---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:54 PDT

safe3step boys Hersey 1
  
Hersey                
W-L: (12- 8) PR = 90.5263

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H New Trier (16- 5, 96.6) 2-14 403 H Lake Zurich (14- 5, 94.3) 6- 8 407 H Schaumburg (14- 6, 89.7) 8- 7 410 A Palatine ( 3-14, 78.5) 20- 3 414 H Hoffman Estates ( 9-11, 82.4) 15- 3 417 A Rolling Meadows ( 9-10, 83.7) 15- 5 421 H Buffalo Grove ( 3-14, 81.4) 19- 2 424 A Prospect (11- 8, 86.0) 10- 2 428 A Fremd (15- 6, 93.0) 5- 8 501 H Conant (10-11, 84.4) 14- 4 503 A Glenbrook South ( 5-13, 86.9) 15- 2 505 H Maine South (10-10, 90.8) 8- 7 507 A Latin School ( 6-15, 81.3) 17- 1 508 H Wheeling ( 2-19, 73.0) 20- 2 512 A Barrington (15- 4, 94.5) 6-13 517 H Glenbrook North (14- 5, 93.9) 4- 7 519 H Barrington (15- 4, 94.5) 7-15 520 A Warren Township (11- 8, 90.6) 6- 9 523 H Palatine ( 3-14, 78.5) 22- 3 526 H Fremd (15- 6, 93.0) 7- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H New Trier               2-14     -12    -5           0.00
   403 H Lake Zurich             6- 8      -2    -3           1.16
   407 H Schaumburg              8- 7       1     1          -0.40
   410 A Palatine               20- 3      17    11           0.00
   414 H Hoffman Estates        15- 3      12     9           0.00
   417 A Rolling Meadows        15- 5      10     6           0.00
   421 H Buffalo Grove          19- 2      17    10           0.00
   424 A Prospect               10- 2       8     4           1.09
   428 A Fremd                   5- 8      -3    -3           0.13
   501 H Conant                 14- 4      10     7           0.00
   503 A Glenbrook South        15- 2      13     3    +      2.00
   505 H Maine South             8- 7       1     0           0.69
   507 A Latin School           17- 1      16     9           0.00
   508 H Wheeling               20- 2      18    18           0.00
   512 A Barrington              6-13      -7    -5          -0.41
   517 H Glenbrook North         4- 7      -3    -3          -0.21
   519 H Barrington              7-15      -8    -3          -1.64
   520 A Warren Township         6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.29
   523 H Palatine               22- 3      19    13           0.00
   526 H Fremd                   7- 9      -2    -2          -0.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Warren Township         6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Glenbrook South        15- 2      13     3    +      2.00

