dame Sherman | Notre Dame Sherman | ||
| Oak Park | Oak Park | Oak Park | ||
| Oaks Christian | Oaks Christian | Oaks Christian | ||
| Orange Lutheran | Orange Lutheran | Orange Lutheran | ||
| Paloma Valley | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Palos Verdes | Palos Verdes | Palos Verdes | ||
| Peninsula | Peninsula | Peninsula | ||
| Portola | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Redondo Union | Redondo Union | Redondo Union | ||
| Riverside Poly | Riverside Poly | Riverside Poly | ||
| San Clemente | San Clemente | San Clemente | ||
| San Juan Hills | San Juan Hills | San Juan Hills | ||
| San Marcos SB | San Marcos SB | San Marcos SB | ||
| Santa Barbara | Santa Barbara | Santa Barbara | ||
| Santa Margarita Cath | Santa Margarita Cath | Santa Margarita Cath | ||
| Santa Monica | Santa Monica | Santa Monica | ||
| Santiago | Santiago | Santiago | ||
| Saugus | Saugus | Saugus | ||
| Segerstrom | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Servite | Servite | Servite | ||
| Sierra Canyon | Sierra Canyon | Sierra Canyon | ||
| Simi Royal | Simi Royal | Simi Royal | ||
| Simi Valley | Simi Valley | Simi Valley | ||
| St Francis-La Canada | St Francis-La Canada | St Francis-La Canada | ||
| St John Bosco | St John Bosco | St John Bosco | ||
| St Margarets Episcop | St Margarets Episcop | St Margarets Episcop | ||
| Temecula Valley | Temecula Valley | Temecula Valley | ||
| Tesoro | Tesoro | Tesoro | ||
| Thacher School | Thacher School | Thacher School | ||
| Trabuco Hills | Trabuco Hills | Trabuco Hills | ||
| University Irvine | University Irvine | University Irvine | ||
| Valencia Santa Clari | Valencia Santa Clari | Valencia Santa Clari | ||
| Viewpoint School | Viewpoint School | Viewpoint School | ||
| Village Christian | Village Christian | Village Christian | ||
| Vista Murrieta | Vista Murrieta | Vista Murrieta | ||
| West Ranch | West Ranch | West Ranch | ||
| Westlake | Westlake | Westlake | ||
| Woodbridge | Woodbridge | Woodbridge | ||
| Woodrow Wilson | Woodrow Wilson | Woodrow Wilson | ||
| Yorba Linda | Yorba Linda | Yorba Linda | ||
| Army-Navy Academy | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Bishops School | Bishops School | Bishops School | ||
| Bonita Vista | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Canyon Crest | Canyon Crest | Canyon Crest | ||
| Canyon Hills | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Carlsbad | Carlsbad | Carlsbad | ||
| Castle Park | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Cathedral Catholic | Cathedral Catholic | Cathedral Catholic | ||
| Clairemont | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Classical Academy | Classical Academy | Classical Academy | ||
| Coronado | Coronado | Coronado | ||
| Del Lago Academy | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Del Norte | Del Norte | Del Norte | ||
| Eastlake | Eastlake | Eastlake | ||
| El Capitan | El Capitan | El Capitan | ||
| Fallbrook | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Foothills Christian | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Francis Parker | Francis Parker | Francis Parker | ||
| Granite Hills | Granite Hills | Granite Hills | ||
| Grossmont | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Helix Charter | Helix Charter | Helix Charter | ||
| Hilltop | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| La Costa Canyon | La Costa Canyon | La Costa Canyon | ||
| La Jolla CDS | La Jolla CDS | La Jolla CDS | ||
| La Jolla HS | La Jolla HS | La Jolla HS | ||
| Lincoln San Diego | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Mar Vista | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Mater Dei Chula Vist | Mater Dei Chula Vist | Mater Dei Chula Vist | ||
| Mira Mesa | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Mission Bay | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Mission Hills | Mission Hills | Mission Hills | ||
