All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 73.7500000 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 65.7) 13- 3 326 H Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 8-12 328 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 75.3) 19-17 401 A Meridian (13- 6, 77.1) 11-17 404 A Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 70.4) 11- 7 407 A Broad Run (13- 6, 77.8) 6-12 409 H Riverside (13- 4, 85.2) 4-17 411 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 81.9) 8-18 422 A Brentsville (13- 3, 74.3) 14-13 425 H Patriot ( 8- 8, 75.4) 7-10 429 H John Champe ( 5-10, 66.1) 14- 6 502 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 79.8) 7-15 506 A Independence (19- 2, 86.4) 4-18 513 H Briar Woods (16- 6, 82.4) 9-12 515 A Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 67.6) 11- 8 519 A Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 79.8) 10-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Kettle Run 13- 3 10 8 0.00 326 H Freedom South Riding 8-12 -4 -3 -0.75 328 A Woodgrove 19-17 2 -2 ++ 4.37 401 A Meridian 11-17 -6 -4 -1.85 404 A Heritage Leesburg 11- 7 4 2 1.46 407 A Broad Run 6-12 -6 -4 -1.12 409 H Riverside 4-17 -13 -10 0.00 411 H Loudoun County 8-18 -10 -7 0.00 422 A Brentsville 14-13 1 -1 + 2.34 425 H Patriot 7-10 -3 0 - -2.16 429 H John Champe 14- 6 8 8 0.00 502 H Stone Bridge 7-15 -8 -5 -1.75 506 A Independence 4-18 -14 -13 0.00 513 H Briar Woods 9-12 -3 -7 ++ 4.00 515 A Potomac Falls 11- 8 3 5 - -2.35 519 A Stone Bridge 10-17 -7 -6 -0.19UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Patriot 7-10 -3 0 - -2.16 515 A Potomac Falls 11- 8 3 5 - -2.35OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Woodgrove 19-17 2 -2 ++ 4.37 513 H Briar Woods 9-12 -3 -7 ++ 4.00 422 A Brentsville 14-13 1 -1 + 2.34
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 73.75 Power Rank................. 69 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.72 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 42 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6477 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 29 RPI Rating............... .5192 RPI Rank................... 68 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 93 Selection sum ........... 217 Selection Rank ............ 61 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -200. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 134 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -175. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 120 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 12.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -13.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3