Fernandina Beach
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 76.5207Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 212 A Bolles (16- 5, 93.7) 0-20 220 A Menendez ( 6- 9, 81.5) 6-12 226 A Creekside (11- 6, 90.3) 1-11 227 A Beachside ( 6- 7, 79.2) 8-10 304 A Episcopal Jacksonvi (17- 4, 92.6) 2-25 306 A Riverside ( 0-13, 65.2) 15- 0 313 H Matanzas ( 6- 9, 79.1) 4- 6 326 A Atlantic Coast ( 4-10, 72.2) 15- 9 328 A Providence School (10- 7, 78.5) 5-10 401 H Paxon Institute ( 8- 7, 76.1) 8- 7 403 A Stanton Prep ( 5- 7, 70.6) 16- 1 410 H Riverside ( 0-13, 65.2) 16- 1 415 A Maclay ( 9-10, 86.2) 2-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
212 A Bolles 0-20 -20 -18 0.00
220 A Menendez 6-12 -6 -6 0.00
226 A Creekside 1-11 -10 -14 0.00
227 A Beachside 8-10 -2 -3 1.29
304 A Episcopal Jacksonvi 2-25 -23 -17 0.00
306 A Riverside 15- 0 15 11 0.00
313 H Matanzas 4- 6 -2 -2 0.01
326 A Atlantic Coast 15- 9 6 4 1.23
328 A Providence School 5-10 -5 -3 - -2.45
401 H Paxon Institute 8- 7 1 1 -0.07
403 A Stanton Prep 16- 1 15 5 0.00
410 H Riverside 16- 1 15 12 0.00
415 A Maclay 2-16 -14 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Providence School 5-10 -5 -3 - -2.45 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Fernandina Beach Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admiral Farragut Aca | Admiral Farragut Aca | Admiral Farragut Aca | ||
| All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | ||
| Alonso | Alonso | Alonso | ||
| American Heritage De | American Heritage De | American Heritage De | ||
| American Heritage Pl | American Heritage Pl | American Heritage Pl | ||
| Angeline Academy | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Apopka | Apopka | Apopka | ||
| Archbishop McCarthy | Archbishop McCarthy | Archbishop McCarthy | ||
| Atlantic Coast | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beac | Atlantic-Delray Beac | Atlantic-Delray Beac | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Barron Collier | Barron Collier | Barron Collier | ||
| Bartow | Bartow | Bartow | ||
| Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail 5- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Beachside | Beachside | Beachside | ||
| Belen Jesuit | Belen Jesuit | Belen Jesuit | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | ||
| Bishop McLaughlin | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bishop Verot | Bishop Verot | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bishop Verot | |
| Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | ||
| Boca Ciega | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Boca Raton | Boca Raton | Boca Raton | ||
| Bolles | Bolles | Bolles | ||
| Boone | Boone | Boone | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | ||
| Buchholz | Buchholz | insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) | Buchholz | |
| Calvary Christian Ac | Calvary Christian Ac | Calvary Christian Ac | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | ||
| Canterbury School | Canterbury School | Canterbury School | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | ||
| Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | ||
| Celebration | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Chiles | Chiles | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chiles | |
| Clearwater Central C | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Cocoa Beach | Cocoa Beach | ||
| Colonial | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Columbus Catholic | Columbus Catholic | Columbus Catholic | ||
| Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | ||
| Cooper City | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Coral Glades | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Coral Reef | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Coral Shores | Coral Shores | Coral Shores | ||
| Coral Springs | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Countryside | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Creekside | Creekside | Creekside | ||
| Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | ||
| Cypress Creek | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Cypress Lake | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Dr Phillips | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Durant | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Dwyer | Dwyer | Dwyer | ||
| East Lake | East Lake | East Lake | ||
| East Ridge | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| East River | East River | East River | ||
| Eastside | Fernandina Beach | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fernandina Beach | |
| Edgewater | Edgewater | Edgewater | ||
| Edgewood | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Episcopal Jacksonvi | Episcopal Jacksonvi | Episcopal Jacksonvi | ||
| Estero | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Evans | Evans | Evans | ||
| Father Lopez | Fernandina Beach | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fernandina Beach | |
| First Academy | First Academy | First Academy | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | Fernandina Beach | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Fernandina Beach | |
