---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:08 PDT

safe3step boys Northmont 1
  
Northmont             
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 77.9443

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Oakwood (10- 6, 85.1) 4-13 403 H Lebanon (10- 8, 87.6) 4-16 404 A Newark ( 6-12, 76.5) 7-12 407 H Xenia (10- 7, 77.7) 7- 8 409 H Waynesville ( 4- 8, 77.8) 8- 9 414 A Fairfield ( 0-17, 75.2) 10- 3 416 A Beavercreek ( 9-10, 88.6) 1-18 425 H Hilliard Bradley ( 8-11, 85.6) 5-15 426 A Carroll ( 3-15, 76.7) 13-10 428 A Xenia (10- 7, 77.7) 12-11 430 H Springboro ( 5-12, 87.4) 3-22 501 H Edgewood ( 9- 8, 78.0) 18- 2 502 A Miamisburg ( 3-16, 76.5) 7- 5 505 A Franklin (13- 5, 81.9) 6-13 507 A Fairmont Kettering ( 8-10, 80.9) 5-11 508 H Archbishop Alter (14- 2, 87.0) 3-16 514 H Centerville (11- 7, 91.2) 0-24 519 A Centerville (11- 7, 91.2) 2-26

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Oakwood                 4-13      -9    -8           0.00
   403 H Lebanon                 4-16     -12    -9           0.00
   404 A Newark                  7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.03
   407 H Xenia                   7- 8      -1     1          -1.73
   409 H Waynesville             8- 9      -1     1          -1.64
   414 A Fairfield              10- 3       7     2    +      2.74
   416 A Beavercreek             1-18     -17   -11           0.00
   425 H Hilliard Bradley        5-15     -10    -7           0.00
   426 A Carroll                13-10       3     1    +      2.17
   428 A Xenia                  12-11       1     0           1.17
   430 H Springboro              3-22     -19    -9           0.00
   501 H Edgewood               18- 2      16     0    ++     4.56
   502 A Miamisburg              7- 5       2     1           1.01
   505 A Franklin                6-13      -7    -4          -0.64
   507 A Fairmont Kettering      5-11      -6    -3          -1.62
   508 H Archbishop Alter        3-16     -13    -9           0.00
   514 H Centerville             0-24     -24   -13           0.00
   519 A Centerville             2-26     -24   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Newark                  7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Edgewood               18- 2      16     0    ++     4.56
   414 A Fairfield              10- 3       7     2    +      2.74
   426 A Carroll                13-10       3     1    +      2.17

