---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Morse 1
  
Morse                 
W-L: ( 8-11) PR = 67.8090

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Otay Ranch ( 2-11, 65.0) 8- 4 304 A Preuss School (13- 5, 73.7) 2-14 306 H Lincoln San Diego ( 1-13, 61.9) 1- 0 307 A San Ysidro ( 7-10, 69.0) 4-10 311 A Mira Mesa ( 4-12, 67.0) 7- 6 313 H Mission Bay ( 7-11, 70.7) 2-14 318 A Del Lago Academy (10- 8, 73.5) 2-16 320 A Canyon Hills ( 9-10, 70.6) 6- 8 325 H Hilltop ( 7-13, 66.5) 7- 6 327 H Preuss School (13- 5, 73.7) 2-13 408 A Canyon Hills ( 9-10, 70.6) 7-16 410 H Clairemont (12- 6, 74.3) 6- 9 415 A Lincoln San Diego ( 1-13, 61.9) 12- 6 417 A Castle Park ( 1- 9, 61.0) 11- 2 418 H Mira Mesa ( 4-12, 67.0) 11- 2 422 A University City (12- 7, 78.9) 0-23 424 H Mar Vista ( 0-14, 64.3) 14- 2 429 H Mission Bay ( 7-11, 70.7) 3-15 502 H San Diego (10-10, 76.0) 1-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Otay Ranch              8- 4       4     3           0.84
   304 A Preuss School           2-14     -12    -6           0.00
   307 A San Ysidro              4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.49
   311 A Mira Mesa               7- 6       1     0           0.53
   313 H Mission Bay             2-14     -12    -3    -     -2.42
   318 A Del Lago Academy        2-16     -14    -6           0.00
   320 A Canyon Hills            6- 8      -2    -3           1.12
   325 H Hilltop                 7- 6       1     2          -0.66
   327 H Preuss School           2-13     -11    -6           0.00
   408 A Canyon Hills            7-16      -9    -3          -1.88
   410 H Clairemont              6- 9      -3    -6    +      2.00
   415 A Lincoln San Diego      12- 6       6     6           0.00
   417 A Castle Park            11- 2       9     6           0.00
   418 H Mira Mesa              11- 2       9     1    +      3.81
   422 A University City         0-23     -23   -11           0.00
   424 H Mar Vista              14- 2      12     4           1.16
   429 H Mission Bay             3-15     -12    -3    -     -2.42
   502 H San Diego               1-18     -17    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A San Ysidro              4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.49
   313 H Mission Bay             2-14     -12    -3    -     -2.42
   429 H Mission Bay             3-15     -12    -3    -     -2.42

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Clairemont              6- 9      -3    -6    +      2.00
   418 H Mira Mesa              11- 2       9     1    +      3.81

