North Creek
W-L: (11- 3) PR = 86.8882Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Liberty ( 6- 4, 83.8) 13-11 320 A Overlake ( 7- 4, 84.5) 16- 6 324 H Redmond ( 4- 6, 79.7) 14- 8 328 A Sammamish ( 4- 6, 82.3) 11- 8 401 A Inglemoor ( 7- 3, 85.6) 6-10 404 A Jackson ( 0- 9, 75.1) 13- 1 416 H Cedarcrest ( 2- 8, 80.4) 15- 2 418 H Interlake ( 0-10, 75.9) 1- 0 422 A Roosevelt ( 6- 6, 87.5) 9- 6 424 A Lake Washington ( 8- 5, 85.9) 8- 6 428 A Eastside Catholic ( 8- 4, 94.7) 2-18 430 H Newport ( 2-11, 79.4) 11- 5 502 H Kamiak ( 3- 3, 80.5) 15- 6 507 H Woodinville ( 4-10, 90.1) 5- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H Liberty 13-11 2 4 -1.61
320 A Overlake 16- 6 10 2 + 3.13
324 H Redmond 14- 8 6 8 0.00
328 A Sammamish 11- 8 3 4 -1.10
401 A Inglemoor 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.73
404 A Jackson 13- 1 12 11 0.00
416 H Cedarcrest 15- 2 13 7 0.00
422 A Roosevelt 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.09
424 A Lake Washington 8- 6 2 0 1.54
428 A Eastside Catholic 2-18 -16 -8 0.00
430 H Newport 11- 5 6 8 0.00
502 H Kamiak 15- 6 9 7 0.00
507 H Woodinville 5- 9 -4 -3 -1.31
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Inglemoor 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.73 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Roosevelt 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.09 320 A Overlake 16- 6 10 2 + 3.13 |
North Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anacortes | Anacortes | Anacortes | ||
| Archbishop Murphy | North Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | North Creek | |
| Arlington | North Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Creek | |
| Auburn Riverside | Auburn Riverside | Auburn Riverside | ||
| Bainbridge Island | Bainbridge Island | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Bainbridge Island | |
| Ballard | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Ballard | |
| Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep | ||
| Bellevue | Bellevue | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bellevue | |
| Bellingham | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Blanchet | Blanchet | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Blanchet | |
| Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | Bonney Lake | ||
| Bothell | Bothell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bothell | |
| Burlington-Edison | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Camas | Camas | Camas | ||
| Cedarcrest | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Chiawana | Chiawana | Chiawana | ||
| Curtis | Curtis | Curtis | ||
| East Valley | East Valley | East Valley | ||
| Eastlake | Eastlake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Eastlake | |
| Eastside Catholic | Eastside Catholic | Eastside Catholic | ||
| Emerald Ridge | North Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Creek | |
| Enumclaw | Enumclaw | Enumclaw | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Franklin | |
| Gig Harbor | Gig Harbor | Gig Harbor | ||
| Glacier Peak | Glacier Peak | Glacier Peak | ||
| Graham Kapowsin | Graham Kapowsin | Graham Kapowsin | ||
| Hanford | Hanford | Hanford | ||
| Hermiston | Hermiston | Hermiston | ||
| Inglemoor | Inglemoor | Inglemoor | ||
| Interlake | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Issaquah | Issaquah | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Issaquah | |
| Jackson | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Juanita | Juanita | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Juanita | |
| Kamiak | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Kamiakin | Kamiakin | Kamiakin | ||
| Kennedy Catholic | Kennedy Catholic | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Kennedy Catholic | |
| Klahowya | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Lake Washington | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Lakeside | Lakeside | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lakeside | |
| Liberty | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Lincoln | Lincoln | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lincoln | |
| Lynden | North Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Creek | |
| Marysville Getchell | Marysville Getchell | Marysville Getchell | ||
| Mercer Island | Mercer Island | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mercer Island | |
| Monroe | Monroe | Monroe | ||
| Mount Si | Mount Si | Mount Si 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Mount Vernon | North Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Creek | |
| Mountain View | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Nathan Hale | Nathan Hale | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Nathan Hale | |
| Newport | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| North Kitsap | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| O'Dea | O'Dea | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | O'Dea | |
| Olympia | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Orting | Orting | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Orting | |
| Overlake | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Peninsula | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Providence Classical | Providence Classical | Providence Classical | ||
| Puyallup | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Redmond | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Richland | Richland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Richland | |
| Rogers | Rogers | Rogers | ||
| Roosevelt | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Sammamish | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Seattle Academy | Seattle Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Seattle Academy | |
| Seattle Prep | Seattle Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Seattle Prep | |
| Sedro-Woolley | Sedro-Woolley | Sedro-Woolley | ||
| Sehome | Sehome | Sehome | ||
| Selah | Selah | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Selah | |
| Shorecrest | Shorecrest | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Shorecrest | |
| Skyline | Skyline | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Skyline | |
| Skyview | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Snohomish | Snohomish | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Snohomish | |
| South Kitsap | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Southridge | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Squalicum | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Stadium | North Creek | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | North Creek | |
| Stanwood | North Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Creek | |
| Sumner | Sumner | Sumner | ||
| Tahoma | Tahoma | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tahoma | |
| Union | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Vashon Island | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Walla Walla | Walla Walla | Walla Walla | ||
| Wenatchee | Wenatchee | Wenatchee | ||
| West Seattle | North Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | North Creek | |
| White River | North Creek | North Creek | ||
| Woodinville | Woodinville | Woodinville |
PowerWise = 34
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Liberty ( 6- 4, 83.8) 13-11 -16.10 9.70 -0.52 0.81 7.44
0 A Overlake ( 7- 4, 84.5) 16- 6 -15.40 10.40 0.52 0.81 8.85
0 H Redmond ( 4- 6, 79.7) 14- 8 -20.16 5.64 -0.52 0.81 4.14
0 A Sammamish ( 4- 6, 82.3) 11- 8 -17.64 8.16 0.52 0.81 7.04
0 A Inglemoor ( 7- 3, 85.6) 6-10 -14.26 11.54 0.52 0.81 -11.13
0 A Jackson ( 0- 9, 75.1) 13- 1 -24.77 1.03 0.52 0.81 1.25
0 H Cedarcrest ( 2- 8, 80.4) 15- 2 -19.47 6.33 -0.52 0.81 4.71
0 H Interlake ( 0-10, 75.9) 1- 0 -24.01 1.79 -0.52 0.81 1.03
0 A Roosevelt ( 6- 6, 87.5) 9- 6 -12.44 13.35 0.52 0.81 11.24
0 A Lake Washingto ( 8- 5, 85.9) 8- 6 -14.00 11.80 0.52 0.81 9.98
0 A Eastside Catho ( 8- 4, 94.7) 2-18 -5.24 20.56 0.52 0.81 -3.82
0 H Newport ( 2-11, 79.4) 11- 5 -20.46 5.34 -0.52 0.81 3.91
0 H Kamiak ( 3- 3, 80.5) 15- 6 -19.45 6.35 -0.52 0.81 4.73
0 H Woodinville ( 4-10, 90.1) 5- 9 -9.80 16.00 -0.52 0.81 -8.36
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41.00
|
winning pts = 64.3072 losing points = -23.3117
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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