Arvada West
W-L: ( 2-13) PR = 78.0058Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 6-18 310 A ThunderRidge ( 3-10, 80.9) 10-11 312 H Fairview (11- 5, 91.7) 3-18 326 A Mullen ( 7- 7, 82.4) 4-14 328 H Green Mountain ( 7- 9, 83.1) 10-18 402 A Pine Creek ( 5- 9, 84.2) 8-17 404 H Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 5-14 409 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 0-18 411 A Boulder ( 7- 6, 86.0) 8-21 421 A Thomas Jefferson ( 3-12, 72.3) 22- 1 423 A Douglas County ( 4-11, 81.1) 6-19 425 A Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 5-20 428 H Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 1-15 429 A Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 3-14 502 H Jefferson Academy ( 4- 8, 76.0) 12- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 A Columbine 6-18 -12 -9 0.00
310 A ThunderRidge 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.27
312 H Fairview 3-18 -15 -13 0.00
326 A Mullen 4-14 -10 -5 -0.27
328 H Green Mountain 10-18 -8 -5 -0.27
402 A Pine Creek 8-17 -9 -7 0.00
404 H Heritage 5-14 -9 -7 0.00
409 H Northfield 0-18 -18 -10 0.00
411 A Boulder 8-21 -13 -8 0.00
421 A Thomas Jefferson 22- 1 21 5 0.00
423 A Douglas County 6-19 -13 -3 -1.51
425 A Eaglecrest 5-20 -15 -6 0.00
428 H Lewis Palmer 1-15 -14 -10 0.00
429 A Chaparral 3-14 -11 -2 - -2.83
502 H Jefferson Academy 12- 1 11 2 + 2.61
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 A Chaparral 3-14 -11 -2 - -2.83 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A ThunderRidge 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.27 502 H Jefferson Academy 12- 1 11 2 + 2.61 |
Arvada West Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | Air Academy 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Aspen | Aspen | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Aspen | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Battle Mountain | |
| Boulder | Boulder | Boulder | ||
| Castle View | Castle View | Castle View 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Chaparral | Chaparral | Chaparral | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | Chatfield 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cheyenne Mountain | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Columbine | Columbine | Columbine | ||
| Conifer | Conifer | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Conifer | |
| Crested Butte | Crested Butte | Crested Butte | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Denver North | Arvada West | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Arvada West | |
| Denver South | Denver South | Denver South 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Douglas County | Douglas County | Douglas County | ||
| Durango | Durango | Durango | ||
| Eagle Valley | Arvada West | Arvada West | ||
| Eaglecrest | Eaglecrest | Eaglecrest | ||
| Erie | Erie | Erie 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview | ||
| Fountain Valley | Arvada West | Arvada West | ||
| Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Glenwood Springs | Glenwood Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Glenwood Springs | |
| Golden | Golden | Golden 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Grand Junction | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Grandview | Grandview | Grandview 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | Green Mountain | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Holy Family | Holy Family | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Holy Family | |
| Jefferson Academy | Arvada West | Arvada West | ||
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver | ||
| Lakewood | Lakewood | Lakewood 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | ||
| Littleton | Arvada West | Arvada West 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lutheran | Lutheran | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lutheran | |
| Middle Park | Middle Park | Middle Park 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Monarch | Monarch | Monarch 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Montrose | Montrose | Montrose | ||
| Mountain Range | Mountain Range | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Mountain Range | |
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Mullen | Mullen | Mullen | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Palmer | Arvada West | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arvada West | |
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Ponderosa | Ponderosa | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Ponderosa | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | Poudre District 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Prairie View | Prairie View | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Prairie View | |
| Pueblo West | Pueblo West | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Pueblo West | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Rangeview | Arvada West | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Arvada West | |
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Resurrection Christi | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Resurrection Christi | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Smoky Hill | Arvada West | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Arvada West | |
| St Marys HS | Arvada West | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arvada West | |
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | ||
| Summit | Summit | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Summit | |
| Telluride | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Arvada West | Arvada West | ||
| Thompson Valley | Thompson Valley | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Thompson Valley | |
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Vanguard School | Arvada West | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Arvada West | |
| Windsor | Windsor | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Windsor |
PowerWise = 11
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 6-18 -13.19 20.32 0.37 1.00 -12.85
0 A ThunderRidge ( 3-10, 80.9) 10-11 -18.99 14.51 0.37 1.00 -18.68
0 H Fairview (11- 5, 91.7) 3-18 -8.18 25.33 -0.37 1.00 -8.57
0 A Mullen ( 7- 7, 82.4) 4-14 -17.54 15.97 0.37 1.00 -17.21
0 H Green Mountain ( 7- 9, 83.1) 10-18 -16.80 16.70 -0.37 1.00 -17.22
0 A Pine Creek ( 5- 9, 84.2) 8-17 -15.71 17.79 0.37 1.00 -15.38
0 H Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 5-14 -14.87 18.64 -0.37 1.00 -15.28
0 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 0-18 -11.37 22.13 -0.37 1.00 -11.77
0 A Boulder ( 7- 6, 86.0) 8-21 -13.87 19.63 0.37 1.00 -13.54
0 A Thomas Jeffers ( 3-12, 72.3) 22- 1 -27.63 5.87 0.37 1.00 6.25
0 A Douglas County ( 4-11, 81.1) 6-19 -18.78 14.73 0.37 1.00 -18.46
0 A Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 5-20 -16.28 17.22 0.37 1.00 -15.95
0 H Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 1-15 -11.92 21.59 -0.37 1.00 -12.32
0 A Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 3-14 -20.09 13.42 0.37 1.00 -19.77
0 H Jefferson Acad ( 4- 8, 76.0) 12- 1 -23.92 9.59 -0.37 1.00 9.24
------
-181.50
|
winning pts = 15.4967 losing points = -197.0004
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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