safe3step boys Aubrey Rogers 1

  
Aubrey Rogers         
W-L: (10- 6)  PR =    80.9107
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 210 A Bishop Verot                         ( 4- 8, 86.4)     4-10   
 213 A Fort Myers                           (10- 4, 81.0)     5- 6   
 214 A Estero                               ( 1-10, 72.4)    12- 3   
 218 H Barron Collier                       (11- 6, 82.2)     5- 8   
 220 A Gulf Coast                           (10- 8, 82.8)     5-11   
 224 H Palmetto Ridge                       ( 0-16, 68.9)    16- 1   
 226 H Marco Island Academy                 ( 5- 7, 73.5)    13- 1   
 228 A Immokalee                            ( 9- 9, 74.0)    15- 3   
 304 H Lely                                 ( 3-13, 70.7)    14- 1   
 306 H Naples                               ( 6- 9, 77.7)    11- 2   
 317 A Barron Collier                       (11- 6, 82.2)     9- 5   
 319 H Cypress Lake                         ( 9- 7, 76.3)     8- 7   
 329 H Canterbury School                    (20- 1, 90.7)     3-18   
 401 H Estero                               ( 1-10, 72.4)    15- 3   
 403 A Naples                               ( 6- 9, 77.7)     7- 1   
 414 A Bishop Verot                         ( 4- 8, 86.4)     2-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Bishop Verot            4-10      -6    -6           0.00
   213 A Fort Myers              5- 6      -1    -1          -0.28
   214 A Estero                 12- 3       9     8           0.00
   218 H Barron Collier          5- 8      -3    -1    -     -2.34
   220 A Gulf Coast              5-11      -6    -2    -     -2.52
   224 H Palmetto Ridge         16- 1      15    13           0.00
   226 H Marco Island Academy   13- 1      12     8           0.00
   228 A Immokalee              15- 3      12     6           0.00
   304 H Lely                   14- 1      13    11           0.00
   306 H Naples                 11- 2       9     4           1.14
   317 A Barron Collier          9- 5       4    -2    ++     5.86
   319 H Cypress Lake            8- 7       1     5    --    -4.00
   329 H Canterbury School       3-18     -15    -9           0.00
   401 H Estero                 15- 3      12     9           0.00
   403 A Naples                  7- 1       6     3    +      2.34
   414 A Bishop Verot            2-14     -12    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Cypress Lake            8- 7       1     5    --    -4.00
   218 H Barron Collier          5- 8      -3    -1    -     -2.34
   220 A Gulf Coast              5-11      -6    -2    -     -2.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Barron Collier          9- 5       4    -2    ++     5.86
   403 A Naples                  7- 1       6     3    +      2.34

