Helena West
W-L: ( 5-10) PR = 93.5747Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 0-19 405 A Northwest Green ( 5- 7, 92.9) 7- 8 412 A Billings Beartooth (11- 4, 97.1) 4-10 412 H Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 1-24 417 A Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 2-16 418 H Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 3-13 419 A Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 12-11 426 A Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 5- 4 426 A Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 5- 9 503 A Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 8- 4 503 A Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 11- 7 506 A Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 0-22 510 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 5- 7 516 H Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 8- 4 517 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 5- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A Northwest Black 0-19 -19 -6 0.00
405 A Northwest Green 7- 8 -1 0 -1.37
412 A Billings Beartooth 4-10 -6 -4 -1.17
412 H Northwest Black 1-24 -23 -5 -0.04
417 A Helena East 2-16 -14 -5 -0.06
418 H Bozeman Black 3-13 -10 -6 0.00
419 A Great Falls 12-11 1 0 1.03
426 A Bozeman White 5- 4 1 1 0.44
426 A Missoula Wild 5- 9 -4 -2 -1.96
503 A Cody 8- 4 4 3 1.09
503 A Sheridan 11- 7 4 6 -1.00
506 A Helena East 0-22 -22 -5 -0.06
510 H Missoula Wild 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.50
516 H Cody 8- 4 4 3 0.55
517 A Bozeman Black 5- 8 -3 -7 + 2.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 A Bozeman Black 5- 8 -3 -7 + 2.00 |
Helena West Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billings Beartooth | Billings Beartooth | Billings Beartooth | ||
| Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Bozeman White | Helena West | Helena West | ||
| Cody | Helena West | Helena West | ||
| Great Falls | Helena West | Helena West | ||
| Helena East | Helena East | Helena East | ||
| Missoula Wild | Missoula Wild | Missoula Wild | ||
| Northwest Black | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Northwest Green | Northwest Green | Northwest Green | ||
| Sheridan | Helena West | Helena West |
PowerWise = 4
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 0-19 -1.09 12.47 0.27 0.90 -0.74
0 A Northwest Gree ( 5- 7, 92.9) 7- 8 -6.96 6.59 0.27 0.90 -6.00
0 A Billings Beart (11- 4, 97.1) 4-10 -2.76 10.80 0.27 0.90 -2.23
0 H Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 1-24 -1.09 12.47 -0.27 0.90 -1.22
0 A Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 2-16 -1.66 11.90 0.27 0.90 -1.24
0 H Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 3-13 -0.00 13.56 -0.27 0.90 -0.24
0 A Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 12-11 -6.56 6.99 0.27 0.90 6.51
0 A Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 5- 4 -7.16 6.40 0.27 0.90 5.98
0 A Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 5- 9 -4.55 9.00 0.27 0.90 -3.84
0 A Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 8- 4 -9.51 4.05 0.27 0.90 3.87
0 A Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 11- 7 -12.15 1.41 0.27 0.90 1.51
0 A Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 0-22 -1.66 11.90 0.27 0.90 -1.24
0 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 5- 7 -4.55 9.00 -0.27 0.90 -4.33
0 H Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 8- 4 -9.51 4.05 -0.27 0.90 3.39
0 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 5- 8 -0.00 13.56 0.27 0.90 -0.24
------
-0.07
|
winning pts = 21.2654 losing points = -21.3351
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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