All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 73.7799988 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Traverse City Central ( 5-13, 70.2) 14- 8 320 H Swartz Creek ( 5-11, 62.9) 17- 3 326 A Linden (11- 7, 66.8) 14- 4 408 H Davison ( 4-12, 59.7) 18- 3 410 H Lapeer ( 5-12, 62.0) 18- 1 412 H Traverse City West ( 8- 6, 72.4) 16-10 414 A Saginaw Heritage (11- 7, 69.6) 11-12 417 H Petoskey (11- 4, 72.6) 8- 7 421 A Bay City John Glenn ( 6- 8, 62.8) 15- 4 424 A Bay City Central (10- 6, 64.8) 18- 4 426 H Rochester Adams ( 9- 8, 74.2) 10-11 501 A Bay City Western ( 6-12, 63.5) 17- 8 502 A Grand Ledge (17- 5, 81.9) 6-15 505 H Flint Powers ( 8-10, 68.2) 19-12 508 A Grand Blanc (13- 5, 75.1) 4-13 510 A Forest Hills Northern (11- 8, 80.1) 15-14 513 H Midland ( 0-15, 56.9) 17- 7 516 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 6- 8, 64.9) 19- 7 523 H Saginaw Heritage (11- 7, 69.6) 11-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Traverse City Central 14- 8 6 4 1.71 320 H Swartz Creek 17- 3 14 11 0.00 326 A Linden 14- 4 10 6 0.68 408 H Davison 18- 3 15 14 0.00 410 H Lapeer 18- 1 17 12 0.00 412 H Traverse City West 16-10 6 2 + 3.98 414 A Saginaw Heritage 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.46 417 H Petoskey 8- 7 1 1 -0.83 421 A Bay City John Glenn 15- 4 11 10 0.00 424 A Bay City Central 18- 4 14 8 0.00 426 H Rochester Adams 10-11 -1 0 -1.30 501 A Bay City Western 17- 8 9 9 0.00 502 A Grand Ledge 6-15 -9 -8 0.00 505 H Flint Powers 19-12 7 6 0.73 508 A Grand Blanc 4-13 -9 -2 -- -5.00 510 A Forest Hills Northern 15-14 1 -7 +++ 8.00 513 H Midland 17- 7 10 17 0.00 516 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton 19- 7 12 9 0.00 523 H Saginaw Heritage 11-12 -1 4 -- -5.84UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 A Saginaw Heritage 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.46 508 A Grand Blanc 4-13 -9 -2 -- -5.00 523 H Saginaw Heritage 11-12 -1 4 -- -5.84OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 A Forest Hills Northern 15-14 1 -7 +++ 8.00 412 H Traverse City West 16-10 6 2 + 3.98
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 73.78 Power Rank................. 44 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 39.25 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 94 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5839 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 65 RPI Rating............... .5476 RPI Rank................... 36 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 87 Selection sum ........... 139 Selection Rank ............ 42 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -30. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 35 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -40. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 38 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.0