Payson
W-L: (15- 4) PR = 90.9500
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
304 A Lone Peak (14- 5, 95.5) 4-12
306 A American Fork ( 4-15, 85.2) 11- 6
311 A Herriman (12- 8, 90.5) 8- 4
314 H Westlake ( 9- 9, 89.0) 11- 6
318 H Springville ( 6-11, 84.9) 13- 4
320 H Timpview (12- 7, 88.8) 13-11
325 A Salem Hills ( 4-12, 85.8) 13- 6
327 A Orem ( 5-11, 81.6) 17- 2
410 A Provo ( 1-18, 78.9) 19- 1
411 H Spanish Fork (11- 9, 89.2) 11-12
414 A Wasatch ( 9-10, 89.7) 8- 9
417 H Timpanogos (11- 7, 86.1) 12- 2
421 H Mountain View ( 6-12, 81.7) 16- 1
424 H Orem ( 5-11, 81.6) 15- 1
428 H Provo ( 1-18, 78.9) 18- 1
505 A Timpanogos (11- 7, 86.1) 9- 6
508 A Mountain View ( 6-12, 81.7) 17- 2
515 H Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 14-11
517 A Judge Memorial Catho (14- 5, 95.3) 6-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 A Lone Peak 4-12 -8 -5 0.00
306 A American Fork 11- 6 5 5 0.00
311 A Herriman 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.07
314 H Westlake 11- 6 5 3 + 2.49
318 H Springville 13- 4 9 7 0.00
320 H Timpview 13-11 2 3 -0.72
325 A Salem Hills 13- 6 7 5 0.33
327 A Orem 17- 2 15 9 0.00
410 A Provo 19- 1 18 12 0.00
411 H Spanish Fork 11-12 -1 2 - -3.30
414 A Wasatch 8- 9 -1 1 -1.76
417 H Timpanogos 12- 2 10 5 0.00
421 H Mountain View 16- 1 15 10 0.00
424 H Orem 15- 1 14 10 0.00
428 H Provo 18- 1 17 13 0.00
505 A Timpanogos 9- 6 3 4 -1.36
508 A Mountain View 17- 2 15 9 0.00
515 H Green Canyon 14-11 3 2 0.54
517 A Judge Memorial Catho 6-19 -13 -5 -0.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 H Spanish Fork 11-12 -1 2 - -3.30
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 A Herriman 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.07
314 H Westlake 11- 6 5 3 + 2.49
|
Payson Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Alta |
Alta |
|
Alta   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
American Fork |
Payson |
Payson |
 
| |
Bear River |
Bear River |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Bear River |
Bingham |
Payson |
|
Payson   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Bonneville |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Payson |
Bountiful |
Bountiful |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Bountiful |
Box Elder |
Payson |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Payson |
Brighton |
Brighton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Brighton |
Canyon View |
Payson |
|
 
| Payson |
Cedar |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Payson |
Cedar Valley |
Payson |
|
tied - ( 6- 2) ( 6- 2) |
Payson |
Clearfield |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) |
Payson |
Copper Hills |
Payson |
|
Payson   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Corner Canyon |
Corner Canyon |
|
Corner Canyon   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Crimson Cliffs |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Payson |
Davis |
Davis |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Davis |
Desert Hills |
Payson |
|
Payson   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Dixie |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Payson |
East |
East |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
East |
Farmington |
Farmington |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Farmington |
Fremont |
Fremont |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Fremont |
Green Canyon |
Payson |
Payson |
 
| |
Herriman |
Payson |
Payson |
 
| |
Highland |
Highland |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) |
Highland |
Hillcrest |
Payson |
|
Payson   5- 1 vs 0- 6 |
|
Hurricane |
Payson |
|
Payson   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Jordan |
Payson |
|
Payson   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Juan Diego Catholic |
Juan Diego Catholic |
|
tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) |
Juan Diego Catholic |
Judge Memorial Catho |
Judge Memorial Catho |
Judge Memorial Catho |
 
| |
Layton |
Payson |
|
 
| Payson |
Lehi |
Payson |
|
Payson   6- 1 vs 3- 4 |
|
Logan |
Payson |
|
Payson   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Lone Peak |
Lone Peak |
Lone Peak |
 
