---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Gainesville 1
  
Gainesville           
W-L: (15- 5) PR = 88.5265

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Colgan (13- 5, 83.1) 14- 7 320 H Hylton ( 9- 7, 79.9) 14- 7 326 A Forest Park ( 7-10, 77.9) 15- 2 403 H Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 15- 3 408 H Brooke Point (12- 4, 83.7) 15- 4 410 H Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 3-12 422 A Osbourn ( 1-15, 66.3) 19- 0 424 H Freedom South Ridin (12- 7, 88.3) 9- 8 426 H Northern VA Home Sch ( 1- 9, 72.6) 15- 1 428 A Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 72.1) 19- 4 430 H Mountain View (10-10, 81.6) 12- 4 501 H Osbourn Park ( 6- 8, 71.9) 20- 4 503 N Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 14- 8 506 A McLean (10- 8, 88.6) 6-17 508 A Patriot ( 8- 8, 86.2) 12- 9 516 H Freedom South Ridin (12- 7, 88.3) 9-10 527 A Colonial Forge (14- 2, 84.4) 14- 2 602 A Freedom South Ridin (12- 7, 88.3) 14-13 604 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 6-22 606 N Cosby (18- 2, 93.4) 6-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Colgan                 14- 7       7     5           0.23
   320 H Hylton                 14- 7       7     9           0.00
   326 A Forest Park            15- 2      13    10           0.00
   403 H Woodbridge             15- 3      12    12           0.00
   408 H Brooke Point           15- 4      11     5           0.00
   410 H Battlefield             3-12      -9    -3          -1.87
   422 A Osbourn                19- 0      19    22           0.00
   424 H Freedom  South Ridin    9- 8       1     1           0.17
   426 H Northern VA Home Sch   15- 1      14    17           0.00
   428 A Unity Reed             19- 4      15    16           0.00
   430 H Mountain View          12- 4       8     8           0.00
   501 H Osbourn Park           20- 4      16    17           0.00
   503 N Woodson                14- 8       6     2    +      3.36
   506 A McLean                  6-17     -11    -1    --    -4.35
   508 A Patriot                12- 9       3     2           1.32
   516 H Freedom  South Ridin    9-10      -1     1          -1.83
   527 A Colonial Forge         14- 2      12     4           1.44
   602 A Freedom  South Ridin   14-13       1     0           1.39
   604 A Battlefield             6-22     -16    -4          -0.65
   606 N Cosby                   6-10      -4    -5           0.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A McLean                  6-17     -11    -1    --    -4.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 N Woodson                14- 8       6     2    +      3.36