| Fleming Island | Fleming Island | Fleming Island 4- 3 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Fletcher | Fletcher | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 3) | Fletcher | |
| Florida Christian | Florida Christian | Florida Christian | ||
| Forest | Fernandina Beach | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Fernandina Beach | |
| Fort Myers | Fort Myers | Fort Myers | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Foundation Academy | Foundation Academy | Foundation Academy | ||
| Freedom Orlando | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Golden Gate | Golden Gate | Golden Gate | ||
| Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Gulliver Prep | Gulliver Prep | ||
| Hagerty | Hagerty | Hagerty | ||
| Holy Trinity Episcop | Holy Trinity Episcop | Holy Trinity Episcop | ||
| Horizon | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| IMG Academy-White | IMG Academy-White | IMG Academy-White | ||
| Immaculata LaSalle | Immaculata LaSalle | Immaculata LaSalle | ||
| Immokalee | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Indian Rocks Christi | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Innovation | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | ||
| Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | ||
| John Carroll Catholi | John Carroll Catholi | John Carroll Catholi | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | Jupiter | ||
| Jupiter Christian | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Key West | Key West | Key West | ||
| Keys Gate | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Kings Academy | Kings Academy | Kings Academy | ||
| Lake Brantley | Lake Brantley | Lake Brantley | ||
| Lake Buena Vista | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Highland Prep | |
| Lake Howell | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Lake Mary | Lake Mary | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Mary | |
| Lake Minneola | Lake Minneola | Lake Minneola | ||
| Lake Nona | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Lake Wales | Lake Wales | Lake Wales | ||
| Lakeland Christian | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Lakeland HS | Lakeland HS | Lakeland HS | ||
| Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | ||
| Land O Lakes | Land O Lakes | Land O Lakes | ||
| Lely | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Leon | Leon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Leon | |
| Lincoln Tallahassee | Lincoln Tallahassee | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Lincoln Tallahassee | |
| Lyman | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Maclay | Maclay | Maclay | ||
| Manatee | Manatee | Manatee | ||
| Mandarin | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Marco Island Academy | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Martin County | Martin County | Martin County | ||
| Matanzas | Matanzas | Matanzas | ||
| Melbourne | Melbourne | Melbourne | ||
| Melbourne Central Ca | Melbourne Central Ca | Melbourne Central Ca | ||
| Menendez | Menendez | Menendez | ||
| Merritt Island | Merritt Island | Merritt Island | ||
| Miami Country Day | Miami Country Day | Miami Country Day | ||
| Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | ||
| Milton | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Mitchell | Mitchell | Mitchell | ||
| Montverde Academy | Montverde Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Montverde Academy | |
| Naples | Naples | Naples | ||
| Navarre | Navarre | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Navarre | |
| Nease | Nease | Nease 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Newberry | Fernandina Beach | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fernandina Beach | |
| Newsome | Newsome | Newsome | ||
| Niceville | Niceville | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Niceville | |
| North Bay Haven | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | ||
| Northeast St Petersb | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Northside Christian | Northside Christian | Northside Christian | ||
| NSU University Schoo | NSU University Schoo | NSU University Schoo | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | Oak Hall 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Ocoee | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Okeechobee | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Olympia | Olympia | Olympia | ||
| Olympic Heights | Olympic Heights | Olympic Heights | ||
| Osceola | Osceola | Osceola | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | Out-of-Door Academy | Out-of-Door Academy | ||
| Oviedo | Oviedo | Oviedo | ||
| Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Palm Beach Central | Palm Beach Central | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Palm Harbor Universi | Palm Harbor Universi | Palm Harbor Universi | ||
| Palmer Trinity | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Park Vista | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Pasco | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Paxon Institute | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Pensacola | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Pine Crest | Pine Crest | Pine Crest | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant | ||
