---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Middle Park 1
  
Middle Park           
W-L: (13- 4) PR = 83.1933

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 3- 9 313 A Douglas County ( 4-11, 81.1) 7- 6 331 A Palmer ( 3-10, 71.4) 17- 1 405 H Holy Family ( 8- 7, 80.2) 13- 2 407 A Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 10-13 408 H Littleton ( 1-14, 66.4) 16- 2 410 H Thomas Jefferson ( 3-12, 72.3) 17- 1 412 A St Marys HS ( 3-11, 70.5) 22- 5 415 H Vanguard School ( 7- 8, 76.4) 17- 5 416 H Conifer ( 5-11, 80.0) 16- 2 421 H Resurrection Christi (11- 4, 87.2) 7-15 425 H Prairie View ( 6-10, 79.6) 11- 4 428 H Denver North ( 7- 8, 76.0) 12- 3 430 A Thompson Valley ( 3-12, 78.3) 13- 3 502 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 12- 9 506 H Mullen ( 7- 7, 82.4) 9- 8 509 A Resurrection Christi (11- 4, 87.2) 4-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Heritage                3- 9      -6    -2    -     -2.79
   313 A Douglas County          7- 6       1     2          -0.70
   331 A Palmer                 17- 1      16    11           0.00
   405 H Holy Family            13- 2      11     3           1.65
   407 A Vail Mountain          10-13      -3    -2          -1.33
   408 H Littleton              16- 2      14    17           0.00
   410 H Thomas Jefferson       17- 1      16    11           0.00
   412 A St Marys HS            22- 5      17    12           0.00
   415 H Vanguard School        17- 5      12     7           0.00
   416 H Conifer                16- 2      14     4           1.47
   421 H Resurrection Christi    7-15      -8    -4          -1.39
   425 H Prairie View           11- 4       7     4           1.03
   428 H Denver North           12- 3       9     8           0.00
   430 A Thompson Valley        13- 3      10     5           0.45
   502 A Pueblo West            12- 9       3     1    +      2.45
   506 H Mullen                  9- 8       1     1          -0.20
   509 A Resurrection Christi    4-11      -7    -4          -0.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Heritage                3- 9      -6    -2    -     -2.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Pueblo West            12- 9       3     1    +      2.45

Middle Park Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy Air Academy   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Arapahoe Arapahoe   Arapahoe
Arvada West Middle Park Middle Park   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Aspen Aspen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Aspen
Battle Mountain Battle Mountain insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Battle Mountain
Boulder Boulder tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Boulder
Castle View Castle View tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Castle View
Chaparral Middle Park insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Middle Park
Chatfield Chatfield   Chatfield
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail   Cherokee Trail
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek   Cherry Creek
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cheyenne Mountain
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   Colorado Academy
Columbine Columbine tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Columbine
Conifer Middle Park Middle Park  
Crested Butte Middle Park tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Middle Park
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Dakota Ridge
Denver East Denver East tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Denver East
Denver North Middle Park Middle Park  
Denver South Denver South tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Denver South
Douglas County Middle Park Middle Park  
Durango Middle Park insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Middle Park
Eagle Valley Middle Park insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Middle Park
Eaglecrest Eaglecrest tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Eaglecrest
Erie Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Erie
Evergreen Evergreen Evergreen   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Fairview Fairview insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fairview
Fountain Valley Middle Park Middle Park   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Fruita Monument Fruita Monument tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Fruita Monument
Glenwood Springs Middle Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Middle Park
Golden Golden tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Golden
Grand Junction Grand Junction tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Grand Junction
Grandview Grandview   Grandview
Green Mountain Middle Park tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Middle Park
Heritage Heritage Heritage  
Holy Family Middle Park Middle Park  
Jefferson Academy Middle Park Middle Park   7- 1 vs 3- 5
Kent Denver Kent Denver   Kent Denver
Lakewood Lakewood   Lakewood
Legend Legend   Legend
Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Lewis Palmer
Littleton Middle Park Middle Park  
Lutheran Lutheran tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) Lutheran
Monarch Monarch   Monarch
Montrose Middle Park insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Middle Park
Mountain Range Mountain Range tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mountain Range
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista   Mountain Vista
Mullen Middle Park Middle Park  
Northfield Northfield insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Northfield
Palmer Middle Park Middle Park  
Pine Creek Pine Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Pine Creek
Ponderosa Middle Park tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) Middle Park
Poudre District Poudre District Poudre District   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Prairie View Middle Park Middle Park  
Pueblo West Middle Park Middle Park  
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley   Ralston Valley
Rangeview Middle Park Middle Park   7- 0 vs 4- 3
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit   Regis Jesuit
Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi  
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon   Rock Canyon
Smoky Hill Middle Park Middle Park   7- 0 vs 3- 4
St Marys HS Middle Park Middle Park  
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Steamboat Springs
Summit Middle Park tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Middle Park
Telluride Telluride tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Telluride
Thomas Jefferson Middle Park Middle Park  
Thompson Valley Middle Park Middle Park  
ThunderRidge Middle Park insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Middle Park
Vail Mountain Vail Mountain Vail Mountain  
Valor Christian Valor Christian   Valor Christian
Vanguard School Middle Park Middle Park  
Windsor Middle Park insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 3) Middle Park

PowerWise = 29


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Heritage        ( 9- 6, 85.0)     3- 9      -14.87      18.64       0.37         0.88           -12.83
   0 A Douglas County  ( 4-11, 81.1)     7- 6      -18.78      14.73       0.37         0.88            13.36
   0 A Palmer          ( 3-10, 71.4)    17- 1      -28.46       5.04       0.37         0.88             4.79
   0 H Holy Family     ( 8- 7, 80.2)    13- 2      -19.69      13.81      -0.37         0.88            11.90
   0 A Vail Mountain   ( 8- 9, 84.5)    10-13      -15.41      18.09       0.37         0.88           -13.31
   0 H Littleton       ( 1-14, 66.4)    16- 2      -33.50       1.00      -0.37         0.88             0.56
   0 H Thomas Jeffers  ( 3-12, 72.3)    17- 1      -27.63       5.87      -0.37         0.88             4.87
   0 A St Marys HS     ( 3-11, 70.5)    22- 5      -29.39       4.11       0.37         0.88             3.96
   0 H Vanguard Schoo  ( 7- 8, 76.4)    17- 5      -23.47      10.03      -0.37         0.88             8.55
   0 H Conifer         ( 5-11, 80.0)    16- 2      -19.87      13.64      -0.37         0.88            11.74
   0 H Resurrection C  (11- 4, 87.2)     7-15      -12.73      20.77      -0.37         0.88           -11.59
   0 H Prairie View    ( 6-10, 79.6)    11- 4      -20.30      13.20      -0.37         0.88            11.35
   0 H Denver North    ( 7- 8, 76.0)    12- 3      -23.86       9.64      -0.37         0.88             8.21
   0 A Thompson Valle  ( 3-12, 78.3)    13- 3      -21.62      11.88       0.37         0.88            10.84
   0 A Pueblo West     (11- 5, 82.3)    12- 9      -17.62      15.88       0.37         0.88            14.38
   0 H Mullen          ( 7- 7, 82.4)     9- 8      -17.54      15.97      -0.37         0.88            13.80
   0 A Resurrection C  (11- 4, 87.2)     4-11      -12.73      20.77       0.37         0.88           -10.94
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        69.63

winning pts = 118.2945 losing points = -48.6635

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------