All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.2600021 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Colgan (13- 5, 72.7) 14- 7 320 H Hylton ( 9- 7, 69.3) 14- 7 326 A Forest Park ( 7-10, 65.5) 15- 2 403 H Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 65.3) 15- 3 408 H Brooke Point (12- 4, 73.6) 15- 4 410 H Battlefield (18- 4, 83.9) 3-12 422 A Osbourn ( 1-15, 50.7) 19- 0 424 H Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 9- 8 426 H Northern VA Home Schoo ( 1- 9, 58.8) 15- 1 428 A Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 59.6) 19- 4 430 H Mountain View (10-10, 70.6) 12- 4 501 H Osbourn Park ( 6- 8, 60.2) 20- 4 503 N Woodson (11- 9, 76.9) 14- 8 506 A McLean (10- 8, 78.9) 6-17 508 A Patriot ( 8- 8, 75.4) 12- 9 516 H Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 9-10 527 A Colonial Forge (14- 2, 73.7) 14- 2 602 A Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 14-13 604 A Battlefield (18- 4, 83.9) 6-22 606 N Cosby (18- 2, 84.6) 6-10
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A Colgan 14- 7 7 4 + 2.21 320 H Hylton 14- 7 7 9 0.00 326 A Forest Park 15- 2 13 11 0.00 403 H Woodbridge 15- 3 12 13 0.00 408 H Brooke Point 15- 4 11 5 1.51 410 H Battlefield 3-12 -9 -4 - -2.18 422 A Osbourn 19- 0 19 26 0.00 424 H Freedom South Riding 9- 8 1 1 -0.26 426 H Northern VA Home Schoo 15- 1 14 20 0.00 428 A Unity Reed 19- 4 15 17 0.00 430 H Mountain View 12- 4 8 8 0.00 501 H Osbourn Park 20- 4 16 18 0.00 503 N Woodson 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.64 506 A McLean 6-17 -11 -1 -- -5.61 508 A Patriot 12- 9 3 2 0.89 516 H Freedom South Riding 9-10 -1 1 - -2.26 527 A Colonial Forge 14- 2 12 3 + 3.21 602 A Freedom South Riding 14-13 1 0 1.30 604 A Battlefield 6-22 -16 -6 -0.62 606 N Cosby 6-10 -4 -6 + 2.32UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 A McLean 6-17 -11 -1 -- -5.61 410 H Battlefield 3-12 -9 -4 - -2.18 516 H Freedom South Riding 9-10 -1 1 - -2.26OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 N Woodson 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.64 318 A Colgan 14- 7 7 4 + 2.21 527 A Colonial Forge 14- 2 12 3 + 3.21 606 N Cosby 6-10 -4 -6 + 2.32
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 78.26 Power Rank................. 40 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 45.03 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 77 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6954 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 12 RPI Rating............... .6048 RPI Rank................... 26 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 62 Selection sum ........... 70 Selection Rank ............ 15 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -30. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 43 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -5. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 32 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.3