North Lincoln
W-L: (15- 7) PR = 87.5238
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
225 H Lincoln Charter (10-11, 83.8) 18- 4
227 H TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 8- 9
303 H Christ The King (14- 6, 91.2) 9-11
304 H Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 13- 6
306 A Lake Norman Charter (17- 7, 93.5) 6-13
311 A Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 12-11
313 A Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 14- 2
318 A St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 13- 7
325 H Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 19- 3
327 A Community School-Dav (16- 9, 90.4) 6-15
401 A TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 9-13
403 H South Mecklenburg ( 1-14, 80.4) 20- 4
408 A Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 21-11
410 H Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 18-11
422 H Mooresville ( 4-15, 83.8) 14-13
424 H Southlake Christian (12- 6, 89.7) 7-10
429 H Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 18- 4
501 H St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 18- 5
506 A Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 23- 3
507 A South Iredell ( 0-18, 70.8) 17- 0
516 H North Davidson ( 5-13, 74.5) 24- 1
520 A Community School-Dav (16- 9, 90.4) 6-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H Lincoln Charter 18- 4 14 4 0.99
227 H TC Roberson 8- 9 -1 -1 -0.34
303 H Christ The King 9-11 -2 -3 1.43
304 H Asheville HS 13- 6 7 6 0.00
306 A Lake Norman Charter 6-13 -7 -6 0.00
311 A Hickory 12-11 1 0 0.52
313 A Watauga 14- 2 12 8 0.00
318 A St Stephens 13- 7 6 3 + 2.28
325 H Patton Morganton 19- 3 16 12 0.00
327 A Community School-Dav 6-15 -9 -3 -1.83
401 A TC Roberson 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.79
403 H South Mecklenburg 20- 4 16 7 0.00
408 A Asheville HS 21-11 10 5 0.00
410 H Hickory 18-11 7 1 + 3.97
422 H Mooresville 14-13 1 4 - -3.01
424 H Southlake Christian 7-10 -3 -2 -1.11
429 H Watauga 18- 4 14 9 0.00
501 H St Stephens 18- 5 13 3 1.73
506 A Patton Morganton 23- 3 20 11 0.00
507 A South Iredell 17- 0 17 16 0.00
516 H North Davidson 24- 1 23 13 0.00
520 A Community School-Dav 6-11 -5 -3 -1.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
401 A TC Roberson 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.79
422 H Mooresville 14-13 1 4 - -3.01
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 A St Stephens 13- 7 6 3 + 2.28
410 H Hickory 18-11 7 1 + 3.97
|
North Lincoln Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Apex |
Apex |
|
 
| Apex |
Apex Friendship |
Apex Friendship |
|
 
| Apex Friendship |
Ardrey Kell |
Ardrey Kell |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Ardrey Kell |
Arendell Parrott Aca |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Asheville HS |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
 
| |
Asheville School |
North Lincoln |
|
North Lincoln   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Ashley |
Ashley |
|
 
| Ashley |
Athens Drive |
Athens Drive |
|
 
| Athens Drive |
Atkins |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) |
North Lincoln |
Ballantyne Ridge |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
North Lincoln |
Bishop McGuinness |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) |
North Lincoln |
Bradford Prep |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) |
North Lincoln |
Broughton |
Broughton |
|
 
| Broughton |
Butler |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
North Lincoln |
Cannon School |
Cannon School |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) |
Cannon School |
Cape Fear Academy |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Cape Fear HS |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Cardinal Gibbons |
Cardinal Gibbons |
|
 
| Cardinal Gibbons |
Carrboro |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Cary Academy |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Cary Christian |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Cary HS |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
North Lincoln |
Cedar Ridge |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Chapel Hill |
Chapel Hill |
|
 
| Chapel Hill |
Charlotte Catholic |
Charlotte Catholic |
|
Charlotte Catholic   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte CDS |
|
Charlotte CDS   4- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
Charlotte Christian |
Charlotte Christian |
|
Charlotte Christian   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Charlotte Latin |
Charlotte Latin |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Charlotte Latin |
Christ School |
Christ School |
|
 
| Christ School |
Christ The King |
Christ The King |
Christ The King |
 
| |
Clayton |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Cleveland |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Community School-Dav |
Community School-Dav |
Community School-Dav |
 
| |
Corinth Holders |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Cornerstone Charter |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) |
North Lincoln |
Croatan |
Croatan |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) |
Croatan |
Cuthbertson |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
North Lincoln |
Davie |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) |
Davie |
DH Conley |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Durham Academy |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
East Chapel Hill |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
East Forsyth |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
North Lincoln |
Eastern Alamance |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Eastern Guilford |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) |
North Lincoln |
Enloe |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Fike |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
First Flight |
First Flight |
|
 
| First Flight |
Forsyth Country Day |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Forsyth Country Day |
Fuquay-Varina |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Garner |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Glenn |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
North Lincoln |
Grays Creek |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Green Hope |
Green Hope |
|
 
| Green Hope |
Green Level |
Green Level |
|
 
| Green Level |
Greensboro Day |
Greensboro Day |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Greensboro Day |
Grimsley |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) |
North Lincoln |
Havelock |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Heritage |
Heritage |
|
 
| Heritage |
Hickory |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
 
| |
High Point Central |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) |
North Lincoln |
Hillsborough Orange |
Hillsborough Orange |
|
 