Morse Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Acalanes Acalanes   Acalanes
Alhambra Alhambra   Alhambra
Amador Valley Amador Valley   Amador Valley
Archie Williams Archie Williams   Archie Williams
Bay School Morse   Morse
Bentley School Bentley School   Bentley School
Berean Christian Berean Christian   Berean Christian
Berkeley Berkeley   Berkeley
Bishop ODowd Bishop ODowd   Bishop ODowd
Branson Branson   Branson
California California   California
Campolindo Campolindo   Campolindo
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman   Cardinal Newman
Casa Grande Casa Grande   Casa Grande
Clayton Valley Chart Clayton Valley Chart   Clayton Valley Chart
College Park College Park   College Park
De LaSalle De LaSalle   De LaSalle
Dougherty Valley Dougherty Valley   Dougherty Valley
Drew Drew   Drew
Dublin Dublin   Dublin
Foothill Pleasanton Foothill Pleasanton   Foothill Pleasanton
George Washington SF George Washington SF   George Washington SF
Granada Granada   Granada
Head-Royce Head-Royce   Head-Royce
Justin Siena Justin Siena   Justin Siena
Las Lomas Las Lomas   Las Lomas
Lick Wilmerding Lick Wilmerding   Lick Wilmerding
Livermore Livermore   Livermore
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marin Academy Marin Academy   Marin Academy
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic   Marin Catholic
Miramonte Miramonte   Miramonte
Monte Vista Danville Monte Vista Danville   Monte Vista Danville
Moreau Catholic Morse   Morse
Napa Napa   Napa
Newark Memorial Newark Memorial   Newark Memorial
Northgate Northgate   Northgate
Novato Novato   Novato
Petaluma Petaluma   Petaluma
Piedmont Piedmont   Piedmont
Rancho Cotate Rancho Cotate   Rancho Cotate
Redwood Redwood   Redwood
San Marin San Marin   San Marin
San Rafael San Rafael   San Rafael
San Ramon Valley San Ramon Valley   San Ramon Valley
Sonoma Academy Sonoma Academy   Sonoma Academy
Sonoma Valley Sonoma Valley   Sonoma Valley
St Vincent de Paul St Vincent de Paul   St Vincent de Paul
Stuart Hall Stuart Hall   Stuart Hall
Tamalpais Tamalpais   Tamalpais
Terra Linda Terra Linda   Terra Linda
University SF University SF   University SF
Urban School Urban School   Urban School
Vintage Vintage   Vintage
Washington Fremont Washington Fremont   Washington Fremont
Windsor Windsor   Windsor
Birmingham Charter Birmingham Charter   Birmingham Charter
El Camino Real Chart El Camino Real Chart   El Camino Real Chart
North Valley Militar North Valley Militar   North Valley Militar
Palisades Charter Palisades Charter   Palisades Charter
University Los Angel Morse   Morse
Aptos Aptos   Aptos
Aragon Aragon   Aragon
Archbishop Mitty Archbishop Mitty   Archbishop Mitty
Archbishop Riordan Archbishop Riordan   Archbishop Riordan
Bellarmine Prep Bellarmine Prep   Bellarmine Prep
Burlingame Burlingame   Burlingame
Carlmont Carlmont   Carlmont
Carmel Carmel   Carmel
Christopher Christopher   Christopher
Gunn Gunn   Gunn
Harbor Morse   Morse
Hillsdale Hillsdale   Hillsdale
Hollister-San Benito Hollister-San Benito   Hollister-San Benito
Latino College Prep Latino College Prep   Latino College Prep
Leland Leland   Leland
Live Oak Live Oak   Live Oak
Los Altos Los Altos   Los Altos
Los Gatos Los Gatos   Los Gatos
Menlo School Menlo School   Menlo School
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton   Menlo-Atherton
Monte Vista Christia Monte Vista Christia   Monte Vista Christia
Monterey Monterey   Monterey
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Pacific Grove Pacific Grove   Pacific Grove
Palma Palma   Palma
Palo Alto Palo Alto   Palo Alto
Pioneer Pioneer   Pioneer
Priory Priory   Priory
Sacred Heart Cathedr Sacred Heart Cathedr   Sacred Heart Cathedr
Sacred Heart Prep Sacred Heart Prep   Sacred Heart Prep
Salinas Salinas   Salinas
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz   Santa Cruz
Saratoga Saratoga   Saratoga
Scotts Valley Scotts Valley   Scotts Valley
Sequoia Sequoia   Sequoia
Serra San Mateo Serra San Mateo   Serra San Mateo
Sobrato Sobrato   Sobrato
Soquel Soquel   Soquel
St Francis-Mtn View St Francis-Mtn View   St Francis-Mtn View
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep   St Ignatius Prep
Stevenson School Stevenson School   Stevenson School
Valley Christian Valley Christian   Valley Christian
Woodside Woodside   Woodside
Agoura Agoura   Agoura
Aliso Niguel Aliso Niguel   Aliso Niguel
Beckman Beckman   Beckman
Beverly Hills Beverly Hills   Beverly Hills
Brentwood School Brentwood School   Brentwood School
Calabasas Calabasas   Calabasas
Canyon Canyon   Canyon
Capistrano Valley Capistrano Valley   Capistrano Valley
Castaic Castaic   Castaic
Cate School Cate School   Cate School
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Chaminade Prep Chaminade Prep   Chaminade Prep
Chaparral Chaparral   Chaparral
Compton Compton   Compton
Corona Corona   Corona
Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar   Corona Del Mar
Crean Lutheran Crean Lutheran   Crean Lutheran
Crescenta Valley Crescenta Valley   Crescenta Valley
Crespi Crespi   Crespi
Culver City Culver City   Culver City
Damien Damien   Damien
Dana Hills Dana Hills   Dana Hills
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos   Dos Pueblos
Downey Downey   Downey
Edison Edison   Edison
El Dorado El Dorado   El Dorado
El Modena El Modena   El Modena
El Segundo El Segundo   El Segundo
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Esperanza Esperanza   Esperanza
Foothill Santa Ana Foothill Santa Ana   Foothill Santa Ana
Glendale Glendale   Glendale
Grace Brethren Grace Brethren   Grace Brethren
Great Oak Great Oak   Great Oak
Hart Hart   Hart
Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake   Harvard-Westlake
Hemet Hemet   Hemet
Heritage Christian Heritage Christian   Heritage Christian
Heritage HS Heritage HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Heritage HS
Huntington Beach Huntington Beach   Huntington Beach
Irvine Irvine   Irvine
JSerra Catholic JSerra Catholic   JSerra Catholic
King King   King
La Canada La Canada   La Canada
Laguna Hills Laguna Hills   Laguna Hills
Lakewood Lakewood   Lakewood
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linfield Christian Linfield Christian   Linfield Christian
Long Beach Poly Long Beach Poly   Long Beach Poly
Los Alamitos Los Alamitos   Los Alamitos
Loyola Los Angeles Loyola Los Angeles   Loyola Los Angeles
Lynwood Lynwood   Lynwood
Mater Dei Santa Ana Mater Dei Santa Ana   Mater Dei Santa Ana
