---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys Midland Dow 1
  
Midland Dow           
W-L: (14- 5) PR = 86.2285

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Traverse City Centra ( 5-13, 83.9) 14- 8 320 H Swartz Creek ( 5-11, 78.7) 17- 3 326 A Linden (11- 7, 81.7) 14- 4 408 H Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 18- 3 410 H Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 18- 1 412 H Traverse City West ( 8- 6, 85.7) 16-10 414 A Saginaw Heritage (11- 7, 82.9) 11-12 417 H Petoskey (11- 4, 85.7) 8- 7 421 A Bay City John Glenn ( 6- 8, 78.2) 15- 4 424 A Bay City Central (10- 6, 79.7) 18- 4 426 H Rochester Adams ( 9- 8, 86.5) 10-11 501 A Bay City Western ( 6-12, 78.7) 17- 8 502 A Grand Ledge (17- 5, 93.1) 6-15 505 H Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 19-12 508 A Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 4-13 510 A Forest Hills Norther (11- 8, 90.6) 15-14 513 H Midland ( 0-15, 74.8) 17- 7 516 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 6- 8, 79.8) 19- 7 523 H Saginaw Heritage (11- 7, 82.9) 11-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Traverse City Centra   14- 8       6     3    +      2.13
   320 H Swartz Creek           17- 3      14     8           0.00
   326 A Linden                 14- 4      10     4           0.93
   408 H Davison                18- 3      15    10           0.00
   410 H Lapeer                 18- 1      17     9           0.00
   412 H Traverse City West     16-10       6     1    +      3.93
   414 A Saginaw Heritage       11-12      -1     3    -     -3.82
   417 H Petoskey                8- 7       1     1          -0.06
   421 A Bay City John Glenn    15- 4      11     7           0.00
   424 A Bay City Central       18- 4      14     6           0.00
   426 H Rochester Adams        10-11      -1     0          -1.20
   501 A Bay City Western       17- 8       9     7           0.00
   502 A Grand Ledge             6-15      -9    -7           0.00
   505 H Flint Powers           19-12       7     5           0.47
   508 A Grand Blanc             4-13      -9    -2    -     -3.47
   510 A Forest Hills Norther   15-14       1    -5    ++     5.92
   513 H Midland                17- 7      10    12           0.00
   516 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton   19- 7      12     7           0.00
   523 H Saginaw Heritage       11-12      -1     4    --    -4.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 H Saginaw Heritage       11-12      -1     4    --    -4.82
   414 A Saginaw Heritage       11-12      -1     3    -     -3.82
   508 A Grand Blanc             4-13      -9    -2    -     -3.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Forest Hills Norther   15-14       1    -5    ++     5.92
   319 H Traverse City Centra   14- 8       6     3    +      2.13
   412 H Traverse City West     16-10       6     1    +      3.93

