---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:11 PDT

safe3step boys Payson 1
  
Payson                
W-L: (15- 4) PR = 90.9500

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Lone Peak (14- 5, 95.5) 4-12 306 A American Fork ( 4-15, 85.2) 11- 6 311 A Herriman (12- 8, 90.5) 8- 4 314 H Westlake ( 9- 9, 89.0) 11- 6 318 H Springville ( 6-11, 84.9) 13- 4 320 H Timpview (12- 7, 88.8) 13-11 325 A Salem Hills ( 4-12, 85.8) 13- 6 327 A Orem ( 5-11, 81.6) 17- 2 410 A Provo ( 1-18, 78.9) 19- 1 411 H Spanish Fork (11- 9, 89.2) 11-12 414 A Wasatch ( 9-10, 89.7) 8- 9 417 H Timpanogos (11- 7, 86.1) 12- 2 421 H Mountain View ( 6-12, 81.7) 16- 1 424 H Orem ( 5-11, 81.6) 15- 1 428 H Provo ( 1-18, 78.9) 18- 1 505 A Timpanogos (11- 7, 86.1) 9- 6 508 A Mountain View ( 6-12, 81.7) 17- 2 515 H Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 14-11 517 A Judge Memorial Catho (14- 5, 95.3) 6-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Lone Peak               4-12      -8    -5           0.00
   306 A American Fork          11- 6       5     5           0.00
   311 A Herriman                8- 4       4     0    ++     4.07
   314 H Westlake               11- 6       5     3    +      2.49
   318 H Springville            13- 4       9     7           0.00
   320 H Timpview               13-11       2     3          -0.72
   325 A Salem Hills            13- 6       7     5           0.33
   327 A Orem                   17- 2      15     9           0.00
   410 A Provo                  19- 1      18    12           0.00
   411 H Spanish Fork           11-12      -1     2    -     -3.30
   414 A Wasatch                 8- 9      -1     1          -1.76
   417 H Timpanogos             12- 2      10     5           0.00
   421 H Mountain View          16- 1      15    10           0.00
   424 H Orem                   15- 1      14    10           0.00
   428 H Provo                  18- 1      17    13           0.00
   505 A Timpanogos              9- 6       3     4          -1.36
   508 A Mountain View          17- 2      15     9           0.00
   515 H Green Canyon           14-11       3     2           0.54
   517 A Judge Memorial Catho    6-19     -13    -5          -0.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Spanish Fork           11-12      -1     2    -     -3.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Herriman                8- 4       4     0    ++     4.07
   314 H Westlake               11- 6       5     3    +      2.49

Payson Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alta Alta Alta   4- 1 vs 1- 4
American Fork Payson Payson  
Bear River Bear River insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bear River
Bingham Payson Payson   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Bonneville Payson insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Payson
Bountiful Bountiful tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Bountiful
Box Elder Payson tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Payson
Brighton Brighton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brighton
Canyon View Payson   Payson
Cedar Payson insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Payson
Cedar Valley Payson tied - ( 6- 2) ( 6- 2) Payson
Clearfield Payson insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) Payson
Copper Hills Payson Payson   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Corner Canyon Corner Canyon Corner Canyon   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Crimson Cliffs Payson insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Payson
Davis Davis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Davis
Desert Hills Payson Payson   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dixie Payson insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Payson
East East insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) East
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Farmington
Fremont Fremont tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Fremont
Green Canyon Payson Payson  
Herriman Payson Payson  
Highland Highland insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Highland
Hillcrest Payson Payson   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Hurricane Payson Payson   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Jordan Payson Payson   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Juan Diego Catholic Juan Diego Catholic tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) Juan Diego Catholic
Judge Memorial Catho Judge Memorial Catho Judge Memorial Catho  
Layton Payson   Payson
Lehi Payson Payson   6- 1 vs 3- 4
Logan Payson Payson   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lone Peak Lone Peak Lone Peak  
Maple Mountain Maple Mountain Maple Mountain   8- 1 vs 6- 3
Mountain Crest Payson insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Payson
Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Mountain Ridge
Mountain View Payson Payson  
Northridge Northridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northridge
Olympus Olympus Olympus   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Orem Payson Payson  
Park City Park City Park City   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Pine View Payson   Payson
Pleasant Grove Payson Payson   5- 3 vs 2- 6
Provo Payson Payson  
Ridgeline Payson Payson   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Riverton Payson insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Payson
Roy Payson   Payson
Salem Hills Payson Payson  
Sky View Payson tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Payson
Skyline Payson insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Payson
Skyridge Skyridge Skyridge   7- 0 vs 5- 2
Snow Canyon Payson tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Payson
Spanish Fork Spanish Fork Spanish Fork  
Springville Payson Payson  
Syracuse Payson insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Payson
Timpanogos Payson Payson  
Timpview Payson Payson  
Viewmont Payson insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Payson
Wasatch Wasatch Wasatch  
Waterford Payson insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Payson
Weber Payson insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Payson
West Payson Payson   2- 1 vs 0- 3
West Field West Field tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) West Field
West Jordan Payson Payson   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Westlake Payson Payson  
Woods Cross Woods Cross tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Woods Cross

PowerWise = 43


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lone Peak       (14- 5, 95.5)     4-12       -4.41      25.10       0.53         0.98            -3.81
   0 A American Fork   ( 4-15, 85.2)    11- 6      -14.68      14.83       0.53         0.98            15.06
   0 A Herriman        (12- 8, 90.5)     8- 4       -9.41      20.10       0.53         0.98            20.22
   0 H Westlake        ( 9- 9, 89.0)    11- 6      -10.94      18.58      -0.53         0.98            17.70
   0 H Springville     ( 6-11, 84.9)    13- 4      -15.02      14.49      -0.53         0.98            13.69
   0 H Timpview        (12- 7, 88.8)    13-11      -11.15      18.37      -0.53         0.98            17.49
   0 A Salem Hills     ( 4-12, 85.8)    13- 6      -14.14      15.37       0.53         0.98            15.58
   0 A Orem            ( 5-11, 81.6)    17- 2      -18.33      11.18       0.53         0.98            11.48
   0 A Provo           ( 1-18, 78.9)    19- 1      -20.98       8.53       0.53         0.98             8.88
   0 H Spanish Fork    (11- 9, 89.2)    11-12      -10.73      18.78      -0.53         0.98           -11.03
   0 A Wasatch         ( 9-10, 89.7)     8- 9      -10.24      19.27       0.53         0.98            -9.52
   0 H Timpanogos      (11- 7, 86.1)    12- 2      -13.83      15.68      -0.53         0.98            14.85
   0 H Mountain View   ( 6-12, 81.7)    16- 1      -18.24      11.27      -0.53         0.98            10.53
   0 H Orem            ( 5-11, 81.6)    15- 1      -18.33      11.18      -0.53         0.98            10.45
   0 H Provo           ( 1-18, 78.9)    18- 1      -20.98       8.53      -0.53         0.98             7.85
   0 A Timpanogos      (11- 7, 86.1)     9- 6      -13.83      15.68       0.53         0.98            15.88
   0 A Mountain View   ( 6-12, 81.7)    17- 2      -18.24      11.27       0.53         0.98            11.56
   0 H Green Canyon    (10-10, 89.0)    14-11      -10.88      18.63      -0.53         0.98            17.75
   0 A Judge Memorial  (14- 5, 95.3)     6-19       -4.56      24.95       0.53         0.98            -3.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       180.66

winning pts = 208.9746 losing points = -28.3143

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------