Millikan Millikan   Millikan
Mira Costa Mira Costa   Mira Costa
Mission Viejo Mission Viejo   Mission Viejo
Murrieta Mesa Murrieta Mesa   Murrieta Mesa
Murrieta Valley Murrieta Valley   Murrieta Valley
Newbury Park Newbury Park   Newbury Park
Newport Harbor Newport Harbor   Newport Harbor
Norco Norco   Norco
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Notre Dame Sherman Notre Dame Sherman   Notre Dame Sherman
Oak Park Oak Park   Oak Park
Oaks Christian Oaks Christian   Oaks Christian
Orange Lutheran Orange Lutheran   Orange Lutheran
Paloma Valley Paloma Valley   Paloma Valley
Palos Verdes Palos Verdes   Palos Verdes
Peninsula Peninsula   Peninsula
Portola Portola   Portola
Redondo Union Redondo Union   Redondo Union
Riverside Poly Riverside Poly   Riverside Poly
San Clemente San Clemente   San Clemente
San Juan Hills San Juan Hills   San Juan Hills
San Marcos SB San Marcos SB   San Marcos SB
Santa Barbara Santa Barbara   Santa Barbara
Santa Margarita Cath Santa Margarita Cath   Santa Margarita Cath
Santa Monica Santa Monica   Santa Monica
Santiago Santiago   Santiago
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Segerstrom Segerstrom   Segerstrom
Servite Servite   Servite
Sierra Canyon Sierra Canyon   Sierra Canyon
Simi Royal Simi Royal   Simi Royal
Simi Valley Simi Valley   Simi Valley
St Francis-La Canada St Francis-La Canada   St Francis-La Canada
St John Bosco St John Bosco   St John Bosco
St Margarets Episcop St Margarets Episcop   St Margarets Episcop
Temecula Valley Temecula Valley   Temecula Valley
Tesoro Tesoro   Tesoro
Thacher School Thacher School   Thacher School
Trabuco Hills Trabuco Hills   Trabuco Hills
University Irvine University Irvine   University Irvine
Valencia Santa Clari Valencia Santa Clari   Valencia Santa Clari
Viewpoint School Viewpoint School   Viewpoint School
Village Christian Village Christian   Village Christian
Vista Murrieta Vista Murrieta   Vista Murrieta
West Ranch West Ranch   West Ranch
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Woodbridge Woodbridge   Woodbridge
Woodrow Wilson Woodrow Wilson   Woodrow Wilson
Yorba Linda Yorba Linda   Yorba Linda
Army-Navy Academy Army-Navy Academy tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Army-Navy Academy
Bishops School Bishops School   Bishops School
Bonita Vista Bonita Vista insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Bonita Vista
Canyon Crest Canyon Crest insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Canyon Crest
Canyon Hills Canyon Hills Canyon Hills  
Carlsbad Carlsbad   Carlsbad
Castle Park Morse Morse  
Cathedral Catholic Cathedral Catholic   Cathedral Catholic
Clairemont Clairemont Clairemont  
Classical Academy Classical Academy Classical Academy   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Del Lago Academy Del Lago Academy Del Lago Academy  
Del Norte Del Norte   Del Norte
Eastlake Eastlake insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Eastlake
El Capitan El Capitan El Capitan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fallbrook Fallbrook insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Fallbrook
Foothills Christian Foothills Christian tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Foothills Christian
Francis Parker Francis Parker   Francis Parker
Granite Hills Granite Hills   Granite Hills
Grossmont Grossmont   Grossmont
Helix Charter Helix Charter Helix Charter   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hilltop Morse Morse  
La Costa Canyon La Costa Canyon   La Costa Canyon
La Jolla CDS La Jolla CDS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) La Jolla CDS
La Jolla HS La Jolla HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) La Jolla HS
Lincoln San Diego Morse Morse  
Mar Vista Morse Morse  
Mater Dei Chula Vist Mater Dei Chula Vist Mater Dei Chula Vist   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Mira Mesa Morse Morse  
Mission Bay Mission Bay Mission Bay  
Mission Hills Mission Hills insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mission Hills
Monte Vista Spring V Morse tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Morse
Mt Carmel Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Olympian Olympian Olympian   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Otay Ranch Morse Morse  
Pacific Ridge Pacific Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pacific Ridge
Patrick Henry Patrick Henry   Patrick Henry
Point Loma Point Loma Point Loma   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Poway Poway   Poway
Preuss School Preuss School Preuss School  
Rancho Bernardo Rancho Bernardo insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rancho Bernardo
Rancho Buena Vista Rancho Buena Vista Rancho Buena Vista   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Sage Creek Sage Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sage Creek
San Diego San Diego San Diego  
San Dieguito San Dieguito insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) San Dieguito
San Marcos SD San Marcos SD   San Marcos SD
San Ysidro San Ysidro San Ysidro  
Santa Fe Christian Santa Fe Christian   Santa Fe Christian
Santana Santana   Santana
Scripps Ranch Scripps Ranch   Scripps Ranch
St Augustine St Augustine   St Augustine
Torrey Pines Torrey Pines   Torrey Pines
University City University City University City  
Valhalla Valhalla Valhalla   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Valley Center Valley Center   Valley Center
West Hills West Hills tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) West Hills
Westview Westview   Westview
Bear River Bear River   Bear River
Bella Vista Bella Vista   Bella Vista
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers   Christian Brothers
Davis Davis   Davis
Del Oro Del Oro   Del Oro
Folsom Folsom   Folsom
Granite Bay Granite Bay   Granite Bay
Grant Union Grant Union   Grant Union
Jesuit Sacramento Jesuit Sacramento   Jesuit Sacramento
Lincoln Stockton Lincoln Stockton   Lincoln Stockton
Lincoln Sacramento Lincoln Sacramento   Lincoln Sacramento
Nevada Union Nevada Union   Nevada Union
Oak Ridge Oak Ridge   Oak Ridge
Oakmont Oakmont   Oakmont
Rio Americano Rio Americano   Rio Americano
Rocklin Rocklin   Rocklin
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
St Marys Stockton St Marys Stockton   St Marys Stockton
Vista del Lago Vista del Lago   Vista del Lago
West Park West Park   West Park
Whitney Whitney   Whitney
Woodcreek Woodcreek   Woodcreek

