Tocoi Creek
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 84.3655Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Forest ( 2-14, 74.8) 13- 0 218 H Fleming Island ( 9- 8, 85.6) 7- 9 220 H Buchholz (10-10, 85.3) 7- 8 222 A Fletcher (14- 7, 89.7) 5-12 225 H Flagler Palm Coast ( 6-11, 76.0) 15- 2 228 A St Augustine (11- 9, 85.7) 6- 5 305 A Creekside (11- 6, 90.3) 8-13 307 A Matanzas ( 6- 9, 79.1) 12- 2 310 A Oak Hall (16- 3, 93.3) 4-13 313 H Bartram Trail ( 8- 9, 84.4) 5- 4 328 H Father Lopez ( 0- 7, 67.3) 1- 0 401 H Atlantic Coast ( 4-10, 72.2) 26- 0 402 A Santa Fe ( 5- 5, 76.4) 13- 1 410 A Matanzas ( 6- 9, 79.1) 13- 3 415 A Buchholz (10-10, 85.3) 2- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A Forest 13- 0 13 9 0.00
218 H Fleming Island 7- 9 -2 -1 -1.36
220 H Buchholz 7- 8 -1 0 -0.68
222 A Fletcher 5-12 -7 -6 0.00
225 H Flagler Palm Coast 15- 2 13 9 0.00
228 A St Augustine 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.89
305 A Creekside 8-13 -5 -7 0.00
307 A Matanzas 12- 2 10 5 0.37
310 A Oak Hall 4-13 -9 -10 0.00
313 H Bartram Trail 5- 4 1 1 0.43
401 H Atlantic Coast 26- 0 26 13 0.00
402 A Santa Fe 13- 1 12 7 0.00
410 A Matanzas 13- 3 10 5 0.37
415 A Buchholz 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.48
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Buchholz 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A St Augustine 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.89 |
Tocoi Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admiral Farragut Aca | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| All Saints Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Alonso | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| American Heritage De | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| American Heritage Pl | American Heritage Pl | American Heritage Pl | ||
| Angeline Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Apopka | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Archbishop McCarthy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Atlantic Coast | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beac | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Barron Collier | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Bartow | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Bartram Trail | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Beachside | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Belen Jesuit | Belen Jesuit | Belen Jesuit | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | ||
| Bishop McLaughlin | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bishop Verot | Bishop Verot | Bishop Verot | ||
| Bloomingdale | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Boca Ciega | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Boca Raton | Boca Raton | Boca Raton | ||
| Bolles | Bolles | Bolles 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Boone | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Buchholz | Buchholz | Buchholz | ||
| Calvary Christian Ac | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | ||
| Canterbury School | Canterbury School | Canterbury School | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | ||
| Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cardinal Newman | |
| Celebration | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Chiles | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Clearwater Central C | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Colonial | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Columbus Catholic | Columbus Catholic | Columbus Catholic | ||
| Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | ||
| Cooper City | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Coral Glades | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Coral Reef | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Coral Shores | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Coral Springs | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Countryside | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Creekside | Creekside | Creekside | ||
| Cypress Bay | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cypress Creek | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cypress Lake | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Dr Phillips | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Durant | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Dwyer | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| East Lake | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| East Ridge | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| East River | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Eastside | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Edgewater | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Edgewood | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Episcopal Jacksonvi | Episcopal Jacksonvi | Episcopal Jacksonvi 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Estero | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Evans | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Father Lopez | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Fernandina Beach | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| First Academy | First Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | First Academy | |
| Flagler Palm Coast | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Fleming Island | Fleming Island | Fleming Island | ||
| Fletcher | Fletcher | Fletcher | ||
| Florida Christian | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Forest | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Fort Myers | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Foundation Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Freedom Orlando | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Golden Gate | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Gulf Coast | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Gulliver Prep | Gulliver Prep | ||
| Hagerty | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Holy Trinity Episcop | Holy Trinity Episcop | Holy Trinity Episcop | ||
| Horizon | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| IMG Academy-White | IMG Academy-White | IMG Academy-White | ||
| Immaculata LaSalle | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Immokalee | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Indian Rocks Christi | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Innovation | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Jensen Beach | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | ||
| John Carroll Catholi | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Jupiter | |
| Jupiter Christian | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Key West | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Keys Gate | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Kings Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lake Brantley | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lake Buena Vista | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | ||
| Lake Howell | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lake Mary | Lake Mary | Lake Mary | ||
| Lake Minneola | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Lake Nona | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lake Wales | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lakeland Christian | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lakeland HS | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | ||
| Land O Lakes | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lely | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Leon | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Lincoln Tallahassee | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lyman | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Maclay | Maclay | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Maclay | |