| Pompano Beach | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Providence School | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | ||
| Rickards | Rickards | Rickards | ||
| Riverdale | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Riverside | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rockledge | Rockledge | Rockledge | ||
| Sandalwood | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Santa Fe | Fernandina Beach | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fernandina Beach | |
| Sarasota HS | Sarasota HS | Sarasota HS | ||
| Satellite | Satellite | Satellite | ||
| Sebastian River | Sebastian River | Sebastian River | ||
| Seminole | Seminole | Seminole | ||
| Seminole Ridge | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Sickles | Sickles | Sickles | ||
| South Fork | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| South Lake | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| South Plantation | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| South Walton | South Walton | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | South Walton | |
| Spanish River | Spanish River | Spanish River | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Andrews | |
| St Augustine | St Augustine | St Augustine 3- 3 vs 0- 6 | ||
| St Brendan | St Brendan | St Brendan | ||
| St Cloud | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| St Edwards School | St Edwards School | St Edwards School | ||
| St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | ||
| St Joseph Academy | St Joseph Academy | tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 5) | St Joseph Academy | |
| St Petersburg Cathol | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| St Petersburg HS | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| St Stephens Episcopa | St Stephens Episcopa | St Stephens Episcopa | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Steinbrenner | Steinbrenner | Steinbrenner | ||
| Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | ||
| Suncoast | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Sunlake | Sunlake | Sunlake | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Tampa Prep | Tampa Prep | Tampa Prep | ||
| Taravella | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Timber Creek | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Tohopekaliga | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Trinity Catholic | Trinity Catholic 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Trinity Prep | Trinity Prep | Trinity Prep | ||
| University Orlando | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Venice | Venice | Venice | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | Vero Beach | ||
| Viera | Viera | Viera | ||
| Village School Naple | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Washington | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Wellington | Wellington | Wellington | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Wesley Chapel | Wesley Chapel | ||
| West Boca Raton | West Boca Raton | West Boca Raton | ||
| West Broward | West Broward | West Broward | ||
| West Florida | West Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | West Florida | |
| West Orange | West Orange | West Orange | ||
| West Shore | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Western Davie | Western Davie | Western Davie | ||
| Westminster Academy | Westminster Academy | Westminster Academy | ||
| Westminster Christia | Westminster Christia | Westminster Christia | ||
| Wharton | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Windermere HS | Windermere HS | Windermere HS | ||
| Windermere Prep | Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach | ||
| Winter Haven | Winter Haven | Winter Haven | ||
| Winter Park | Winter Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Winter Park | |
| Winter Springs | Fernandina Beach | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fernandina Beach | |
| Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch |
PowerWise = 75
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Bolles (16- 5, 93.7) 0-20 -6.22 32.18 0.60 1.17 -6.55
0 A Menendez ( 6- 9, 81.5) 6-12 -18.41 19.99 0.60 1.17 -20.77
0 A Creekside (11- 6, 90.3) 1-11 -9.62 28.78 0.60 1.17 -10.52
0 A Beachside ( 6- 7, 79.2) 8-10 -20.69 17.70 0.60 1.17 -23.43
0 A Episcopal Jac (17- 4, 92.6) 2-25 -7.34 31.05 0.60 1.17 -7.86
0 A Riverside ( 0-13, 65.2) 15- 0 -34.72 3.68 0.60 1.17 4.99
0 H Matanzas ( 6- 9, 79.1) 4- 6 -20.77 17.63 -0.60 1.17 -24.92
0 A Atlantic Coast ( 4-10, 72.2) 15- 9 -27.75 10.65 0.60 1.17 13.12
0 A Providence Sch (10- 7, 78.5) 5-10 -21.43 16.96 0.60 1.17 -24.30
0 H Paxon Institut ( 8- 7, 76.1) 8- 7 -23.85 14.55 -0.60 1.17 16.27
0 A Stanton Prep ( 5- 7, 70.6) 16- 1 -29.27 9.12 0.60 1.17 11.34
0 H Riverside ( 0-13, 65.2) 16- 1 -34.72 3.68 -0.60 1.17 3.59
0 A Maclay ( 9-10, 86.2) 2-16 -13.66 24.74 0.60 1.17 -15.23
------
-84.26
|
winning pts = 49.3126 losing points = -133.5765
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------