---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:11 PDT

safe3step boys Hillcrest 1
  
Hillcrest             
W-L: ( 2-15) PR = 79.7038

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Bear River (15- 5, 91.1) 4-16 310 A Clearfield ( 8-11, 85.0) 13-16 314 A Provo ( 1-18, 78.9) 5- 6 321 A Springville ( 6-11, 84.9) 9-18 324 H Mountain View ( 6-12, 81.7) 11-12 326 A West ( 0-16, 74.2) 30- 0 328 A Bingham ( 8-11, 89.2) 4-12 402 H Jordan ( 6-14, 81.1) 10- 9 416 H Juan Diego Catholic (13- 7, 92.0) 6-20 418 A Weber (11- 8, 89.9) 5-17 421 A Bonneville ( 1-17, 79.2) 8- 9 425 A Waterford (12- 3, 89.6) 5-21 428 A Orem ( 5-11, 81.6) 8-12 502 A Judge Memorial Catho (14- 5, 95.3) 13-25 505 A Jordan ( 6-14, 81.1) 7- 9 509 A Layton ( 2-16, 81.0) 12-15 513 A Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 10-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Bear River              4-16     -12   -11           0.00
   310 A Clearfield             13-16      -3    -6    +      2.00
   314 A Provo                   5- 6      -1     0          -1.26
   321 A Springville             9-18      -9    -6           0.00
   324 H Mountain View          11-12      -1    -1           0.43
   326 A West                   30- 0      30     5           0.03
   328 A Bingham                 4-12      -8   -10           0.00
   402 H Jordan                 10- 9       1    -1           1.87
   416 H Juan Diego Catholic     6-20     -14   -12           0.00
   418 A Weber                   5-17     -12   -11           0.00
   421 A Bonneville              8- 9      -1     0          -1.03
   425 A Waterford               5-21     -16   -10           0.00
   428 A Orem                    8-12      -4    -2          -1.60
   502 A Judge Memorial Catho   13-25     -12   -16           0.00
   505 A Jordan                  7- 9      -2    -2          -0.08
   509 A Layton                 12-15      -3    -2          -1.20
   513 A Green Canyon           10-18      -8   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Clearfield             13-16      -3    -6    +      2.00

Hillcrest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alta Alta insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Alta
American Fork American Fork American Fork   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Bear River Bear River Bear River  
Bingham Bingham Bingham  
Bonneville Bonneville Bonneville  
Bountiful Bountiful Bountiful   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Box Elder Box Elder Box Elder   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) Brighton
Canyon View Canyon View tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Canyon View
Cedar Hillcrest insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Hillcrest
Cedar Valley Cedar Valley Cedar Valley   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Clearfield Clearfield Clearfield  
Copper Hills Copper Hills insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Copper Hills
Corner Canyon Corner Canyon Corner Canyon   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Crimson Cliffs Hillcrest insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Hillcrest
Davis Davis Davis   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Desert Hills Hillcrest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hillcrest
Dixie Dixie tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Dixie
East East tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) East
Farmington Farmington Farmington   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Fremont Fremont Fremont   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Green Canyon Green Canyon Green Canyon  
Herriman Herriman Herriman   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Highland Highland Highland   4- 0 vs 2- 3
Hurricane Hillcrest insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Hillcrest
Jordan Jordan insuffient: ( 1- 8)( 2- 7) Jordan
Juan Diego Catholic Juan Diego Catholic Juan Diego Catholic  
Judge Memorial Catho Judge Memorial Catho Judge Memorial Catho  
Layton Layton Layton  
Lehi Lehi Lehi   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Logan Logan insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) Logan
Lone Peak Lone Peak insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lone Peak
Maple Mountain Maple Mountain Maple Mountain   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mountain Crest Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   4- 1 vs 1- 5
Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mountain Ridge
Mountain View Mountain View Mountain View  
Northridge Northridge Northridge   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Olympus Olympus Olympus   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Orem Orem Orem  
Park City Park City Park City   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Payson Payson Payson   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Pine View Hillcrest   Hillcrest
Pleasant Grove Pleasant Grove insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Pleasant Grove
Provo Provo Provo  
Ridgeline Ridgeline insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Ridgeline
Riverton Riverton Riverton   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Roy Roy Roy   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Salem Hills Salem Hills Salem Hills   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Sky View Sky View tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Sky View
Skyline Skyline insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Skyline
Skyridge Skyridge Skyridge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Snow Canyon Snow Canyon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Snow Canyon
Spanish Fork Spanish Fork Spanish Fork   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Springville Springville Springville  
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Syracuse
Timpanogos Timpanogos Timpanogos   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Timpview Timpview Timpview   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Viewmont Viewmont Viewmont   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Wasatch Wasatch Wasatch   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Waterford Waterford Waterford  
Weber Weber Weber  
West Hillcrest Hillcrest  
West Field West Field West Field   4- 2 vs 0- 6
West Jordan West Jordan tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) West Jordan
Westlake Westlake insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Westlake
Woods Cross Woods Cross Woods Cross   3- 1 vs 0- 4

PowerWise = 6


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Bear River      (15- 5, 91.1)     4-16       -8.81      20.70      -0.53         1.10           -10.23
   0 A Clearfield      ( 8-11, 85.0)    13-16      -14.90      14.61       0.53         1.10           -15.75
   0 A Provo           ( 1-18, 78.9)     5- 6      -20.98       8.53       0.53         1.10           -22.41
   0 A Springville     ( 6-11, 84.9)     9-18      -15.02      14.49       0.53         1.10           -15.89
   0 H Mountain View   ( 6-12, 81.7)    11-12      -18.24      11.27      -0.53         1.10           -20.56
   0 A West            ( 0-16, 74.2)    30- 0      -25.69       3.82       0.53         1.10             4.76
   0 A Bingham         ( 8-11, 89.2)     4-12      -10.71      18.80       0.53         1.10           -11.16
   0 H Jordan          ( 6-14, 81.1)    10- 9      -18.80      10.71      -0.53         1.10            11.16
   0 H Juan Diego Cat  (13- 7, 92.0)     6-20       -7.90      21.61      -0.53         1.10            -9.23
   0 A Weber           (11- 8, 89.9)     5-17      -10.00      19.52       0.53         1.10           -10.38
   0 A Bonneville      ( 1-17, 79.2)     8- 9      -20.75       8.76       0.53         1.10           -22.16
   0 A Waterford       (12- 3, 89.6)     5-21      -10.32      19.20       0.53         1.10           -10.73
   0 A Orem            ( 5-11, 81.6)     8-12      -18.33      11.18       0.53         1.10           -19.50
   0 A Judge Memorial  (14- 5, 95.3)    13-25       -4.56      24.95       0.53         1.10            -4.42
   0 A Jordan          ( 6-14, 81.1)     7- 9      -18.80      10.71       0.53         1.10           -20.02
   0 A Layton          ( 2-16, 81.0)    12-15      -18.92      10.59       0.53         1.10           -20.15
   0 A Green Canyon    (10-10, 89.0)    10-18      -10.88      18.63       0.53         1.10           -11.35
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -208.01

winning pts = 15.9218 losing points = -223.9288

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------