| Manatee | Manatee | Manatee | ||
| Mandarin | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Marco Island Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Martin County | Martin County | Martin County | ||
| Matanzas | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Melbourne | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Melbourne Central Ca | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Menendez | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 5- 4 vs 3- 6 | ||
| Merritt Island | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Miami Country Day | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Miami Palmetto | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Milton | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Mitchell | Mitchell | Mitchell | ||
| Montverde Academy | Montverde Academy | Montverde Academy | ||
| Naples | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Navarre | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Nease | Nease | Nease 6- 2 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Newberry | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Newsome | Newsome | Newsome | ||
| Niceville | Niceville | Niceville | ||
| North Bay Haven | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| North Broward Prep | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Northeast St Petersb | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Northside Christian | Northside Christian | Northside Christian | ||
| NSU University Schoo | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | Oak Hall | ||
| Ocoee | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Okeechobee | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Olympia | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Olympic Heights | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Osceola | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Oviedo | Oviedo | Oviedo | ||
| Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Palm Harbor Universi | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Palmer Trinity | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Park Vista | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Pasco | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Paxon Institute | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Pensacola | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | ||
| Pine Crest | Pine Crest | Pine Crest | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant | ||
| Pompano Beach | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra 6- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Providence School | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Ransom Everglades | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Rickards | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Riverdale | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Riverside | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | ||
| Robinson | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Rockledge | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Sandalwood | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Santa Fe | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Sarasota HS | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Satellite | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Sebastian River | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Seminole | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Seminole Ridge | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Sickles | Sickles | Sickles | ||
| South Fork | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| South Lake | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| South Plantation | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| South Walton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Spanish River | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | St Andrews | ||
| St Augustine | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Brendan | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Cloud | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Edwards School | St Edwards School | St Edwards School | ||
| St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| St Petersburg Cathol | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Petersburg HS | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Stephens Episcopa | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Steinbrenner | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Stoneman Douglas | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Suncoast | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Sunlake | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Tampa Prep | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Taravella | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Timber Creek | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Tohopekaliga | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Trinity Catholic | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Trinity Catholic | |
| Trinity Prep | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| University Orlando | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Venice | Venice | Venice | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | Vero Beach | ||
| Viera | Viera | Viera | ||
| Village School Naple | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Washington | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Wellington | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| West Boca Raton | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| West Broward | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| West Florida | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| West Orange | West Orange | West Orange | ||
| West Shore | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Western Davie | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Westminster Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Westminster Christia | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Wharton | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Windermere HS | Windermere HS | Windermere HS | ||
| Windermere Prep | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Winter Haven | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Winter Park | Winter Park | Winter Park | ||
| Winter Springs | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Wiregrass Ranch | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tocoi Creek |
PowerWise = 168
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Forest ( 2-14, 74.8) 13- 0 -25.14 13.26 0.60 1.01 14.01
0 H Fleming Island ( 9- 8, 85.6) 7- 9 -14.30 24.10 -0.60 1.01 -15.06
0 H Buchholz (10-10, 85.3) 7- 8 -14.61 23.78 -0.60 1.01 -15.38
0 A Fletcher (14- 7, 89.7) 5-12 -10.18 28.21 0.60 1.01 -9.68
0 H Flagler Palm C ( 6-11, 76.0) 15- 2 -23.93 14.46 -0.60 1.01 14.01
0 A St Augustine (11- 9, 85.7) 6- 5 -14.24 24.15 0.60 1.01 25.02
0 A Creekside (11- 6, 90.3) 8-13 -9.62 28.78 0.60 1.01 -9.11
0 A Matanzas ( 6- 9, 79.1) 12- 2 -20.77 17.63 0.60 1.01 18.42
0 A Oak Hall (16- 3, 93.3) 4-13 -6.61 31.79 0.60 1.01 -6.07
0 H Bartram Trail ( 8- 9, 84.4) 5- 4 -15.50 22.90 -0.60 1.01 22.54
0 H Father Lopez ( 0- 7, 67.3) 1- 0 -32.60 5.79 -0.60 1.01 5.25
0 H Atlantic Coast ( 4-10, 72.2) 26- 0 -27.75 10.65 -0.60 1.01 10.15
0 A Santa Fe ( 5- 5, 76.4) 13- 1 -23.48 14.91 0.60 1.01 15.68
0 A Matanzas ( 6- 9, 79.1) 13- 3 -20.77 17.63 0.60 1.01 18.42
0 A Buchholz (10-10, 85.3) 2- 8 -14.61 23.78 0.60 1.01 -14.16
------
74.04
|
winning pts = 143.5040 losing points = -69.4685
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------