| Hillsborough Orange |
Hoggard |
Hoggard |
|
 
| Hoggard |
Holly Springs |
Holly Springs |
|
 
| Holly Springs |
Hough |
Hough |
|
Hough   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Hunt |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Independence |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Jack Britt |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Jacksonville |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
JF Webb |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
JH Rose |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
John Paul II Catholi |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Jordan |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Lake Norman Charter |
Lake Norman Charter |
Lake Norman Charter |
 
| |
Lake Norman HS |
Lake Norman HS |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Lake Norman HS |
Laney |
Laney |
|
 
| Laney |
Leesville Road |
Leesville Road |
|
 
| Leesville Road |
Lincoln Charter |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
 
| |
Marvin Ridge |
Marvin Ridge |
|
Marvin Ridge   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
Millbrook |
Millbrook |
|
 
| Millbrook |
Mooresville |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
 
| |
Mount Tabor |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
North Lincoln |
Mountain Island Char |
North Lincoln |
|
North Lincoln   2- 3 vs 0- 5 |
|
Myers Park |
Myers Park |
|
tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) |
Myers Park |
New Bern |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
New Hanover |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
North Brunswick |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
North Davidson |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
 
| |
North Raleigh Christ |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Northern Durham |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Northern Guilford |
Northern Guilford |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Northern Guilford |
Northside |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Northwest Guilford |
Northwest Guilford |
|
Northwest Guilford   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Northwood |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Page |
Page |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) |
Page |
Panther Creek |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Parkwood |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
North Lincoln |
Patton Morganton |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
 
| |
Pine Forest |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Pine Lake Prep |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) |
North Lincoln |
Pinecrest |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Porter Ridge |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
North Lincoln |
Providence |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
North Lincoln |
Providence Day |
Providence Day |
|
 
| Providence Day |
Queens Grant |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
|
 
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Ragsdale |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) |
North Lincoln |
Ravenscroft School |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Reagan |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) |
North Lincoln |
Riverside Durham |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
North Lincoln |
RJ Reynolds |
RJ Reynolds |
|
 
| RJ Reynolds |
Rolesville |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Roxboro Community |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Sanderson |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Seaforth |
Seaforth |
|
 
| Seaforth |
South Brunswick |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
South Garner |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
South Iredell |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
 
| |
South Mecklenburg |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
 
| |
South View |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Southeast Alamance |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Southeast Guilford |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Southern Alamance |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Southlake Christian |
Southlake Christian |
Southlake Christian |
 
| |
Southwest Guilford |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) |
North Lincoln |
St Davids School |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
North Lincoln |
St Stephens |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
 
| |
Sun Valley |
North Lincoln |
|
North Lincoln   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Swansboro |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
TC Roberson |
TC Roberson |
TC Roberson |
 
| |
Terry Sanford |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Topsail |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
Union Pines |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Vance Charter |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Voyager Academy |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Lincoln |
Wake Forest |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Wake Prep |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Wakefield |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Walter M Williams |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Watauga |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
 
| |
Weddington |
Weddington |
|
 
| Weddington |
West Brunswick |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
West Carteret |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
West Forsyth |
North Lincoln |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) |
North Lincoln |
West Stokes |
North Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1) |
North Lincoln |
Western Alamance |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Western Guilford |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
Willow Spring |
Willow Spring |
|
 
| Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 98

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Lincoln Charte (10-11, 83.8) 18- 4 -16.11 17.70 -0.27 0.82 14.21
0 H TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 8- 9 -11.44 22.37 -0.27 0.82 -9.55
0 H Christ The Kin (14- 6, 91.2) 9-11 -8.68 25.13 -0.27 0.82 -7.29
0 H Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 13- 6 -17.94 15.87 -0.27 0.82 12.71
0 A Lake Norman Ch (17- 7, 93.5) 6-13 -6.37 27.44 0.27 0.82 -4.97
0 A Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 12-11 -13.13 20.68 0.27 0.82 17.08
0 A Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 14- 2 -21.04 12.77 0.27 0.82 10.63
0 A St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 13- 7 -15.37 18.44 0.27 0.82 15.25
0 H Patton Morgan ( 2-13, 76.0) 19- 3 -23.90 9.91 -0.27 0.82 7.86
0 A Community Scho (16- 9, 90.4) 6-15 -9.47 24.34 0.27 0.82 -7.50
0 A TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 9-13 -11.44 22.37 0.27 0.82 -9.10
0 H South Mecklenb ( 1-14, 80.4) 20- 4 -19.49 14.31 -0.27 0.82 11.45
0 A Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 21-11 -17.94 15.87 0.27 0.82 13.15
0 H Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 18-11 -13.13 20.68 -0.27 0.82 16.63
0 H Mooresville ( 4-15, 83.8) 14-13 -16.12 17.69 -0.27 0.82 14.20
0 H Southlake Chri (12- 6, 89.7) 7-10 -10.21 23.59 -0.27 0.82 -8.55
0 H Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 18- 4 -21.04 12.77 -0.27 0.82 10.19
0 H St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 18- 5 -15.37 18.44 -0.27 0.82 14.81
0 A Patton Morgan ( 2-13, 76.0) 23- 3 -23.90 9.91 0.27 0.82 8.30
0 A South Iredell ( 0-18, 70.8) 17- 0 -29.06 4.75 0.27 0.82 4.09
0 H North Davidson ( 5-13, 74.5) 24- 1 -25.37 8.44 -0.27 0.82 6.66
0 A Community Scho (16- 9, 90.4) 6-11 -9.47 24.34 0.27 0.82 -7.50
------
122.75
|
winning pts = 177.2202 losing points = -54.4677
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------