Northmont Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson Anderson insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Anderson
Anthony Wayne Anthony Wayne   Anthony Wayne
Archbishop Alter Archbishop Alter Archbishop Alter  
Archbishop Hoban Archbishop Hoban   Archbishop Hoban
Archbishop McNichola Archbishop McNichola tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Archbishop McNichola
Archbishop Moeller Archbishop Moeller Archbishop Moeller   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Aurora Northmont   Northmont
Avon Avon   Avon
Avon Lake Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Bay Bay   Bay
Beavercreek Beavercreek Beavercreek  
Bellbrook Bellbrook Bellbrook   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Benedictine Clevela Northmont   Northmont
Bexley Bexley Bexley   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Big Walnut Big Walnut insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Big Walnut
Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Bishop Watterson
Boardman Boardman   Boardman
Bowling Green Northmont   Northmont
Brecksville-Broadvie Brecksville-Broadvie   Brecksville-Broadvie
Brunswick Brunswick   Brunswick
Buckeye Valley Northmont insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Northmont
Canal Winchester Northmont tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northmont
Canfield Canfield   Canfield
Canton Central Catho Canton Central Catho   Canton Central Catho
Cardinal Mooney Northmont   Northmont
Carroll Northmont Northmont  
Centerville Centerville Centerville  
Chagrin Falls Chagrin Falls   Chagrin Falls
Chaminade Julienne Chaminade Julienne tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Chaminade Julienne
Chardon Chardon   Chardon
Cincinnati Hills Chr Cincinnati Hills Chr tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Cincinnati Hills Chr
Clay Northmont tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Northmont
Cleveland Heights Northmont   Northmont
Clinton-Massie Clinton-Massie insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) Clinton-Massie
Columbus Academy Columbus Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Columbus Academy
Copley Copley   Copley
Cuyahoga Valley Chri Cuyahoga Valley Chri   Cuyahoga Valley Chri
Delaware Hayes Delaware Hayes   Delaware Hayes
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dublin Coffman
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dublin Jerome
Dublin Scioto Dublin Scioto   Dublin Scioto
Edgewood Northmont Northmont  
Elder Cincinnati Elder Cincinnati insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Elder Cincinnati
Elyria Catholic Northmont   Northmont
Fairfield Northmont Northmont  
Fairmont Kettering Fairmont Kettering Fairmont Kettering  
Findlay Findlay insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Findlay
Franklin Franklin Franklin  
Gilmour Academy Gilmour Academy   Gilmour Academy
GlenOak-Canton GlenOak-Canton   GlenOak-Canton
Granville Granville   Granville
Green Green   Green
Grove City Grove City insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grove City
Hawken School Hawken School   Hawken School
Highland Highland   Highland
Hilliard Bradley Hilliard Bradley Hilliard Bradley  
Hilliard Darby Hilliard Darby Hilliard Darby   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hilliard Davidson Hilliard Davidson Hilliard Davidson   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Holy Name Holy Name   Holy Name
Hoover North Canton Hoover North Canton   Hoover North Canton
Hudson Hudson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hudson
Hudson Blue Hudson Blue   Hudson Blue
Indian Hill Indian Hill   Indian Hill
Jackson Massillon Jackson Massillon   Jackson Massillon
John Glenn John Glenn insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) John Glenn
Johnstown Johnstown insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Johnstown
Jonathan Alder Jonathan Alder Jonathan Alder   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Kenston Kenston   Kenston
Kent Roosevelt Kent Roosevelt   Kent Roosevelt
Keystone Northmont   Northmont
Kings Kings tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Kings
Kirtland Kirtland   Kirtland
La Salle La Salle tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) La Salle
Lake Uniontown Lake Uniontown   Lake Uniontown
Lakewood Lakewood   Lakewood
Lakota East Lakota East Lakota East   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lakota West Lakota West Lakota West   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Lebanon Lebanon Lebanon  
Licking Valley Northmont tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) Northmont
Lima Northmont Northmont   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Lincoln Gahanna Lincoln Gahanna insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lincoln Gahanna
Little Miami Little Miami insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Little Miami
Louisville Northmont   Northmont
Loveland Loveland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Loveland
Madeira Madeira Madeira   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Mariemont Mariemont Mariemont   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Marysville Marysville insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Marysville
Mason Mason insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Mason
Medina Medina   Medina
Mentor Mentor   Mentor
Miamisburg Northmont Northmont  
Milford Milford Milford   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Monroe Northmont Northmont   4- 2 vs 0- 5
New Albany New Albany New Albany   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Newark Newark Newark  
North Ridgeville North Ridgeville   North Ridgeville
Notre Dame-Cathedral Northmont   Northmont
Oak Hills Oak Hills insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Oak Hills
Oakwood Oakwood Oakwood  
Olentangy Berlin Olentangy Berlin   Olentangy Berlin
Olentangy HS Olentangy HS   Olentangy HS
Olentangy Liberty Olentangy Liberty insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Olentangy Liberty
Olentangy Orange Olentangy Orange Olentangy Orange   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Olmsted Falls Olmsted Falls   Olmsted Falls
Orange Orange   Orange
Ottawa Hills Ottawa Hills   Ottawa Hills
Padua Franciscan Padua Franciscan   Padua Franciscan
Perrysburg Perrysburg   Perrysburg
Pickerington Central Pickerington Central insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Pickerington Central
Pickerington North Pickerington North Pickerington North   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Poland Seminary Northmont   Northmont
Revere Revere   Revere
Riverside Painesvill Riverside Painesvill   Riverside Painesvill
Rocky River Rocky River   Rocky River
Seven Hills Northmont Northmont   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Shaker Heights Shaker Heights   Shaker Heights
Solon Solon   Solon
Southeast Ravenna Northmont   Northmont
Springboro Springboro Springboro  
St Charles Prep St Charles Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Charles Prep
St Edward St Edward   St Edward
St Francis De Sales St Francis De Sales   St Francis De Sales
St Francis DeSales - St Francis DeSales -   St Francis DeSales -
St Ignatius Cle Blu St Ignatius Cle Blu   St Ignatius Cle Blu
St Ignatius Clevelan St Ignatius Clevelan   St Ignatius Clevelan
St Johns Jesuit St Johns Jesuit   St Johns Jesuit
St Vincent-St Mary Northmont   Northmont
St Xavier Cincinnat St Xavier Cincinnat St Xavier Cincinnat   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stow-Munroe Falls Northmont   Northmont
Strongsville Strongsville   Strongsville
Summit CDS Summit CDS   Summit CDS
Sycamore Sycamore Sycamore   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Sylvania Northview Sylvania Northview   Sylvania Northview
Sylvania Southview Sylvania Southview   Sylvania Southview
Thomas Worthington Thomas Worthington Thomas Worthington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Tipp City Northmont insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Northmont
Toledo United Toledo United   Toledo United
Turpin Turpin tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Turpin
University School Cl University School Cl   University School Cl
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Upper Arlington
Wadsworth Wadsworth   Wadsworth
Walnut Hills Walnut Hills tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Walnut Hills
Walsh Jesuit Walsh Jesuit   Walsh Jesuit
Waynesville Waynesville Waynesville  
West Geauga Northmont   Northmont
Western Reserve B Western Reserve B tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Reserve B
Westerville Central Westerville Central insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Westerville Central
Westerville North Westerville North insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westerville North
Westerville South Westerville South tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Westerville South
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Willoughby South Northmont   Northmont
Wilmington Northmont Northmont   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Winton Woods Winton Woods   Winton Woods
Wooster Wooster   Wooster
Worthington Kilbourn Worthington Kilbourn insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Worthington Kilbourn
Wyoming Wyoming Wyoming   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Xenia Northmont insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Northmont