| Monte Vista Spring V | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Morse | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Mt Carmel | Mt Carmel | Mt Carmel | ||
| Olympian | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Otay Ranch | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Pacific Ridge | Pacific Ridge | Pacific Ridge | ||
| Patrick Henry | Patrick Henry | Patrick Henry | ||
| Point Loma | Point Loma | Point Loma | ||
| Poway | Poway | Poway | ||
| Preuss School | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Rancho Bernardo | Rancho Bernardo | Rancho Bernardo | ||
| Rancho Buena Vista | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Sage Creek | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| San Diego | San Diego | San Diego | ||
| San Dieguito | San Dieguito | San Dieguito | ||
| San Marcos SD | San Marcos SD | San Marcos SD | ||
| San Ysidro | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Santa Fe Christian | Santa Fe Christian | Santa Fe Christian | ||
| Santana | Santana | Santana | ||
| Scripps Ranch | Scripps Ranch | Scripps Ranch | ||
| St Augustine | St Augustine | St Augustine | ||
| Torrey Pines | Torrey Pines | Torrey Pines | ||
| University City | University City | University City | ||
| Valhalla | Valhalla | Valhalla | ||
| Valley Center | Valley Center | Valley Center | ||
| West Hills | West Hills | West Hills | ||
| Westview | Westview | Westview | ||
| Bella Vista | Bella Vista | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bella Vista | |
| Christian Brothers | Christian Brothers | Christian Brothers | ||
| Davis | Davis | Davis | ||
| Del Oro | Del Oro | Del Oro | ||
| Folsom | Folsom | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Folsom | |
| Granite Bay | Granite Bay | Granite Bay | ||
| Grant Union | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Jesuit Sacramento | Jesuit Sacramento | Jesuit Sacramento | ||
| Lincoln Stockton | Lincoln Stockton | Lincoln Stockton | ||
| Lincoln Sacramento | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Nevada Union | Nevada Union | Nevada Union | ||
| Oak Ridge | Oak Ridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Oak Ridge | |
| Oakmont | Oakmont | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2) | Oakmont | |
| Rio Americano | Bear River | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) | Bear River | |
| Rocklin | Bear River | Bear River | ||
| Roseville | Roseville | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) | Roseville | |
| St Marys Stockton | St Marys Stockton | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | St Marys Stockton | |
| Vista del Lago | Vista del Lago | Vista del Lago | ||
| West Park | West Park | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | West Park | |
| Whitney | Whitney | Whitney | ||
| Woodcreek | Woodcreek | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) | Woodcreek |
PowerWise = 71
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.63
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Lincoln Sacram ( 2-13, 73.0) 12- 8 -26.90 13.24 -0.36 1.39 17.85
0 H Roseville ( 9- 6, 78.2) 6- 5 -21.67 18.47 -0.36 1.39 25.09
0 A Lincoln Stock (12- 3, 79.8) 4- 9 -20.08 20.06 0.36 1.39 -27.33
0 A Grant Union ( 0-12, 69.7) 6- 2 -30.18 9.97 0.36 1.39 14.31
0 H Nevada Union (10- 6, 79.3) 5-10 -20.56 19.58 -0.36 1.39 -28.99
0 A Oakmont ( 7- 8, 77.2) 5- 2 -22.75 17.39 0.36 1.39 24.60
0 A Lincoln Sacram ( 2-13, 73.0) 8- 7 -26.90 13.24 0.36 1.39 18.84
0 A Roseville ( 9- 6, 78.2) 5-17 -21.67 18.47 0.36 1.39 -29.54
0 H Lincoln Stock (12- 3, 79.8) 5-13 -20.08 20.06 -0.36 1.39 -28.33
0 H Grant Union ( 0-12, 69.7) 13- 2 -30.18 9.97 -0.36 1.39 13.31
0 A Nevada Union (10- 6, 79.3) 5-18 -20.56 19.58 0.36 1.39 -27.99
0 H Oakmont ( 7- 8, 77.2) 9-12 -22.75 17.39 -0.36 1.39 -32.02
------
-60.19
|
winning pts = 114.0026 losing points = -174.1940
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------