Grays Creek
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 77.3022Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 6-16 303 A Terry Sanford (11- 8, 80.2) 17-16 304 A Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 13-21 306 H Pine Forest ( 0-12, 69.9) 15- 0 310 H Cape Fear HS ( 6- 8, 78.7) 12-13 313 A Pine Forest ( 0-12, 69.9) 10- 2 317 H Union Pines (16- 9, 83.6) 11-18 324 H Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 5-18 328 H Sun Valley ( 8-11, 81.2) 12-13 331 A Jack Britt ( 5-16, 75.1) 8- 3 403 H Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 7- 8 410 A Cape Fear HS ( 6- 8, 78.7) 11- 9 421 A Rolesville ( 7-14, 78.0) 12-18 422 H Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 0- 1 424 A Union Pines (16- 9, 83.6) 0- 1 428 H Jack Britt ( 5-16, 75.1) 12-20 430 H Terry Sanford (11- 8, 80.2) 8-16 501 A Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 4-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 A Clayton 6-16 -10 -10 0.00
303 A Terry Sanford 17-16 1 -3 ++ 4.15
304 A Fuquay-Varina 13-21 -8 -8 0.00
306 H Pine Forest 15- 0 15 8 0.00
310 H Cape Fear HS 12-13 -1 -1 0.17
313 A Pine Forest 10- 2 8 7 0.00
317 H Union Pines 11-18 -7 -6 0.00
324 H Pinecrest 5-18 -13 -9 0.00
328 H Sun Valley 12-13 -1 -4 + 2.61
331 A Jack Britt 8- 3 5 2 + 3.11
403 H Swansboro 7- 8 -1 -1 0.09
410 A Cape Fear HS 11- 9 2 -2 + 3.71
421 A Rolesville 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.01
428 H Jack Britt 12-20 -8 2 --- -7.43
430 H Terry Sanford 8-16 -8 -3 - -2.40
501 A Pinecrest 4-16 -12 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 H Jack Britt 12-20 -8 2 --- -7.43 421 A Rolesville 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.01 430 H Terry Sanford 8-16 -8 -3 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A Terry Sanford 17-16 1 -3 ++ 4.15 328 H Sun Valley 12-13 -1 -4 + 2.61 331 A Jack Britt 8- 3 5 2 + 3.11 410 A Cape Fear HS 11- 9 2 -2 + 3.71 |
Grays Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Apex | |
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Apex Friendship | |
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ardrey Kell | |
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Arendell Parrott Aca | Arendell Parrott Aca | ||
| Asheville HS | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Asheville School | Asheville School | Asheville School | ||
| Ashley | Ashley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Ashley | |
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | Atkins | Atkins | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Ballantyne Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ballantyne Ridge | |
| Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | ||
| Bradford Prep | Bradford Prep | Bradford Prep | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Broughton | |
| Butler | Butler | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Butler | |
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Cape Fear HS | Cape Fear HS | tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 3) | Cape Fear HS | |
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | Carrboro | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Carrboro | |
| Cary Academy | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Cary Christian | Cary Christian | Cary Christian | ||
| Cary HS | Cary HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Cary HS | |
| Cedar Ridge | Cedar Ridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Cedar Ridge | |
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King | ||
| Clayton | Clayton | Clayton | ||
| Cleveland | Cleveland | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 3) | Cleveland | |
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | ||
| Corinth Holders | Corinth Holders | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Corinth Holders | |
| Cornerstone Charter | Cornerstone Charter | Cornerstone Charter | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Croatan | |
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cuthbertson | |
| Davie | Davie | Davie | ||
| DH Conley | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Enloe | Enloe | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Enloe | |
| Fike | Grays Creek | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Grays Creek | |
| First Flight | First Flight | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | First Flight | |
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Garner | Garner | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Garner | |
| Glenn | Glenn | Glenn | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | Green Level | ||
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | ||
| Grimsley | Grimsley | Grimsley | ||
| Havelock | Havelock | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Havelock | |
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hickory | Hickory | Hickory | ||
| High Point Central | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Hoggard | Hoggard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hoggard | |
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Holly Springs | |
| Hough | Hough | Hough | ||
| Hunt | Grays Creek | Grays Creek 2- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| Jack Britt | Grays Creek | Grays Creek 3- 5 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Jacksonville | |
| JF Webb | JF Webb | JF Webb | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | JH Rose | |
| John Paul II Catholi | Grays Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grays Creek | |
| Jordan | Jordan | Jordan 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Laney | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Laney | |