Aubrey Rogers Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Admiral Farragut Aca	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
All Saints Academy	All Saints Academy			All Saints Academy
Alonso	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
American Heritage De	American Heritage De			American Heritage De
American Heritage Pl	American Heritage Pl		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	American Heritage Pl
Angeline Academy	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Apopka	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Archbishop McCarthy	Aubrey Rogers		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)	Aubrey Rogers
Atlantic Coast	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Atlantic-Delray Beac	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Barron Collier	Barron Collier		tied - ( 6- 2) ( 6- 2)	Barron Collier
Bartow	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Bartram Trail	Bartram Trail			Bartram Trail
Beachside	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Belen Jesuit	Belen Jesuit			Belen Jesuit
Benjamin School	Benjamin School			Benjamin School
Berkeley Prep	Berkeley Prep		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Berkeley Prep
Bishop McLaughlin	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Bishop Moore	Bishop Moore			Bishop Moore
Bishop Verot	Bishop Verot	Bishop Verot
Bloomingdale	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Boca Ciega	Aubrey Rogers		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Aubrey Rogers
Boca Raton	Boca Raton			Boca Raton
Bolles	Bolles		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Bolles
Boone	Boone			Boone
Bradenton Christian	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Buchholz	Buchholz			Buchholz
Calvary Christian Ac	Calvary Christian Ac		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Calvary Christian Ac
Calvary Christian HS	Calvary Christian HS		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Calvary Christian HS
Canterbury School	Canterbury School	Canterbury School
Cardinal Gibbons	Aubrey Rogers		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)	Aubrey Rogers
Cardinal Mooney	Cardinal Mooney		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Cardinal Mooney
Cardinal Newman	Cardinal Newman			Cardinal Newman
Celebration	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Chiles	Chiles			Chiles
Clearwater Central C	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Cocoa Beach	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Colonial	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Columbus Catholic	Columbus Catholic		Columbus Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Community School-Nap	Community School-Nap		Community School-Nap 6- 0 vs 2- 5
Cooper City	Aubrey Rogers		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Aubrey Rogers
Coral Glades	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Coral Reef	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Coral Shores	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Coral Springs	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Countryside	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Creekside	Creekside			Creekside
Cypress Bay	Cypress Bay			Cypress Bay
Cypress Creek	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Cypress Lake	Aubrey Rogers	Aubrey Rogers
Dr Phillips	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Durant	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Dwyer	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
East Lake	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
East Ridge	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
East River	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Eastside	Aubrey Rogers		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Aubrey Rogers
Edgewater	Edgewater			Edgewater
Edgewood	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Episcopal Jacksonvi	Episcopal Jacksonvi			Episcopal Jacksonvi
Estero	Aubrey Rogers	Aubrey Rogers
Evans	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Father Lopez	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Fernandina Beach	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
First Academy	First Academy			First Academy
Flagler Palm Coast	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Fleming Island	Fleming Island			Fleming Island
Fletcher	Fletcher			Fletcher
Florida Christian	Aubrey Rogers		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Aubrey Rogers
Forest	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Fort Myers	Fort Myers	Fort Myers
Fort Walton Beach	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Foundation Academy	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Freedom Orlando	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Freedom Tampa	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Golden Gate	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Gulf Breeze	Gulf Breeze			Gulf Breeze
Gulf Coast	Gulf Coast	Gulf Coast
Gulliver Prep	Gulliver Prep		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Gulliver Prep
Hagerty	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Holy Trinity Episcop	Holy Trinity Episcop			Holy Trinity Episcop
Horizon	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
IMG Academy-White	IMG Academy-White		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	IMG Academy-White
Immaculata LaSalle	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Immokalee	Aubrey Rogers	Aubrey Rogers
Indian Rocks Christi	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Innovation	Aubrey Rogers		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Aubrey Rogers
Jensen Beach	Jensen Beach			Jensen Beach
Jesuit Tampa	Jesuit Tampa		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Jesuit Tampa
John Carroll Catholi	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Jupiter	Jupiter			Jupiter
Jupiter Christian	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Key West	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Keys Gate	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Kings Academy	Kings Academy			Kings Academy
Lake Brantley	Lake Brantley			Lake Brantley
Lake Buena Vista	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Lake Highland Prep	Lake Highland Prep			Lake Highland Prep
Lake Howell	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Lake Mary	Lake Mary			Lake Mary
Lake Minneola	Lake Minneola			Lake Minneola
Lake Nona	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Lake Wales	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Lakeland Christian	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Lakeland HS	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Lakewood Ranch	Lakewood Ranch		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Lakewood Ranch
Land O Lakes	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Lely	Aubrey Rogers	Aubrey Rogers
Leon	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Lincoln Tallahassee	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Lyman	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Maclay	Maclay			Maclay
Manatee	Manatee		Manatee 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mandarin	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Marco Island Academy	Aubrey Rogers	Aubrey Rogers
Martin County	Martin County			Martin County
Matanzas	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Melbourne	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Melbourne Central Ca	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Menendez	Menendez			Menendez
Merritt Island	Merritt Island			Merritt Island
Miami Country Day	Aubrey Rogers		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Aubrey Rogers
Miami Palmetto	Miami Palmetto			Miami Palmetto
Milton	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Mitchell	Mitchell		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Mitchell
Montverde Academy	Montverde Academy			Montverde Academy
Naples	Aubrey Rogers	Aubrey Rogers
Navarre	Navarre			Navarre
Nease	Nease			Nease
Newberry	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Newsome	Newsome			Newsome
Niceville	Niceville			Niceville
North Bay Haven	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
North Broward Prep	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Northeast St Petersb	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Northside Christian	Northside Christian			Northside Christian
NSU University Schoo	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Oak Hall	Oak Hall			Oak Hall
Ocoee	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Okeechobee	Aubrey Rogers		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Aubrey Rogers
Olympia	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Olympic Heights	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Osceola	Osceola			Osceola
Out-of-Door Academy	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Oviedo	Oviedo			Oviedo
Oxbridge Academy	Oxbridge Academy		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Oxbridge Academy
Palm Beach Central	Palm Beach Central			Palm Beach Central
Palm Beach Gardens	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Palm Harbor Universi	Palm Harbor Universi			Palm Harbor Universi
Palmer Trinity	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Palmetto Ridge	Aubrey Rogers	Aubrey Rogers
Park Vista	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Pasco	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Paxon Institute	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Pensacola	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Pensacola Catholic	Pensacola Catholic			Pensacola Catholic
Pine Crest	Pine Crest			Pine Crest
Plant	Plant			Plant
Pompano Beach	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Ponte Vedra	Ponte Vedra			Ponte Vedra
Providence School	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Ransom Everglades	Ransom Everglades			Ransom Everglades
Rickards	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Riverdale	Aubrey Rogers		Aubrey Rogers 6- 2 vs 4- 4
Riverside	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Riverview Sarasota	Riverview Sarasota		Riverview Sarasota 3- 1 vs 1- 4
Robinson	Aubrey Rogers		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Aubrey Rogers
Rockledge	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Sandalwood	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Santa Fe	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Sarasota HS	Sarasota HS		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Sarasota HS
Satellite	Satellite			Satellite
Sebastian River	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Seminole	Seminole			Seminole
Seminole Ridge	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Sickles	Sickles			Sickles
South Fork	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
South Lake	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
South Plantation	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
South Walton	South Walton			South Walton
Spanish River	Spanish River			Spanish River
St Andrews	St Andrews			St Andrews
St Augustine	St Augustine			St Augustine
St Brendan	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
St Cloud	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
St Edwards School	St Edwards School			St Edwards School
St John Paul II Acad	St John Paul II Acad			St John Paul II Acad
St Joseph Academy	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
St Petersburg Cathol	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
St Petersburg HS	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
St Stephens Episcopa	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
St Thomas Aquinas	St Thomas Aquinas		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	St Thomas Aquinas
Stanton Prep	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Steinbrenner	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Stoneman Douglas	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Suncoast	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Sunlake	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Tampa Catholic	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Tampa Prep	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Taravella	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Timber Creek	Timber Creek			Timber Creek
Tocoi Creek	Tocoi Creek			Tocoi Creek
Tohopekaliga	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Trinity Catholic	Trinity Catholic			Trinity Catholic
Trinity Prep	Trinity Prep			Trinity Prep
University Orlando	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Venice	Venice		insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2)	Venice
Vero Beach	Vero Beach			Vero Beach
Viera	Viera			Viera
Village School Naple	Aubrey Rogers		Aubrey Rogers 4- 0 vs 1- 3
Washington	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Wellington	Wellington		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Wellington
Wesley Chapel	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
West Boca Raton	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
West Broward	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
West Florida	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
West Orange	West Orange			West Orange
West Shore	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Western Davie	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Westminster Academy	Westminster Academy			Westminster Academy
Westminster Christia	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Wharton	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Windermere HS	Windermere HS			Windermere HS
Windermere Prep	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Winter Haven	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Winter Park	Winter Park			Winter Park
Winter Springs	Aubrey Rogers			Aubrey Rogers
Wiregrass Ranch	Wiregrass Ranch			Wiregrass Ranch

