---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys John Paul II Catholi 1
  
John Paul II Catholi  
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 76.6198

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Cape Fear Academy ( 9- 6, 85.2) 3-14 227 H Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 7-10 304 A North Brunswick ( 8-14, 78.1) 3-11 311 H DH Conley ( 0- 8, 71.4) 17- 5 313 H Fike ( 1-16, 72.9) 10- 7 321 A Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 8-17 325 A West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 9-10 327 A DH Conley ( 0- 8, 71.4) 15- 3 403 A Fike ( 1-16, 72.9) 16- 4 404 H Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 5-15 414 H West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 10- 8 416 A Cary Christian ( 1- 6, 79.9) 9-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Cape Fear Academy       3-14     -11    -8           0.00
   227 H Swansboro               7-10      -3    -2          -1.23
   304 A North Brunswick         3-11      -8    -2    -     -3.23
   311 H DH Conley              17- 5      12     5           0.00
   313 H Fike                   10- 7       3     4          -0.97
   321 A Havelock                8-17      -9    -4          -0.63
   325 A West Carteret           9-10      -1    -1           0.21
   327 A DH Conley              15- 3      12     5           0.06
   403 A Fike                   16- 4      12     3           1.57
   404 H Northside               5-15     -10    -6           0.00
   414 H West Carteret          10- 8       2    -1    +      2.66
   416 A Cary Christian          9-11      -2    -4           1.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A North Brunswick         3-11      -8    -2    -     -3.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H West Carteret          10- 8       2    -1    +      2.66

John Paul II Catholi Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Bradford Prep   Bradford Prep
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Butler   Butler
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy  
Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cape Fear HS
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cary Academy
Cary Christian Cary Christian Cary Christian  
Cary HS Cary HS   Cary HS
Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland Cleveland   Cleveland
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter   Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan Croatan   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley John Paul II Catholi John Paul II Catholi  
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Eastern Alamance   Eastern Alamance
Eastern Guilford John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fike John Paul II Catholi John Paul II Catholi  
First Flight First Flight First Flight   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fuquay-Varina
Garner Garner   Garner
Glenn Glenn   Glenn
Grays Creek Grays Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grays Creek
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Havelock Havelock  
Heritage Heritage tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Heritage
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange   Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hough
Hunt John Paul II Catholi insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) John Paul II Catholi
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt John Paul II Catholi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) John Paul II Catholi
Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville   3- 2 vs 1- 4
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose JH Rose   6- 0 vs 3- 4
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor   Mount Tabor
Mountain Island Char John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern New Bern   4- 0 vs 1- 4
New Hanover New Hanover insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) New Hanover
North Brunswick North Brunswick North Brunswick  
North Davidson John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ   North Raleigh Christ
Northern Durham John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside Northside  
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Pine Forest John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham   Riverside Durham
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Rolesville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rolesville
Roxboro Community John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) South Brunswick
South Garner South Garner   South Garner
South Iredell John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford   Southeast Guilford
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford   Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School St Davids School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Swansboro Swansboro Swansboro  
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford Terry Sanford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Topsail Topsail insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Vance Charter John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Voyager Academy Voyager Academy   Voyager Academy
Wake Forest Wake Forest tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wake Forest
Wake Prep John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams   Walter M Williams
Watauga Watauga   Watauga
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) West Brunswick
West Carteret West Carteret tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) West Carteret
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes West Stokes   West Stokes
Western Alamance John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Western Guilford Western Guilford   Western Guilford
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 19


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Cape Fear Acad  ( 9- 6, 85.2)     3-14      -14.74      19.07      -0.27         1.49           -22.43
   0 H Swansboro       ( 6-14, 78.7)     7-10      -21.24      12.57      -0.27         1.49           -32.14
   0 A North Brunswic  ( 8-14, 78.1)     3-11      -21.79      12.02       0.27         1.49           -32.15
   0 H DH Conley       ( 0- 8, 71.4)    17- 5      -28.49       5.32      -0.27         1.49             7.54
   0 H Fike            ( 1-16, 72.9)    10- 7      -26.98       6.83      -0.27         1.49             9.80
   0 A Havelock        ( 6-10, 80.7)     8-17      -19.19      14.62       0.27         1.49           -28.27
   0 A West Carteret   ( 4-12, 77.6)     9-10      -22.35      11.46       0.27         1.49           -32.99
   0 A DH Conley       ( 0- 8, 71.4)    15- 3      -28.49       5.32       0.27         1.49             8.35
   0 A Fike            ( 1-16, 72.9)    16- 4      -26.98       6.83       0.27         1.49            10.61
   0 H Northside       (11- 8, 83.4)     5-15      -16.55      17.26      -0.27         1.49           -25.13
   0 H West Carteret   ( 4-12, 77.6)    10- 8      -22.35      11.46      -0.27         1.49            16.72
   0 A Cary Christian  ( 1- 6, 79.9)     9-11      -20.01      13.80       0.27         1.49           -29.49
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -149.58

winning pts = 53.0248 losing points = -202.6039

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------