PowerWise = 29


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Oakwood         (10- 6, 85.1)     4-13      -14.78      17.41       0.45         0.87           -12.52
   0 H Lebanon         (10- 8, 87.6)     4-16      -12.34      19.85      -0.45         0.87           -11.17
   0 A Newark          ( 6-12, 76.5)     7-12      -23.43       8.76       0.45         0.87           -20.07
   0 H Xenia           (10- 7, 77.7)     7- 8      -22.23       9.95      -0.45         0.87           -19.81
   0 H Waynesville     ( 4- 8, 77.8)     8- 9      -22.15      10.04      -0.45         0.87           -19.74
   0 A Fairfield       ( 0-17, 75.2)    10- 3      -24.66       7.53       0.45         0.87             6.97
   0 A Beavercreek     ( 9-10, 88.6)     1-18      -11.33      20.85       0.45         0.87            -9.51
   0 H Hilliard Bradl  ( 8-11, 85.6)     5-15      -14.27      17.91      -0.45         0.87           -12.86
   0 A Carroll         ( 3-15, 76.7)    13-10      -23.23       8.96       0.45         0.87             8.21
   0 A Xenia           (10- 7, 77.7)    12-11      -22.23       9.95       0.45         0.87             9.08
   0 H Springboro      ( 5-12, 87.4)     3-22      -12.46      19.73      -0.45         0.87           -11.27
   0 H Edgewood        ( 9- 8, 78.0)    18- 2      -21.94      10.24      -0.45         0.87             8.56
   0 A Miamisburg      ( 3-16, 76.5)     7- 5      -23.39       8.79       0.45         0.87             8.07
   0 A Franklin        (13- 5, 81.9)     6-13      -18.04      14.15       0.45         0.87           -15.37
   0 A Fairmont Kette  ( 8-10, 80.9)     5-11      -19.03      13.16       0.45         0.87           -16.23
   0 H Archbishop Alt  (14- 2, 87.0)     3-16      -12.86      19.32      -0.45         0.87           -11.63
   0 H Centerville     (11- 7, 91.2)     0-24       -8.66      23.53      -0.45         0.87            -7.95
   0 A Centerville     (11- 7, 91.2)     2-26       -8.66      23.53       0.45         0.87            -7.17
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -134.41

winning pts = 40.8907 losing points = -175.3024

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------