PowerWise = 135

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Bishop Verot    ( 4- 8, 86.4)     4-10      -13.45      24.94       0.60         0.95           -12.18
   0 A Fort Myers      (10- 4, 81.0)     5- 6      -18.87      19.52       0.60         0.95           -17.32
   0 A Estero          ( 1-10, 72.4)    12- 3      -27.50      10.89       0.60         0.95            10.89
   0 H Barron Collier  (11- 6, 82.2)     5- 8      -17.73      20.66      -0.60         0.95           -17.37
   0 A Gulf Coast      (10- 8, 82.8)     5-11      -17.11      21.29       0.60         0.95           -15.64
   0 H Palmetto Ridge  ( 0-16, 68.9)    16- 1      -31.00       7.40      -0.60         0.95             6.44
   0 H Marco Island A  ( 5- 7, 73.5)    13- 1      -26.45      11.95      -0.60         0.95            10.75
   0 A Immokalee       ( 9- 9, 74.0)    15- 3      -25.91      12.49       0.60         0.95            12.40
   0 H Lely            ( 3-13, 70.7)    14- 1      -29.19       9.21      -0.60         0.95             8.16
   0 H Naples          ( 6- 9, 77.7)    11- 2      -22.25      16.15      -0.60         0.95            14.73
   0 A Barron Collier  (11- 6, 82.2)     9- 5      -17.73      20.66       0.60         0.95            20.15
   0 H Cypress Lake    ( 9- 7, 76.3)     8- 7      -23.60      14.80      -0.60         0.95            13.45
   0 H Canterbury Sch  (20- 1, 90.7)     3-18       -9.21      29.19      -0.60         0.95            -9.29
   0 H Estero          ( 1-10, 72.4)    15- 3      -27.50      10.89      -0.60         0.95             9.75
   0 A Naples          ( 6- 9, 77.7)     7- 1      -22.25      16.15       0.60         0.95            15.87
   0 A Bishop Verot    ( 4- 8, 86.4)     2-14      -13.45      24.94       0.60         0.95           -12.18
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        38.62

winning pts = 122.6032 losing points = -83.9794

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------