| |
Maple Mountain |
Maple Mountain |
|
Maple Mountain   8- 1 vs 6- 3 |
|
Mountain Crest |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Payson |
Mountain Ridge |
Mountain Ridge |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
Mountain Ridge |
Mountain View |
Payson |
Payson |
 
| |
Northridge |
Northridge |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Northridge |
Olympus |
Olympus |
|
Olympus   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Orem |
Payson |
Payson |
 
| |
Park City |
Park City |
|
Park City   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Pine View |
Payson |
|
 
| Payson |
Pleasant Grove |
Payson |
|
Payson   5- 3 vs 2- 6 |
|
Provo |
Payson |
Payson |
 
| |
Ridgeline |
Payson |
|
Payson   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Riverton |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) |
Payson |
Roy |
Payson |
|
 
| Payson |
Salem Hills |
Payson |
Payson |
 
| |
Sky View |
Payson |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Payson |
Skyline |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Payson |
Skyridge |
Skyridge |
|
Skyridge   7- 0 vs 5- 2 |
|
Snow Canyon |
Payson |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Payson |
Spanish Fork |
Spanish Fork |
Spanish Fork |
 
| |
Springville |
Payson |
Payson |
 
| |
Syracuse |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Payson |
Timpanogos |
Payson |
Payson |
 
| |
Timpview |
Payson |
Payson |
 
|
Viewmont |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Payson |
Wasatch |
Wasatch |
Wasatch |
 
| |
Waterford |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Payson |
Weber |
Payson |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Payson |
West |
Payson |
|
Payson   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
West Field |
West Field |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
West Field |
West Jordan |
Payson |
|
Payson   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Westlake |
Payson |
Payson |
 
| |
Woods Cross |
Woods Cross |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Woods Cross |
PowerWise = 43

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.63
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lone Peak (14- 5, 95.5) 4-12 -4.41 25.10 0.53 0.98 -3.81
0 A American Fork ( 4-15, 85.2) 11- 6 -14.68 14.83 0.53 0.98 15.06
0 A Herriman (12- 8, 90.5) 8- 4 -9.41 20.10 0.53 0.98 20.22
0 H Westlake ( 9- 9, 89.0) 11- 6 -10.94 18.58 -0.53 0.98 17.70
0 H Springville ( 6-11, 84.9) 13- 4 -15.02 14.49 -0.53 0.98 13.69
0 H Timpview (12- 7, 88.8) 13-11 -11.15 18.37 -0.53 0.98 17.49
0 A Salem Hills ( 4-12, 85.8) 13- 6 -14.14 15.37 0.53 0.98 15.58
0 A Orem ( 5-11, 81.6) 17- 2 -18.33 11.18 0.53 0.98 11.48
0 A Provo ( 1-18, 78.9) 19- 1 -20.98 8.53 0.53 0.98 8.88
0 H Spanish Fork (11- 9, 89.2) 11-12 -10.73 18.78 -0.53 0.98 -11.03
0 A Wasatch ( 9-10, 89.7) 8- 9 -10.24 19.27 0.53 0.98 -9.52
0 H Timpanogos (11- 7, 86.1) 12- 2 -13.83 15.68 -0.53 0.98 14.85
0 H Mountain View ( 6-12, 81.7) 16- 1 -18.24 11.27 -0.53 0.98 10.53
0 H Orem ( 5-11, 81.6) 15- 1 -18.33 11.18 -0.53 0.98 10.45
0 H Provo ( 1-18, 78.9) 18- 1 -20.98 8.53 -0.53 0.98 7.85
0 A Timpanogos (11- 7, 86.1) 9- 6 -13.83 15.68 0.53 0.98 15.88
0 A Mountain View ( 6-12, 81.7) 17- 2 -18.24 11.27 0.53 0.98 11.56
0 H Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 14-11 -10.88 18.63 -0.53 0.98 17.75
0 A Judge Memorial (14- 5, 95.3) 6-19 -4.56 24.95 0.53 0.98 -3.95
------
180.66
|
winning pts = 208.9746 losing points = -28.3143
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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