All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 66.5199966 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Tates Creek ( 3-14, 62.4) 16- 7 307 H North Oldham ( 9-12, 68.3) 5- 6 313 H Sayre (11- 5, 72.7) 9-15 314 H Great Crossing ( 8-10, 61.4) 12- 9 319 A Frederick Douglass (15- 5, 74.5) 5-14 322 A Covington Catholic ( 6-12, 64.6) 11- 5 325 H Dixie Heights (13- 7, 69.0) 11-10 329 A Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 72.6) 6-13 402 A Indian Hill ( 3-12, 68.5) 5- 6 417 H Eastern ( 7- 7, 72.4) 13- 9 418 A Walton-Verona ( 4-12, 53.6) 18- 2 421 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 70.8) 10-18 430 A Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 72.5) 7-21 501 A St Henry ( 0-11, 53.4) 15- 4 502 H Cooper ( 6-10, 61.6) 16-17 505 H Oak Hills ( 7-11, 73.4) 8-20 509 N Cooper ( 6-10, 61.6) 14-10 512 A Dixie Heights (13- 7, 69.0) 11-16 514 A South Oldham (16- 6, 84.4) 2-19
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A Tates Creek 16- 7 9 3 + 3.89 307 H North Oldham 5- 6 -1 0 -0.17 313 H Sayre 9-15 -6 -5 -0.84 314 H Great Crossing 12- 9 3 6 - -3.11 319 A Frederick Douglass 5-14 -9 -8 0.00 322 A Covington Catholic 11- 5 6 0 ++ 5.04 325 H Dixie Heights 11-10 1 -1 + 2.50 329 A Lexington Catholic 6-13 -7 -7 0.00 402 A Indian Hill 5- 6 -1 -2 n/a 417 H Eastern 13- 9 4 -4 +++ 8.92 418 A Walton-Verona 18- 2 16 11 0.00 421 H Lexington Christian 10-18 -8 -3 - -3.66 430 A Ballard Louisville 7-21 -14 -6 -0.09 501 A St Henry 15- 4 11 12 0.00 502 H Cooper 16-17 -1 5 --- -6.91 505 H Oak Hills 8-20 -12 -6 n/a 509 N Cooper 14-10 4 4 -0.94 512 A Dixie Heights 11-16 -5 -3 -1.56 514 A South Oldham 2-19 -17 -18 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Cooper 16-17 -1 5 --- -6.91 314 H Great Crossing 12- 9 3 6 - -3.11 421 H Lexington Christian 10-18 -8 -3 - -3.66OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Eastern 13- 9 4 -4 +++ 8.92 322 A Covington Catholic 11- 5 6 0 ++ 5.04 303 A Tates Creek 16- 7 9 3 + 3.89 325 H Dixie Heights 11-10 1 -1 + 2.50
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 66.52 Power Rank................. 19 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 38.57 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 17 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5410 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 19 RPI Rating............... .4989 RPI Rank................... 20 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 35 Selection sum ........... 66 Selection Rank ............ 19 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -55. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 24 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 27 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.0