PowerWise = 11


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Otay Ranch      ( 2-11, 65.0)     8- 4      -34.89       5.25      -0.36         0.88             4.28
   0 A Preuss School   (13- 5, 73.7)     2-14      -26.17      13.97       0.36         0.88           -22.59
   0 H Lincoln San Di  ( 1-13, 61.9)     1- 0      -38.04       2.10      -0.36         0.88             1.52
   0 A San Ysidro      ( 7-10, 69.0)     4-10      -30.94       9.20       0.36         0.88           -26.77
   0 A Mira Mesa       ( 4-12, 67.0)     7- 6      -32.92       7.22       0.36         0.88             6.64
   0 H Mission Bay     ( 7-11, 70.7)     2-14      -29.16      10.99      -0.36         0.88           -25.83
   0 A Del Lago Acade  (10- 8, 73.5)     2-16      -26.35      13.79       0.36         0.88           -22.75
   0 A Canyon Hills    ( 9-10, 70.6)     6- 8      -29.33      10.81       0.36         0.88           -25.35
   0 H Hilltop         ( 7-13, 66.5)     7- 6      -33.39       6.75      -0.36         0.88             5.60
   0 H Preuss School   (13- 5, 73.7)     2-13      -26.17      13.97      -0.36         0.88           -23.22
   0 A Canyon Hills    ( 9-10, 70.6)     7-16      -29.33      10.81       0.36         0.88           -25.35
   0 H Clairemont      (12- 6, 74.3)     6- 9      -25.57      14.58      -0.36         0.88           -22.69
   0 A Lincoln San Di  ( 1-13, 61.9)    12- 6      -38.04       2.10       0.36         0.88             2.15
   0 A Castle Park     ( 1- 9, 61.0)    11- 2      -38.94       1.20       0.36         0.88             1.36
   0 H Mira Mesa       ( 4-12, 67.0)    11- 2      -32.92       7.22      -0.36         0.88             6.01
   0 A University Cit  (12- 7, 78.9)     0-23      -20.96      19.18       0.36         0.88           -18.03
   0 H Mar Vista       ( 0-14, 64.3)    14- 2      -35.57       4.57      -0.36         0.88             3.69
   0 H Mission Bay     ( 7-11, 70.7)     3-15      -29.16      10.99      -0.36         0.88           -25.83
   0 H San Diego       (10-10, 76.0)     1-18      -23.86      16.28      -0.36         0.88           -21.20
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -228.38

winning pts = 31.2516 losing points = -259.6332

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------