---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:12 PDT

safe3step boys Bellows Free Academy 1
  
Bellows Free Academy  
W-L: ( 2-11) PR = 87.4190

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 H Otter Valley Union ( 0- 9, 84.3) 1- 0 416 A Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 9-12 418 A Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 9-10 426 A Green Mountain Valle (12- 1, 93.4) 6-11 428 A Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 7-12 429 H Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 4-16 502 A Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 9-16 505 H Green Mountain Valle (12- 1, 93.4) 8-11 507 H St Johnsbury Academy (11- 5, 93.9) 10-14 522 H Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 16- 6 524 H Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 12-16 528 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 10-18 606 A Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 8-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Spaulding               9-12      -3    -1          -1.52
   418 A Montpelier              9-10      -1    -4    +      2.66
   426 A Green Mountain Valle    6-11      -5    -6           0.00
   428 A Randolph Union          7-12      -5    -3    -     -2.29
   429 H Hartford Union          4-16     -12   -10           0.00
   502 A Stowe                   9-16      -7    -4          -0.82
   505 H Green Mountain Valle    8-11      -3    -6    +      2.00
   507 H St Johnsbury Academy   10-14      -4    -6           1.00
   522 H Lyndon Institute       16- 6      10     5           0.02
   524 H Mount Abraham          12-16      -4    -2          -1.68
   528 A Milton                 10-18      -8    -8           0.00
   606 A Randolph Union          8-15      -7    -3    -     -2.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Randolph Union          7-12      -5    -3    -     -2.29
   606 A Randolph Union          8-15      -7    -3    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Montpelier              9-10      -1    -4    +      2.66
   505 H Green Mountain Valle    8-11      -3    -6    +      2.00

Bellows Free Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bellows Free Academy
Brattleboro Union Brattleboro Union insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Brattleboro Union
Burlington Burlington Burlington   6- 1 vs 1- 6
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad   Burr and Burton Acad
Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Colchester Colchester insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 2- 5) Colchester
Essex Junction Essex Junction   Essex Junction
Green Mountain Valle Green Mountain Valle Green Mountain Valle  
Hartford Union Hartford Union Hartford Union  
Harwood Union Harwood Union Harwood Union   7- 0 vs 1- 6
Lamoille Union Lamoille Union   Lamoille Union
Lyndon Institute Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Milton Milton Milton  
Montpelier Montpelier Montpelier  
Mount Abraham Mount Abraham Mount Abraham  
Mt Anthony Union Mt Anthony Union tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mt Anthony Union
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union   Mt Mansfield Union
Otter Valley Union Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy  
Randolph Union Randolph Union Randolph Union  
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Rice Memorial
Rutland Rutland insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Rutland
South Burlington South Burlington   South Burlington
Spaulding Spaulding Spaulding  
St Johnsbury Academy St Johnsbury Academy St Johnsbury Academy  
Stowe Stowe Stowe  
Stratton Mountain Sc Bellows Free Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bellows Free Academy
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Woodstock Union

PowerWise = 3


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Otter Valley U  ( 0- 9, 84.3)     1- 0      -15.57       1.48      -0.42         1.09             1.15
   0 A Spaulding       ( 4- 9, 88.5)     9-12      -11.42       5.63       0.42         1.09           -11.96
   0 A Montpelier      ( 7- 8, 90.7)     9-10       -9.23       7.81       0.42         1.09            -9.59
   0 A Green Mountain  (12- 1, 93.4)     6-11       -6.54      10.51       0.42         1.09            -6.66
   0 A Randolph Union  ( 6- 5, 89.7)     7-12      -10.19       6.85       0.42         1.09           -10.63
   0 H Hartford Union  (15- 3, 97.8)     4-16       -2.13      14.92      -0.42         1.09            -2.77
   0 A Stowe           ( 5- 9, 91.2)     9-16       -8.72       8.32       0.42         1.09            -9.03
   0 H Green Mountain  (12- 1, 93.4)     8-11       -6.54      10.51      -0.42         1.09            -7.56
   0 H St Johnsbury A  (11- 5, 93.9)    10-14       -6.03      11.01      -0.42         1.09            -7.01
   0 H Lyndon Institu  ( 0-15, 82.9)    16- 6      -17.04       1.00      -0.42         1.09             0.64
   0 H Mount Abraham   ( 4- 8, 90.2)    12-16       -9.74       7.30      -0.42         1.09           -11.05
   0 A Milton          (12- 4, 95.4)    10-18       -4.53      12.51       0.42         1.09            -4.48
   0 A Randolph Union  ( 6- 5, 89.7)     8-15      -10.19       6.85       0.42         1.09           -10.63
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -89.59

winning pts = 1.7889 losing points = -91.3745

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------