Hersey Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andrew-Sandburg-Stag Hersey   Hersey
Antioch Hersey insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hersey
Barrington Barrington Barrington  
Batavia Hersey   Hersey
Benet Academy Hersey   Hersey
Boylan Catholic Hersey   Hersey
Brother Rice Hersey   Hersey
Buffalo Grove Hersey Hersey  
Burlington Central Hersey   Hersey
Carmel Catholic Hersey tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Hersey
Cary Grove Hersey tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hersey
Conant Hersey Hersey  
Crystal Lake Central Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hersey
Crystal Lake South Hersey Hersey   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Deerfield Deerfield Deerfield   4- 2 vs 2- 4
DePaul Prep DePaul Prep tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) DePaul Prep
Downers Grove Downers Grove   Downers Grove
Dundee-Crown Hersey Hersey   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Dunlap Hersey   Hersey
Elk Grove Hersey Hersey   8- 1 vs 0- 9
Evanston Township Hersey insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Hersey
Fenwick Hersey insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Hersey
Fremd Fremd Fremd  
Geneva Hersey   Hersey
Glenbard North Hersey   Hersey
Glenbard West Glenbard West insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Glenbard West
Glenbrook North Glenbrook North Glenbrook North  
Glenbrook South Hersey Hersey  
Grant Community Hersey tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Hersey
Grayslake Co-op Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hersey
Hampshire Hersey tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Hersey
Highland Park Hersey Hersey   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Hinsdale Central Hinsdale Central insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Hinsdale Central
Hoffman Estates Hersey Hersey  
Homewood Flossmoor Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hersey
Huntley Huntley insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) Huntley
Immaculate Conceptio Hersey Hersey   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Jacobs Hersey Hersey   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Kaneland Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hersey
Kenwood Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hersey
Lake Forest Academy Hersey insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Hersey
Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Lake Park Hersey insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Hersey
Lake Zurich Lake Zurich Lake Zurich  
Lakes Community Hersey tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hersey
Lane Tech Hersey tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hersey
Latin School Hersey Hersey  
Lemont Hersey   Hersey
Libertyville Libertyville insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Libertyville
Lincoln Park Hersey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hersey
Lincoln-Way Hersey   Hersey
Lockport Township Hersey   Hersey
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Loyola Academy
Lyons Township Lyons Township tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lyons Township
Maine South Hersey Hersey  
Marian Central Catho Hersey   Hersey
Marist Hersey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hersey
Marmion Academy Hersey   Hersey
McHenry Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hersey
Minooka Hersey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hersey
Montini Catholic Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hersey
Mount Carmel Hersey tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Hersey
Mundelein Hersey insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Hersey
Naperville Central Hersey   Hersey
Naperville North Hersey   Hersey
Nazareth Academy Hersey   Hersey
Neuqua Valley Neuqua Valley   Neuqua Valley
New Trier New Trier New Trier  
Normal Community Hersey   Hersey
Northside College Pr Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hersey
Notre Dame Hersey Hersey   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Oak Forest Hersey   Hersey
Oak Park-River Fores Hersey insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Hersey
Palatine Hersey Hersey  
Plainfield North Hersey   Hersey
Prairie Ridge Hersey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hersey
Prospect Hersey Hersey  
Providence Catholic Hersey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hersey
Riverside Brookfield Hersey insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Hersey
Rolling Meadows Hersey Hersey  
Schaumburg Hersey Hersey  
South Elgin Hersey tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Hersey
St Charles East St Charles East   St Charles East
St Charles North Hersey   Hersey
St Francis Hersey   Hersey
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) St Ignatius Prep
St Laurence Hersey   Hersey
St Patrick Hersey Hersey   5- 0 vs 1- 4
St Rita Hersey   Hersey
St Viator St Viator St Viator   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Stevenson Hersey tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) Hersey
Taft HS Hersey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hersey
Timothy Christian Hersey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hersey
Vernon Hills Hersey Hersey   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Warren Township Warren Township Warren Township  
Washington Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hersey
Waubonsie-Metea Co-O Hersey insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Hersey
Wauconda Hersey tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hersey
Wheaton Academy Wheaton Academy Wheaton Academy   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Wheaton North Hersey tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hersey
Wheaton South Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hersey
Wheeling Hersey Hersey  
Whitney Young Hersey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hersey
York York insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) York

PowerWise = 82


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.71

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H New Trier       (16- 5, 96.6)     2-14       -3.28      26.28      -0.62         0.89            -3.46
   0 H Lake Zurich     (14- 5, 94.3)     6- 8       -5.59      23.97      -0.62         0.89            -5.50
   0 H Schaumburg      (14- 6, 89.7)     8- 7      -10.16      19.40      -0.62         0.89            16.64
   0 A Palatine        ( 3-14, 78.5)    20- 3      -21.36       8.20       0.62         0.89             7.81
   0 H Hoffman Estate  ( 9-11, 82.4)    15- 3      -17.55      12.01      -0.62         0.89            10.09
   0 A Rolling Meadow  ( 9-10, 83.7)    15- 5      -16.23      13.33       0.62         0.89            12.35
   0 H Buffalo Grove   ( 3-14, 81.4)    19- 2      -18.54      11.02      -0.62         0.89             9.21
   0 A Prospect        (11- 8, 86.0)    10- 2      -13.90      15.66       0.62         0.89            14.42
   0 A Fremd           (15- 6, 93.0)     5- 8       -6.87      22.69       0.62         0.89            -5.53
   0 H Conant          (10-11, 84.4)    14- 4      -15.51      14.05      -0.62         0.89            11.90
   0 A Glenbrook Sout  ( 5-13, 86.9)    15- 2      -12.99      16.57       0.62         0.89            15.23
   0 H Maine South     (10-10, 90.8)     8- 7       -9.07      20.49      -0.62         0.89            17.60
   0 A Latin School    ( 6-15, 81.3)    17- 1      -18.57      10.99       0.62         0.89            10.28
   0 H Wheeling        ( 2-19, 73.0)    20- 2      -26.92       2.64      -0.62         0.89             1.79
   0 A Barrington      (15- 4, 94.5)     6-13       -5.40      24.16       0.62         0.89            -4.23
   0 H Glenbrook Nort  (14- 5, 93.9)     4- 7       -5.97      23.59      -0.62         0.89            -5.83
   0 H Barrington      (15- 4, 94.5)     7-15       -5.40      24.16      -0.62         0.89            -5.33
   0 A Warren Townshi  (11- 8, 90.6)     6- 9       -9.28      20.28       0.62         0.89            -7.67
   0 H Palatine        ( 3-14, 78.5)    22- 3      -21.36       8.20      -0.62         0.89             6.72
   0 H Fremd           (15- 6, 93.0)     7- 9       -6.87      22.69      -0.62         0.89            -6.63
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        89.84

winning pts = 134.0313 losing points = -44.1913

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------