Willow Spring
W-L: (13- 7) PR = 87.9924Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 5-15 227 H Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 6-14 306 A Leesville Road (10-11, 88.8) 6-10 311 H Broughton (17- 5, 92.7) 7-10 313 H Enloe ( 4-15, 84.3) 14-10 314 A Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 8- 7 318 H Garner ( 5-10, 81.0) 20- 6 321 A South Garner ( 5-14, 80.0) 16- 3 325 H Cleveland ( 7-10, 79.6) 17- 5 327 A Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 4-14 328 A Corinth Holders ( 7-13, 81.8) 9- 3 409 H Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 8- 7 411 H Ashley (10-13, 90.9) 8-14 415 H Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 13- 6 417 A Garner ( 5-10, 81.0) 18- 5 423 H South Garner ( 5-14, 80.0) 14- 3 425 A Cleveland ( 7-10, 79.6) 17- 5 429 H Corinth Holders ( 7-13, 81.8) 13- 4 502 A Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 14- 6 516 H Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 4-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
224 H Middle Creek 5-15 -10 -9 0.00
227 H Holly Springs 6-14 -8 -5 0.00
306 A Leesville Road 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.88
311 H Broughton 7-10 -3 -4 1.40
313 H Enloe 14-10 4 4 0.07
314 A Clayton 8- 7 1 1 0.20
318 H Garner 20- 6 14 7 0.00
321 A South Garner 16- 3 13 8 0.00
325 H Cleveland 17- 5 12 9 0.00
327 A Green Hope 4-14 -10 -4 -0.78
328 A Corinth Holders 9- 3 6 6 0.00
409 H Clayton 8- 7 1 1 -0.34
411 H Ashley 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.40
415 H Fuquay-Varina 13- 6 7 3 + 2.09
417 A Garner 18- 5 13 7 0.00
423 H South Garner 14- 3 11 8 0.00
425 A Cleveland 17- 5 12 8 0.00
429 H Corinth Holders 13- 4 9 6 0.00
502 A Fuquay-Varina 14- 6 8 2 + 2.64
516 H Apex Friendship 4-13 -9 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Leesville Road 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.88 411 H Ashley 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Fuquay-Varina 13- 6 7 3 + 2.09 502 A Fuquay-Varina 14- 6 8 2 + 2.64 |
Willow Spring Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex 5- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ardrey Kell | |
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Asheville HS | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Asheville School | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Ashley | Ashley | Ashley | ||
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2) | Athens Drive | |
| Atkins | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Bradford Prep | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Carrboro | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cary Academy | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cary Christian | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cary HS | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) | Willow Spring | |
| Cedar Ridge | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte Catholic | |
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Christ School | |
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King | ||
| Clayton | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cleveland | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | ||
| Corinth Holders | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cuthbertson | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Davie | Davie | Davie | ||
| DH Conley | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Enloe | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Fike | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Garner | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Glenn | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Grays Creek | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | Green Level 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | ||
| Grimsley | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Havelock | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Heritage | |
| Hickory | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| High Point Central | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hough | Hough | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hough | |
| Hunt | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Independence | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Jack Britt | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| Jacksonville | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| JF Webb | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| JH Rose | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| John Paul II Catholi | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Jordan | Willow Spring | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Willow Spring | |
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Laney | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Laney | |
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | Leesville Road | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Millbrook | |
| Mooresville | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Mount Tabor | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| New Hanover | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| North Brunswick | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| North Davidson | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| North Lincoln | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Northern Durham | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | ||
| Northside | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Page | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Panther Creek | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 0- 7) | Willow Spring | |
| Parkwood | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Patton Morganton | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Pine Forest | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Pinecrest | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Willow Spring | |
| Porter Ridge | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Providence | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Queens Grant | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Willow Spring | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Willow Spring | |
| Reagan | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Riverside Durham | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Roxboro Community | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Sanderson | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 4) | Willow Spring | |
| Seaforth | Seaforth | Seaforth | ||
| South Brunswick | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| South Garner | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| South Iredell | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| South View | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Southern Alamance | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| St Davids School | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| St Stephens | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Sun Valley | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Swansboro | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | TC Roberson | ||
| Terry Sanford | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Topsail | |
| Union Pines | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Willow Spring | |
| Vance Charter | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Voyager Academy | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Wake Forest | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wake Prep | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Wakefield | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| Walter M Williams | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Watauga | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| West Carteret | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| West Forsyth | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| West Stokes | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Western Alamance | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Western Guilford | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 100
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 5-15 -2.23 31.58 -0.27 0.90 -2.24
0 H Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 6-14 -6.28 27.53 -0.27 0.90 -5.87
0 A Leesville Road (10-11, 88.8) 6-10 -11.06 22.75 0.27 0.90 -9.68
0 H Broughton (17- 5, 92.7) 7-10 -7.23 26.58 -0.27 0.90 -6.73
0 H Enloe ( 4-15, 84.3) 14-10 -15.57 18.24 -0.27 0.90 16.11
0 A Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 8- 7 -12.98 20.83 0.27 0.90 18.92
0 H Garner ( 5-10, 81.0) 20- 6 -18.89 14.92 -0.27 0.90 13.14
0 A South Garner ( 5-14, 80.0) 16- 3 -19.94 13.87 0.27 0.90 12.68
0 H Cleveland ( 7-10, 79.6) 17- 5 -20.32 13.48 -0.27 0.90 11.85
0 A Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 4-14 -7.96 25.85 0.27 0.90 -6.89
0 A Corinth Holder ( 7-13, 81.8) 9- 3 -18.08 15.73 0.27 0.90 14.35
0 H Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 8- 7 -12.98 20.83 -0.27 0.90 18.44
0 H Ashley (10-13, 90.9) 8-14 -9.04 24.77 -0.27 0.90 -8.35
0 H Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 13- 6 -14.54 19.27 -0.27 0.90 17.03
0 A Garner ( 5-10, 81.0) 18- 5 -18.89 14.92 0.27 0.90 13.62
0 H South Garner ( 5-14, 80.0) 14- 3 -19.94 13.87 -0.27 0.90 12.19
0 A Cleveland ( 7-10, 79.6) 17- 5 -20.32 13.48 0.27 0.90 12.33
0 H Corinth Holder ( 7-13, 81.8) 13- 4 -18.08 15.73 -0.27 0.90 13.86
0 A Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 14- 6 -14.54 19.27 0.27 0.90 17.52
0 H Apex Friendshi (16- 7, 94.4) 4-13 -5.48 28.32 -0.27 0.90 -5.16
------
147.13
|
winning pts = 192.0526 losing points = -44.9176
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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