List of boy Div 56 Lightridge List of Team Values for Virginia


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Broad Run               7-17     -10    -6          -0.19
   314 H Brentsville             6-11      -5    -4          -0.35
   319 A Freedom  South Riding   7-14      -7   -11           0.00
   321 H Woodgrove              11-15      -4    -4           0.75
   402 H Heritage  Leesburg     12-11       1     0           0.02
   405 H Loudoun Valley          5-10      -5     0    --    -4.41
   416 A Tuscarora               8- 7       1     2          -1.52
   417 A Kettle Run             10- 9       1     0           1.05
   424 A John Champe             4- 7      -3    -4           1.71
   426 A Stone Bridge            7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.79
   430 H Independence            4-18     -14    -9           0.00
   503 A Riverside               1-18     -17   -16           0.00
   507 A Briar Woods             3-12      -9   -11           0.00
   509 H Potomac Falls          10- 7       3     5    -     -2.73
   514 A Stone Bridge            5-13      -8    -5          -1.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Loudoun Valley          5-10      -5     0    --    -4.41
   509 H Potomac Falls          10- 7       3     5    -     -2.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Stone Bridge            7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.79



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 68.14 Power Rank.................    77
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 45.99 SOS (PR) Rank..............    31
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6356 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    24
 RPI Rating............... .4825 RPI Rank...................    95
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    98
 Selection sum ...........   264 Selection Rank ............    85
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -230. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........   147
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -220. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........   145
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   6.7 Ave Defensive Goals .......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7