---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys Fenton 1
  
Fenton                
W-L: ( 9- 9) PR = 80.5786

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Walled Lake Northern (12- 4, 86.7) 2-19 322 H Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 6- 7 325 A Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 6-14 327 H Belleville (11- 8, 81.6) 7-10 408 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 6- 8, 79.8) 12-11 411 H Ortonville Brandon ( 4-11, 78.0) 10- 2 412 A West Bloomfield ( 2-14, 76.7) 10- 4 415 A Linden (11- 7, 81.7) 9- 8 419 H DeWitt ( 8- 9, 83.9) 4-14 422 H Swartz Creek ( 5-11, 78.7) 14- 2 429 A Ortonville Brandon ( 4-11, 78.0) 14- 3 502 H Linden (11- 7, 81.7) 7- 9 505 A Chelsea ( 3-12, 76.8) 11- 6 509 A Petoskey (11- 4, 85.7) 1-16 510 H Sault Area ( 0- 5, 77.6) 15- 6 512 A Swartz Creek ( 5-11, 78.7) 7- 5 514 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 6- 8, 79.8) 10-12 516 A Dexter (14- 5, 88.5) 4-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Walled Lake Northern    2-19     -17    -6           0.00
   322 H Lapeer                  6- 7      -1     3    -     -3.92
   325 A Flint Powers            6-14      -8    -2    -     -2.89
   327 H Belleville              7-10      -3    -1    -     -2.46
   408 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton   12-11       1     0           0.67
   411 H Ortonville Brandon     10- 2       8     3           1.92
   412 A West Bloomfield        10- 4       6     3           1.59
   415 A Linden                  9- 8       1    -2    +      2.58
   419 H DeWitt                  4-14     -10    -3    -     -2.21
   422 H Swartz Creek           14- 2      12     2    +      2.61
   429 A Ortonville Brandon     14- 3      11     2    +      2.92
   502 H Linden                  7- 9      -2    -1          -1.41
   505 A Chelsea                11- 6       5     3           1.74
   509 A Petoskey                1-16     -15    -6           0.00
   510 H Sault Area             15- 6       9     3           1.57
   512 A Swartz Creek            7- 5       2     1           0.61
   514 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton   10-12      -2     1    -     -3.32
   516 A Dexter                  4-17     -13    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Lapeer                  6- 7      -1     3    -     -3.92
   325 A Flint Powers            6-14      -8    -2    -     -2.89
   327 H Belleville              7-10      -3    -1    -     -2.46
   419 H DeWitt                  4-14     -10    -3    -     -2.21
   514 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton   10-12      -2     1    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Linden                  9- 8       1    -2    +      2.58
   422 H Swartz Creek           14- 2      12     2    +      2.61
   429 A Ortonville Brandon     14- 3      11     2    +      2.92