Gainesville Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Gainesville   Gainesville
Alexandria City Gainesville insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Gainesville
Annandale Gainesville tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Gainesville
Atlee Atlee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield Battlefield  
Bayside Gainesville   Gainesville
Benedictine Gainesville   Gainesville
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Gainesville   Gainesville
Blacksburg Gainesville   Gainesville
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Gainesville tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Gainesville
Briar Woods Briar Woods insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 1) Briar Woods
Broad Run Gainesville   Gainesville
Brooke Point Gainesville Gainesville  
Cape Henry Collegiat Gainesville   Gainesville
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Gainesville   Gainesville
Centreville Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Chantilly Chantilly insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chantilly
Charlottesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Gainesville   Gainesville
Clover Hill Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Colgan Gainesville Gainesville  
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Gainesville Gainesville  
Cosby Cosby Cosby  
Covenant School Gainesville   Gainesville
Cox Gainesville   Gainesville
Culpeper County Gainesville insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Gainesville
Deep Run Deep Run tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Deep Run
Dominion Gainesville   Gainesville
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Gainesville   Gainesville
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Gainesville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Gainesville
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Gainesville   Gainesville
Fairfax Gainesville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Gainesville
Falls Church Gainesville   Gainesville
Fauquier Gainesville insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Gainesville
First Colonial Gainesville   Gainesville
Fishburne Military A Gainesville   Gainesville
Flint Hill Gainesville   Gainesville
Fluvanna County Gainesville   Gainesville
Forest Park Gainesville Gainesville  
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Gainesville   Gainesville
Fredericksburg Acade Gainesville   Gainesville
Fredericksburg Chris Gainesville   Gainesville
Freedom South Ridin Gainesville Gainesville  
Freedom Woodbridge Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Gainesville Gainesville   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Glen Allen Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Goochland Gainesville   Gainesville
Grafton LC Gainesville   Gainesville
Grassfield LC Gainesville   Gainesville
Green Run Gainesville   Gainesville
Handley Gainesville   Gainesville
Hanover Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Hayfield Gainesville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Gainesville
Heritage Leesburg Gainesville Gainesville   2- 1 vs 0- 1
Herndon Herndon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Herndon
Hickory LC Gainesville   Gainesville
Hidden Valley Gainesville   Gainesville
Highland School Gainesville   Gainesville
Highland Springs Gainesville   Gainesville
Hylton Gainesville Gainesville  
Independence Independence insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Independence
James Monroe Gainesville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Gainesville
James River Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Jamestown LC Gainesville   Gainesville
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Gainesville Gainesville   3- 1 vs 1- 1
Justice Gainesville   Gainesville
Kellam Gainesville   Gainesville
Kempsville Gainesville   Gainesville
Kettle Run Gainesville   Gainesville
Lafayette LC Gainesville   Gainesville
Lake Braddock Gainesville tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Gainesville
Landstown Gainesville   Gainesville
Langley Langley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Langley
Lewis Gainesville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Gainesville
Liberty Bealeton Gainesville tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Gainesville
Lightridge Gainesville Gainesville   3- 1 vs 0- 2
Lloyd C Bird Gainesville   Gainesville
Lord Botetourt Gainesville   Gainesville
Loudoun County Loudoun County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Gainesville   Gainesville
Madison Madison Madison   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Manchester Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Marshall Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Massaponax Gainesville Gainesville   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Matoaca Gainesville   Gainesville
Maury LC Gainesville   Gainesville
McLean McLean McLean  
Mechanicsville Gainesville   Gainesville
Menchville LC Gainesville   Gainesville
Meridian Gainesville Gainesville   2- 1 vs 0- 1
Midlothian Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Mills Godwin Gainesville   Gainesville
Monacan Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Monticello Gainesville   Gainesville
Mount Vernon Gainesville insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Gainesville
Mountain View Gainesville Gainesville  
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Gainesville   Gainesville
New Covenant School Gainesville   Gainesville
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Gainesville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Gainesville
Norfolk Collegiate Gainesville   Gainesville
North Cross School Gainesville   Gainesville
North Stafford Gainesville Gainesville   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Northern VA Home Sch Gainesville Gainesville  
Oakton Oakton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Oakton
Ocean Lakes Gainesville   Gainesville
Orange County Gainesville   Gainesville
Osbourn Gainesville Gainesville  
Osbourn Park Gainesville Gainesville  
Park View Gainesville Gainesville   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Patrick Henry Ashla Gainesville   Gainesville
Patrick Henry Roano Gainesville   Gainesville
Patriot Gainesville Gainesville  
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Gainesville Gainesville   2- 1 vs 0- 1
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Gainesville Gainesville   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Powhatan Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Princess Anne Gainesville   Gainesville
Riverbend Gainesville Gainesville   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Riverside Riverside insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 0) Riverside
Robinson Robinson Robinson   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Rock Ridge Gainesville   Gainesville
Rockbridge County Gainesville   Gainesville
Rockingham LC Gainesville   Gainesville
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Gainesville   Gainesville
Seton School Gainesville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Gainesville
South County Gainesville Gainesville   3- 2 vs 1- 2
South Lakes Gainesville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Gainesville
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Gainesville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Gainesville
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Gainesville Gainesville   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Steward School Gainesville   Gainesville
Stone Bridge Gainesville Gainesville   2- 2 vs 0- 2
Strasburg LC Gainesville   Gainesville
Tabb LC Gainesville   Gainesville
Tallwood Gainesville   Gainesville
Tandem Friends Gainesville   Gainesville
Thomas Dale Gainesville   Gainesville
Thomas Jefferson Gainesville tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Gainesville
Trinity Christian Gainesville   Gainesville
Trinity Episcopal Gainesville   Gainesville
Trinity Meadow View Gainesville   Gainesville
Tuscarora Gainesville   Gainesville
Unity Reed Gainesville Gainesville  
Veritas School Gainesville   Gainesville
Virginia Academy Gainesville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Gainesville
Virginia Episcopal S Gainesville   Gainesville
Wakefield HS Gainesville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Gainesville
Wakefield School Gainesville   Gainesville
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) West Potomac
West Springfield Gainesville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Gainesville
Western Albemarle Gainesville   Gainesville
Westfield Gainesville tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Gainesville
William Byrd Gainesville   Gainesville
William Fleming Gainesville   Gainesville
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Gainesville Gainesville  
Woodgrove Gainesville   Gainesville
Woodson Gainesville Gainesville  
York LC Gainesville   Gainesville
Yorktown Yorktown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Yorktown

