Cactus Shadows
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 81.9556Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 204 A Brophy Prep II ( 9- 5, 85.9) 7- 6 208 H Catalina Foothills ( 9- 5, 85.0) 5- 2 211 H West Valley (10- 7, 86.1) 3- 9 215 A Catalina Foothills ( 9- 5, 85.0) 6- 8 222 H Desert Vista II (11- 4, 86.1) 2-10 225 A West Valley (10- 7, 86.1) 5-14 228 A Salpointe Catholic ( 4-12, 83.1) 14-13 304 H Brophy Prep II ( 9- 5, 85.9) 2- 9 305 H Cactus ( 3-13, 81.8) 11-13 321 H Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 3-15 325 H Notre Dame Prep II ( 6- 8, 83.6) 2- 6 328 A Cactus ( 3-13, 81.8) 9- 7 401 A Desert Vista II (11- 4, 86.1) 1- 7 411 A Notre Dame Prep II ( 6- 8, 83.6) 2-12 417 H Salpointe Catholic ( 4-12, 83.1) 4-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
204 A Brophy Prep II 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.06
208 H Catalina Foothills 5- 2 3 -3 ++ 5.92
211 H West Valley 3- 9 -6 -4 -0.94
215 A Catalina Foothills 6- 8 -2 -3 1.17
222 H Desert Vista II 2-10 -8 -4 -0.94
225 A West Valley 5-14 -9 -4 -0.69
228 A Salpointe Catholic 14-13 1 -1 + 2.23
304 H Brophy Prep II 2- 9 -7 -4 -1.19
305 H Cactus 11-13 -2 0 - -2.31
321 H Scottsdale 3-15 -12 -6 0.00
325 H Notre Dame Prep II 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.44
328 A Cactus 9- 7 2 0 1.94
401 A Desert Vista II 1- 7 -6 -4 -0.69
411 A Notre Dame Prep II 2-12 -10 -2 - -3.19
417 H Salpointe Catholic 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Salpointe Catholic 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.02 305 H Cactus 11-13 -2 0 - -2.31 325 H Notre Dame Prep II 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.44 411 A Notre Dame Prep II 2-12 -10 -2 - -3.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 A Brophy Prep II 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.06 208 H Catalina Foothills 5- 2 3 -3 ++ 5.92 228 A Salpointe Catholic 14-13 1 -1 + 2.23 |
Cactus Shadows Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcadia | Arcadia | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Arcadia | |
| Boulder Creek | Boulder Creek | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boulder Creek | |
| Brophy Prep | Brophy Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brophy Prep | |
| Brophy Prep II | Brophy Prep II | insuffient: ( 3- 6)( 4- 2) | Brophy Prep II | |
| Cactus | Cactus Shadows | insuffient: ( 3- 6)( 2- 4) | Cactus Shadows | |
| Catalina Foothills | Catalina Foothills | tied - ( 3- 6) ( 3- 3) | Catalina Foothills | |
| Chandler | Chandler | Chandler 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Corona del Sol | Corona del Sol | Corona del Sol 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Desert Vista | Desert Vista | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Desert Vista | |
| Desert Vista II | Desert Vista II | Desert Vista II | ||
| Higley | Higley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Higley | |
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Notre Dame Prep | |
| Notre Dame Prep II | Notre Dame Prep II | Notre Dame Prep II | ||
| Oro Valley | Oro Valley | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Oro Valley | |
| Pinnacle | Pinnacle | Pinnacle 4- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Salpointe Catholic | Cactus Shadows | Cactus Shadows 3- 6 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Scottsdale | Scottsdale | Scottsdale | ||
| West Valley | West Valley | West Valley |
PowerWise = 2
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Brophy Prep II ( 9- 5, 85.9) 7- 6 -14.01 4.13 0.12 0.91 3.88
0 H Catalina Footh ( 9- 5, 85.0) 5- 2 -14.90 3.23 -0.12 0.91 2.84
0 H West Valley (10- 7, 86.1) 3- 9 -13.76 4.37 -0.12 0.91 -12.66
0 A Catalina Footh ( 9- 5, 85.0) 6- 8 -14.90 3.23 0.12 0.91 -13.48
0 H Desert Vista I (11- 4, 86.1) 2-10 -13.76 4.37 -0.12 0.91 -12.66
0 A West Valley (10- 7, 86.1) 5-14 -13.76 4.37 0.12 0.91 -12.44
0 A Salpointe Cath ( 4-12, 83.1) 14-13 -16.84 1.29 0.12 0.91 1.29
0 H Brophy Prep II ( 9- 5, 85.9) 2- 9 -14.01 4.13 -0.12 0.91 -12.89
0 H Cactus ( 3-13, 81.8) 11-13 -18.13 1.00 -0.12 0.91 -16.65
0 H Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 3-15 -11.99 6.15 -0.12 0.91 -11.05
0 H Notre Dame Pre ( 6- 8, 83.6) 2- 6 -16.26 1.88 -0.12 0.91 -14.94
0 A Cactus ( 3-13, 81.8) 9- 7 -18.13 1.00 0.12 0.91 1.03
0 A Desert Vista I (11- 4, 86.1) 1- 7 -13.76 4.37 0.12 0.91 -12.44
0 A Notre Dame Pre ( 6- 8, 83.6) 2-12 -16.26 1.88 0.12 0.91 -14.72
0 H Salpointe Cath ( 4-12, 83.1) 4-10 -16.84 1.29 -0.12 0.91 -15.47
------
-140.37
|
winning pts = 9.0326 losing points = -149.4072
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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