Fenton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Fenton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fenton
Anchor Bay Fenton   Fenton
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Ann Arbor Father Gab
Ann Arbor Greenhills Fenton   Fenton
Ann Arbor Huron Fenton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fenton
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ann Arbor Skyline Fenton insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Fenton
Bay City Central Fenton insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Fenton
Bay City John Glenn Fenton Fenton   4- 2 vs 1- 3
Bay City Western Fenton insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 3) Fenton
Bedford Bedford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bedford
Belleville Belleville Belleville  
Birmingham United Birmingham United   Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley Fenton   Fenton
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Fenton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fenton
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Cadillac Fenton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fenton
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Canton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Canton
Cass Tech Fenton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fenton
Chelsea Fenton Fenton  
Chippewa Valley Fenton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fenton
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Coopersville
Cranbrook Cranbrook insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cranbrook
Dakota Dakota   Dakota
Davison Fenton Fenton   4- 4 vs 1- 5
De La Salle De La Salle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt  
Dexter Dexter Dexter  
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood Fenton   Fenton
East Lansing East Lansing insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) East Lansing
Farmington Fenton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fenton
Flint Powers Flint Powers Flint Powers  
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern   Forest Hills Eastern
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   Forest Hills Norther
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Fenton Fenton   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi   Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi   Grand Rapids Christi
Grandville Grandville   Grandville
Grosse Ile Fenton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fenton
Grosse Pointe North Fenton   Fenton
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Harper Creek Harper Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Harper Creek
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Hartland
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian   Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt Holt   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Howell Howell Howell   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jackson Fenton insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Fenton
Jenison Jenison tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Jenison
Kalamazoo United Fenton   Fenton
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   2- 0 vs 0- 2
L'Anse Creuse Fenton   Fenton
L'Anse Creuse North Fenton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fenton
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lakeview
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Lapeer Lapeer  
Lincoln Ypsilanti Fenton tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Fenton
Linden Linden tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) Linden
Livonia United Livonia United insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Livonia United
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Midland Fenton insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) Fenton
Midland Dow Midland Dow Midland Dow   6- 0 vs 3- 5
Mona Shores Mona Shores insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame Prep
Novi Fenton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Fenton
Okemos Okemos insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Okemos
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Fenton Fenton  
Oxford Oxford insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Oxford
Pennfield Fenton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fenton
Petoskey Petoskey Petoskey  
Pinckney Fenton   Fenton
Plymouth Plymouth insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Plymouth
Port Huron United Fenton   Fenton
Portage Central Portage Central   Portage Central
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Reeths Puffer   Reeths Puffer
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre   Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Romeo Romeo   Romeo
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Royal Oak HS
Royal Oak Shrine Fenton   Fenton
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Saginaw Heritage
Salem Salem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Salem
Saline Saline tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Saline
Sault Area Fenton Fenton  
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Spring Lake Spring Lake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Spring Lake
St Clair Fenton   Fenton
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Fenton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fenton
St Mary Catholic Cen Fenton   Fenton
Swartz Creek Fenton Fenton  
Tecumseh Tecumseh tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Tecumseh
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City West
Troy Troy tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Troy Athens
University Detroit J University Detroit J insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) University Detroit J
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg   Vicksburg
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern  
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Waterford United tied - ( 4- 5) ( 4- 3) Waterford United
West Bloomfield Fenton Fenton  
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland Zeeland   Zeeland

PowerWise = 38


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Walled Lake No  (12- 4, 86.7)     2-19      -13.20      19.12      -0.50         0.89           -12.22
   0 H Lapeer          ( 5-12, 78.2)     6- 7      -21.75      10.57      -0.50         0.89           -19.84
   0 A Flint Powers    ( 8-10, 82.2)     6-14      -17.71      14.61       0.50         0.89           -15.35
   0 H Belleville      (11- 8, 81.6)     7-10      -18.29      14.02      -0.50         0.89           -16.76
   0 A Goodrich/Lake   ( 6- 8, 79.8)    12-11      -20.15      12.16       0.50         0.89            11.30
   0 H Ortonville Bra  ( 4-11, 78.0)    10- 2      -21.90      10.41      -0.50         0.89             8.85
   0 A West Bloomfiel  ( 2-14, 76.7)    10- 4      -23.23       9.08       0.50         0.89             8.55
   0 A Linden          (11- 7, 81.7)     9- 8      -18.24      14.08       0.50         0.89            13.00
   0 H DeWitt          ( 8- 9, 83.9)     4-14      -16.03      16.28      -0.50         0.89           -14.75
   0 H Swartz Creek    ( 5-11, 78.7)    14- 2      -21.21      11.10      -0.50         0.89             9.46
   0 A Ortonville Bra  ( 4-11, 78.0)    14- 3      -21.90      10.41       0.50         0.89             9.73
   0 H Linden          (11- 7, 81.7)     7- 9      -18.24      14.08      -0.50         0.89           -16.71
   0 A Chelsea         ( 3-12, 76.8)    11- 6      -23.07       9.24       0.50         0.89             8.69
   0 A Petoskey        (11- 4, 85.7)     1-16      -14.23      18.08       0.50         0.89           -12.25
   0 H Sault Area      ( 0- 5, 77.6)    15- 6      -22.25      10.06      -0.50         0.89             8.53
   0 A Swartz Creek    ( 5-11, 78.7)     7- 5      -21.21      11.10       0.50         0.89            10.35
   0 H Goodrich/Lake   ( 6- 8, 79.8)    10-12      -20.15      12.16      -0.50         0.89           -18.42
   0 A Dexter          (14- 5, 88.5)     4-17      -11.45      20.86       0.50         0.89            -9.77
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -47.64

winning pts = 88.4422 losing points = -136.0801

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------