Midland Dow Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Anchor Bay Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab   Ann Arbor Father Gab
Ann Arbor Greenhills Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Ann Arbor Huron Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Midland Dow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Bay City Central Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Bay City John Glenn Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Bay City Western Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belleville Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Birmingham United Birmingham United insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Bishop Foley Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Bloomfield Hills Midland Dow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Brighton
Brighton B Midland Dow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Midland Dow
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Byron Center Byron Center insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Byron Center
Cadillac Midland Dow Midland Dow   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Caledonia Caledonia tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Caledonia
Canton Midland Dow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Cass Tech Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Chelsea Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Chippewa Valley Midland Dow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Clarkston Clarkston Clarkston   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Coopersville Midland Dow Midland Dow   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cranbrook Cranbrook   Cranbrook
Dakota Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Davison Midland Dow Midland Dow  
De La Salle Midland Dow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Midland Dow
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt Midland Dow insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Midland Dow
Dexter Dexter   Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood Midland Dow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Midland Dow
East Lansing East Lansing tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) East Lansing
Farmington Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Fenton Midland Dow Midland Dow   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Flint Powers Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forest Hills Eastern
Forest Hills Norther Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc Grand Blanc  
Grand Haven Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Grand Rapids Catholi Midland Dow insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Midland Dow
Grand Rapids Christi Midland Dow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Grandville Midland Dow Midland Dow   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Grosse Ile Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Grosse Pointe North Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Grosse Pointe South Midland Dow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Harper Creek Midland Dow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hartland
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Haslett-Williamston
Henry Ford II Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Holland Christian Holland Christian   Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Midland Dow insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Midland Dow
Holt Holt tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Holt
Howell Midland Dow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Midland Dow
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jackson Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Jenison Midland Dow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Kalamazoo United Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) Kenowa Hills
L'Anse Creuse Midland Dow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Midland Dow
L'Anse Creuse North Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lake Shore Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Lakeview Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Lansing Catholic Midland Dow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Lapeer Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Lincoln Ypsilanti Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Linden Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Livonia United Livonia United   Livonia United
Lowell Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Midland Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Mona Shores Mona Shores tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Mona Shores
Northview Midland Dow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Northville Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Notre Dame Prep Midland Dow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Midland Dow
Novi Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Okemos Okemos tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Okemos
Orchard Lake St Mary Midland Dow tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Midland Dow
Ortonville Brandon Midland Dow Midland Dow   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Oxford Oxford tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Oxford
Pennfield Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Petoskey Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Pinckney Midland Dow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Plymouth Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Port Huron United Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Portage Central Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Portage Northern Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Reeths Puffer Midland Dow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Riverview Gabriel Ri Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Rochester HS Midland Dow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Rockford
Romeo Romeo Romeo   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Royal Oak HS Midland Dow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Royal Oak Shrine Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Salem Midland Dow insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Midland Dow
Saline Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Sault Area Midland Dow Midland Dow   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Lyon Unified
Spring Lake Spring Lake insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Spring Lake
St Clair Midland Dow   Midland Dow
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Midland Dow Midland Dow   2- 1 vs 0- 3
St Mary Catholic Cen Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Swartz Creek Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Tecumseh Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Traverse City Centra Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Traverse City West Midland Dow Midland Dow  
Troy Midland Dow tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Midland Dow
Troy Athens Midland Dow   Midland Dow
University Detroit J Midland Dow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Midland Dow
University Liggett Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Utica Eisenhower Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Vicksburg Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Walled Lake Northern
Walled Lake Western Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Waterford United Midland Dow Midland Dow   6- 0 vs 4- 2
West Bloomfield Midland Dow Midland Dow   2- 0 vs 0- 2
White Lake Lakeland Midland Dow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Midland Dow
Zeeland Zeeland   Zeeland

PowerWise = 92


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Traverse City   ( 5-13, 83.9)    14- 8      -16.04      16.27      -0.50         0.85            13.33
   0 H Swartz Creek    ( 5-11, 78.7)    17- 3      -21.21      11.10      -0.50         0.85             8.96
   0 A Linden          (11- 7, 81.7)    14- 4      -18.24      14.08       0.50         0.85            12.32
   0 H Davison         ( 4-12, 76.7)    18- 3      -23.17       9.14      -0.50         0.85             7.31
   0 H Lapeer          ( 5-12, 78.2)    18- 1      -21.75      10.57      -0.50         0.85             8.51
   0 H Traverse City   ( 8- 6, 85.7)    16-10      -14.25      18.07      -0.50         0.85            14.85
   0 A Saginaw Herita  (11- 7, 82.9)    11-12      -16.99      15.32       0.50         0.85           -13.94
   0 H Petoskey        (11- 4, 85.7)     8- 7      -14.23      18.08      -0.50         0.85            14.86
   0 A Bay City John   ( 6- 8, 78.2)    15- 4      -21.65      10.66       0.50         0.85             9.43
   0 A Bay City Centr  (10- 6, 79.7)    18- 4      -20.19      12.12       0.50         0.85            10.67
   0 H Rochester Adam  ( 9- 8, 86.5)    10-11      -13.38      18.94      -0.50         0.85           -11.73
   0 A Bay City Weste  ( 6-12, 78.7)    17- 8      -21.23      11.09       0.50         0.85             9.79
   0 A Grand Ledge     (17- 5, 93.1)     6-15       -6.84      25.47       0.50         0.85            -5.36
   0 H Flint Powers    ( 8-10, 82.2)    19-12      -17.71      14.61      -0.50         0.85            11.92
   0 A Grand Blanc     (13- 5, 87.3)     4-13      -12.64      19.68       0.50         0.85           -10.26
   0 A Forest Hills N  (11- 8, 90.6)    15-14       -9.25      23.06       0.50         0.85            19.91
   0 H Midland         ( 0-15, 74.8)    17- 7      -25.11       7.20      -0.50         0.85             5.67
   0 H Goodrich/Lake   ( 6- 8, 79.8)    19- 7      -20.15      12.16      -0.50         0.85             9.86
   0 H Saginaw Herita  (11- 7, 82.9)    11-12      -16.99      15.32      -0.50         0.85           -14.78
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       101.32

winning pts = 157.3934 losing points = -56.0756

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------