---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:11 PDT

safe3step boys Provo 1
  
Provo                 
W-L: ( 1-18) PR = 78.9225

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 A Timpview (12- 7, 88.8) 2-26 308 H Clearfield ( 8-11, 85.0) 3-13 312 A Springville ( 6-11, 84.9) 2-15 314 H Hillcrest ( 2-15, 79.7) 6- 5 319 H Jordan ( 6-14, 81.1) 3- 5 321 A Cedar Valley (12- 6, 89.0) 2-17 324 H Pleasant Grove ( 4-16, 85.6) 2-16 327 H Timpanogos (11- 7, 86.1) 0-20 408 H Woods Cross (14- 6, 93.1) 4-13 410 H Payson (15- 4, 91.0) 1-19 414 A Mountain View ( 6-12, 81.7) 2- 6 417 H Salem Hills ( 4-12, 85.8) 1- 6 421 H Orem ( 5-11, 81.6) 3- 5 424 A Timpanogos (11- 7, 86.1) 2- 9 428 A Payson (15- 4, 91.0) 1-18 501 H Mountain View ( 6-12, 81.7) 4- 6 506 A Bountiful (12- 8, 91.1) 0-16 508 A Orem ( 5-11, 81.6) 9-18 513 A Juan Diego Catholic (13- 7, 92.0) 1-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Timpview                2-26     -24   -10           0.00
   308 H Clearfield              3-13     -10    -6           0.00
   312 A Springville             2-15     -13    -6           0.00
   314 H Hillcrest               6- 5       1     0           1.26
   319 H Jordan                  3- 5      -2    -2          -0.35
   321 A Cedar Valley            2-17     -15   -11           0.00
   324 H Pleasant Grove          2-16     -14    -6           0.00
   327 H Timpanogos              0-20     -20    -7           0.00
   408 H Woods Cross             4-13      -9   -14           0.00
   410 H Payson                  1-19     -18   -12           0.00
   414 A Mountain View           2- 6      -4    -3          -0.74
   417 H Salem Hills             1- 6      -5    -6           0.00
   421 H Orem                    3- 5      -2    -2           0.13
   424 A Timpanogos              2- 9      -7    -8           0.00
   428 A Payson                  1-18     -17   -13           0.00
   501 H Mountain View           4- 6      -2    -2           0.21
   506 A Bountiful               0-16     -16   -13           0.00
   508 A Orem                    9-18      -9    -3          -1.82
   513 A Juan Diego Catholic     1-15     -14   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Provo Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alta Alta Alta   2- 0 vs 0- 2
American Fork American Fork American Fork   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Bear River Bear River Bear River   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Bingham Bingham Bingham   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Bonneville Bonneville tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Bonneville
Bountiful Bountiful Bountiful  
Box Elder Box Elder Box Elder   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brighton
Canyon View Canyon View tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Canyon View
Cedar Cedar tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cedar
Cedar Valley Cedar Valley Cedar Valley  
Clearfield Clearfield Clearfield  
Copper Hills Copper Hills insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Copper Hills
Corner Canyon Corner Canyon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Corner Canyon
Crimson Cliffs Provo tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Provo
Davis Davis insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Davis
Desert Hills Provo tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Provo
Dixie Dixie insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Dixie
East East East   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Farmington Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Fremont Fremont   Fremont
Green Canyon Green Canyon tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Green Canyon
Herriman Herriman insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Herriman
Highland Highland Highland   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Hillcrest Provo Provo  
Hurricane Provo tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Provo
Jordan Jordan Jordan  
Juan Diego Catholic Juan Diego Catholic Juan Diego Catholic  
Judge Memorial Catho Judge Memorial Catho Judge Memorial Catho   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Layton Layton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Layton
Lehi Lehi Lehi   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Logan Logan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Logan
Lone Peak Lone Peak Lone Peak   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Maple Mountain Maple Mountain Maple Mountain   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Mountain Crest Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mountain View Mountain View Mountain View  
Northridge Northridge Northridge   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Olympus Olympus Olympus   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Orem Orem Orem  
Park City Park City insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Park City
Payson Payson Payson  
Pine View Provo   Provo
Pleasant Grove Pleasant Grove Pleasant Grove  
Ridgeline Ridgeline insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ridgeline
Riverton Riverton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Riverton
Roy Roy insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Roy
Salem Hills Salem Hills Salem Hills  
Sky View Sky View   Sky View
Skyline Skyline Skyline   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Skyridge Skyridge Skyridge   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Snow Canyon Snow Canyon insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Snow Canyon
Spanish Fork Spanish Fork Spanish Fork   6- 1 vs 0- 7
Springville Springville Springville  
Syracuse Syracuse tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Syracuse
Timpanogos Timpanogos Timpanogos  
Timpview Timpview Timpview  
Viewmont Viewmont insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) Viewmont
Wasatch Wasatch Wasatch   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Waterford Waterford Waterford   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Weber Weber insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Weber
West Provo insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Provo
West Field West Field insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) West Field
West Jordan West Jordan tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) West Jordan
Westlake Westlake Westlake   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Woods Cross Woods Cross Woods Cross  

PowerWise = 6


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Timpview        (12- 7, 88.8)     2-26      -11.15      18.37       0.53         0.98           -10.41
   0 H Clearfield      ( 8-11, 85.0)     3-13      -14.90      14.61      -0.53         0.98           -15.12
   0 A Springville     ( 6-11, 84.9)     2-15      -15.02      14.49       0.53         0.98           -14.21
   0 H Hillcrest       ( 2-15, 79.7)     6- 5      -20.20       9.31      -0.53         0.98             8.62
   0 H Jordan          ( 6-14, 81.1)     3- 5      -18.80      10.71      -0.53         0.98           -18.94
   0 A Cedar Valley    (12- 6, 89.0)     2-17      -10.89      18.62       0.53         0.98           -10.16
   0 H Pleasant Grove  ( 4-16, 85.6)     2-16      -14.34      15.17      -0.53         0.98           -14.58
   0 H Timpanogos      (11- 7, 86.1)     0-20      -13.83      15.68      -0.53         0.98           -14.08
   0 H Woods Cross     (14- 6, 93.1)     4-13       -6.81      22.70      -0.53         0.98            -7.19
   0 H Payson          (15- 4, 91.0)     1-19       -8.95      20.56      -0.53         0.98            -9.29
   0 A Mountain View   ( 6-12, 81.7)     2- 6      -18.24      11.27       0.53         0.98           -17.37
   0 H Salem Hills     ( 4-12, 85.8)     1- 6      -14.14      15.37      -0.53         0.98           -14.38
   0 H Orem            ( 5-11, 81.6)     3- 5      -18.33      11.18      -0.53         0.98           -18.48
   0 A Timpanogos      (11- 7, 86.1)     2- 9      -13.83      15.68       0.53         0.98           -13.05
   0 A Payson          (15- 4, 91.0)     1-18       -8.95      20.56       0.53         0.98            -8.26
   0 H Mountain View   ( 6-12, 81.7)     4- 6      -18.24      11.27      -0.53         0.98           -18.40
   0 A Bountiful       (12- 8, 91.1)     0-16       -8.83      20.68       0.53         0.98            -8.14
   0 A Orem            ( 5-11, 81.6)     9-18      -18.33      11.18       0.53         0.98           -17.45
   0 A Juan Diego Cat  (13- 7, 92.0)     1-15       -7.90      21.61       0.53         0.98            -7.23
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -228.12

winning pts = 8.6164 losing points = -236.7409

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------