Missoula Wild
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 95.3466Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 19-10 405 A Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 6-18 411 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 2-17 412 A Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 13- 3 419 H Billings Beartooth (11- 4, 97.1) 4-10 419 A Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 12- 6 426 H Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 11- 9 426 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 9- 5 502 A Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 5-13 503 A Northwest Green ( 5- 7, 92.9) 4- 5 510 A Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 7- 5 517 A Billings Beartooth (11- 4, 97.1) 9- 8 517 A Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 1-19
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A Great Falls 19-10 9 2 + 3.26
405 A Helena East 6-18 -12 -3 -1.83
411 A Bozeman Black 2-17 -15 -5 -0.18
412 A Bozeman White 13- 3 10 2 + 2.66
419 H Billings Beartooth 4-10 -6 -2 - -3.48
419 A Sheridan 12- 6 6 7 0.00
426 H Great Falls 11- 9 2 2 -0.28
426 H Helena West 9- 5 4 2 1.96
502 A Northwest Black 5-13 -8 -4 -1.27
503 A Northwest Green 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.14
510 A Helena West 7- 5 2 2 0.50
517 A Billings Beartooth 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.06
517 A Northwest Black 1-19 -18 -4 -1.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 H Billings Beartooth 4-10 -6 -2 - -3.48 503 A Northwest Green 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Great Falls 19-10 9 2 + 3.26 412 A Bozeman White 13- 3 10 2 + 2.66 517 A Billings Beartooth 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.06 |
Missoula Wild Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billings Beartooth | Billings Beartooth | insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 5- 3) | Billings Beartooth | |
| Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Bozeman White | Missoula Wild | Missoula Wild | ||
| Cody | Missoula Wild | Missoula Wild 5- 3 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Great Falls | Missoula Wild | Missoula Wild | ||
| Helena East | Helena East | Helena East | ||
| Helena West | Missoula Wild | Missoula Wild | ||
| Northwest Black | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Northwest Green | Northwest Green | Northwest Green | ||
| Sheridan | Missoula Wild | Missoula Wild |
PowerWise = 5
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 19-10 -6.56 6.99 0.27 1.03 7.52
0 A Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 6-18 -1.66 11.90 0.27 1.03 -1.44
0 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 2-17 -0.00 13.56 0.27 1.03 -0.28
0 A Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 13- 3 -7.16 6.40 0.27 1.03 6.90
0 H Billings Beart (11- 4, 97.1) 4-10 -2.76 10.80 -0.27 1.03 -3.14
0 A Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 12- 6 -12.15 1.41 0.27 1.03 1.74
0 H Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 11- 9 -6.56 6.99 -0.27 1.03 6.96
0 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 9- 5 -6.33 7.23 -0.27 1.03 7.20
0 A Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 5-13 -1.09 12.47 0.27 1.03 -0.85
0 A Northwest Gree ( 5- 7, 92.9) 4- 5 -6.96 6.59 0.27 1.03 -6.93
0 A Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 7- 5 -6.33 7.23 0.27 1.03 7.76
0 A Billings Beart (11- 4, 97.1) 9- 8 -2.76 10.80 0.27 1.03 11.45
0 A Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 1-19 -1.09 12.47 0.27 1.03 -0.85
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36.06
|
winning pts = 49.5349 losing points = -13.4772
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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