PowerWise = 140


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Colgan          (13- 5, 83.1)    14- 7      -16.75      18.25       0.61         0.70            13.15
   0 H Hylton          ( 9- 7, 79.9)    14- 7      -19.95      15.05      -0.61         0.70            10.07
   0 A Forest Park     ( 7-10, 77.9)    15- 2      -22.03      12.97       0.61         0.70             9.47
   0 H Woodbridge      ( 6- 9, 77.6)    15- 3      -22.31      12.69      -0.61         0.70             8.42
   0 H Brooke Point    (12- 4, 83.7)    15- 4      -16.16      18.84      -0.61         0.70            12.71
   0 H Battlefield     (18- 4, 92.3)     3-12       -7.63      27.37      -0.61         0.70            -5.74
   0 A Osbourn         ( 1-15, 66.3)    19- 0      -33.59       1.41       0.61         0.70             1.41
   0 H Freedom  South  (12- 7, 88.3)     9- 8      -11.59      23.41      -0.61         0.70            15.90
   0 H Northern VA Ho  ( 1- 9, 72.6)    15- 1      -27.31       7.69      -0.61         0.70             4.94
   0 A Unity Reed      ( 5- 9, 72.1)    19- 4      -27.81       7.20       0.61         0.70             5.44
   0 H Mountain View   (10-10, 81.6)    12- 4      -18.31      16.70      -0.61         0.70            11.22
   0 H Osbourn Park    ( 6- 8, 71.9)    20- 4      -28.03       6.97      -0.61         0.70             4.44
   0 N Woodson         ( 9- 9, 86.9)    14- 8      -13.02      21.99      -0.00         0.70            15.33
   0 A McLean          (10- 8, 88.6)     6-17      -11.33      23.67       0.61         0.70            -7.47
   0 A Patriot         ( 8- 8, 86.2)    12- 9      -13.66      21.34       0.61         0.70            15.30
   0 H Freedom  South  (12- 7, 88.3)     9-10      -11.59      23.41      -0.61         0.70            -8.51
   0 A Colonial Forge  (14- 2, 84.4)    14- 2      -15.55      19.46       0.61         0.70            13.99
   0 A Freedom  South  (12- 7, 88.3)    14-13      -11.59      23.41       0.61         0.70            16.74
   0 A Battlefield     (18- 4, 92.3)     6-22       -7.63      27.37       0.61         0.70            -4.89
   0 N Cosby           (18- 2, 93.4)     6-10       -6.53      28.47      -0.00         0.70            -4.55
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       127.34

winning pts = 158.5159 losing points = -31.1750

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------