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | Leesville Road 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Lincoln Charter | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lincoln Charter | |
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marvin Ridge | |
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Millbrook | |
| Mooresville | Mooresville | Mooresville | ||
| Mount Tabor | Mount Tabor | Mount Tabor | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Grays Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grays Creek | |
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | New Bern | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | New Bern | |
| New Hanover | New Hanover | New Hanover | ||
| North Brunswick | North Brunswick | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 0) | North Brunswick | |
| North Davidson | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| North Lincoln | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | North Raleigh Christ | North Raleigh Christ 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Northern Durham | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | ||
| Northside | Northside | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northside | |
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | Northwood | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwood | |
| Page | Page | Page | ||
| Panther Creek | Panther Creek | Panther Creek | ||
| Parkwood | Parkwood | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Parkwood | |
| Patton Morganton | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Pine Forest | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | Pinecrest | ||
| Porter Ridge | Grays Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grays Creek | |
| Providence | Providence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Providence | |
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Queens Grant | Queens Grant | Queens Grant | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ravenscroft School | |
| Reagan | Reagan | Reagan | ||
| Riverside Durham | Riverside Durham | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Riverside Durham | |
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | Rolesville | Rolesville | ||
| Roxboro Community | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Sanderson | Sanderson | Sanderson 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Seaforth | |
| South Brunswick | South Brunswick | South Brunswick | ||
| South Garner | South Garner | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | South Garner | |
| South Iredell | Grays Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grays Creek | |
| South Mecklenburg | South Mecklenburg | South Mecklenburg | ||
| South View | South View | South View | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Southeast Guilford | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Southeast Guilford | |
| Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| St Davids School | St Davids School | St Davids School | ||
| St Stephens | St Stephens | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Stephens | |
| Sun Valley | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Swansboro | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | TC Roberson | ||
| Terry Sanford | Terry Sanford | tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 3) | Terry Sanford | |
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Union Pines | Union Pines | Union Pines | ||
| Vance Charter | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Voyager Academy | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Wake Forest | |
| Wake Prep | Grays Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Grays Creek | |
| Wakefield | Wakefield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wakefield | |
| Walter M Williams | Walter M Williams | Walter M Williams | ||
| Watauga | Watauga | Watauga | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Grays Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grays Creek | |
| West Carteret | West Carteret | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | West Carteret | |
| West Forsyth | West Forsyth | West Forsyth | ||
| West Stokes | West Stokes | West Stokes | ||
| Western Alamance | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Western Guilford | Grays Creek | Grays Creek | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 25
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 6-16 -12.98 20.83 0.27 1.00 -12.66
0 A Terry Sanford (11- 8, 80.2) 17-16 -19.72 14.08 0.27 1.00 14.30
0 A Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 13-21 -14.54 19.27 0.27 1.00 -14.22
0 H Pine Forest ( 0-12, 69.9) 15- 0 -29.98 3.83 -0.27 1.00 3.55
0 H Cape Fear HS ( 6- 8, 78.7) 12-13 -21.16 12.65 -0.27 1.00 -21.35
0 A Pine Forest ( 0-12, 69.9) 10- 2 -29.98 3.83 0.27 1.00 4.09
0 H Union Pines (16- 9, 83.6) 11-18 -16.30 17.51 -0.27 1.00 -16.51
0 H Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 5-18 -13.41 20.40 -0.27 1.00 -13.63
0 H Sun Valley ( 8-11, 81.2) 12-13 -18.72 15.09 -0.27 1.00 -18.92
0 A Jack Britt ( 5-16, 75.1) 8- 3 -24.76 9.05 0.27 1.00 9.29
0 H Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 7- 8 -21.24 12.57 -0.27 1.00 -21.43
0 A Cape Fear HS ( 6- 8, 78.7) 11- 9 -21.16 12.65 0.27 1.00 12.87
0 A Rolesville ( 7-14, 78.0) 12-18 -21.88 11.93 0.27 1.00 -21.53
0 H Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 0- 1 -14.54 19.27 -0.27 1.00 -14.76
0 A Union Pines (16- 9, 83.6) 0- 1 -16.30 17.51 0.27 1.00 -15.97
0 H Jack Britt ( 5-16, 75.1) 12-20 -24.76 9.05 -0.27 1.00 -24.94
0 H Terry Sanford (11- 8, 80.2) 8-16 -19.72 14.08 -0.27 1.00 -19.92
0 A Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 4-16 -13.41 20.40 0.27 1.00 -13.09
------
-184.82
|
winning pts = 44.0972 losing points = -228.9186
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------