---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Independence 1
  
Independence          
W-L: (19- 2) PR = 93.8346

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 10- 4 326 A Patriot ( 8- 8, 86.2) 14- 4 328 A Atlee (10- 9, 90.9) 16- 7 402 A Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 82.2) 19- 1 409 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 16- 6 422 H Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 86.0) 10- 2 423 H Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 17- 2 429 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 11- 6 430 H Fauquier ( 6- 9, 82.2) 18- 5 502 H Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 79.8) 19- 2 506 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 18- 4 508 A Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 15- 5 513 H Riverside (13- 3, 93.2) 4- 7 515 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 14- 8 521 H Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 3- 8 522 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 12- 4 528 A Riverside (13- 3, 93.2) 12-11 602 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 9- 8 606 H Cox (11- 6, 81.3) 15- 1 609 A Kellam (16- 3, 87.2) 15- 3 614 H Douglas Freeman (14- 6, 91.7) 13- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Battlefield            10- 4       6     2    +      2.83
   326 A Patriot                14- 4      10     7           0.00
   328 A Atlee                  16- 7       9     2    +      2.64
   402 A Heritage  Leesburg     19- 1      18    11           0.00
   409 A Woodgrove              16- 6      10     8           0.00
   422 H Lake Braddock          10- 2       8     8           0.00
   423 H Loudoun Valley         17- 2      15    14           0.00
   429 H Loudoun County         11- 6       5     4           1.04
   430 H Fauquier               18- 5      13    12           0.00
   502 H Potomac Falls          19- 2      17    15           0.00
   506 H Lightridge             18- 4      14    10           0.00
   508 A Stone Bridge           15- 5      10     3           1.51
   513 H Riverside               4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.25
   515 A Briar Woods            14- 8       6     2    +      3.00
   521 H Briar Woods             3- 8      -5     3    ---   -8.22
   522 H Stone Bridge           12- 4       8     5           0.30
   528 A Riverside              12-11       1     0           0.96
   602 A Briar Woods             9- 8       1     2          -1.00
   606 H Cox                    15- 1      14    13           0.00
   609 A Kellam                 15- 3      12     6           0.00
   614 H Douglas Freeman        13- 9       4     3           1.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 H Briar Woods             3- 8      -5     3    ---   -8.22
   513 H Riverside               4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Battlefield            10- 4       6     2    +      2.83
   328 A Atlee                  16- 7       9     2    +      2.64
   515 A Briar Woods            14- 8       6     2    +      3.00

Independence Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Independence tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Independence
Alexandria City Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Annandale Independence   Independence
Atlee Independence Independence  
Battlefield Independence Independence  
Bayside Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Benedictine Independence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Independence
Bishop Ireton Independence   Independence
Bishop OConnell Independence   Independence
Blacksburg Independence   Independence
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Independence insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Independence
Briar Woods Independence Independence  
Broad Run Independence Independence  10- 1 vs 6- 3
Brooke Point Independence   Independence
Cape Henry Collegiat Independence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Independence
Catholic HS Independence   Independence
Cave Spring Independence   Independence
Centreville Independence   Independence
Chantilly Independence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Independence
Charlottesville Independence   Independence
Christchurch Christchurch tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Christchurch
Christiansburg Independence   Independence
Clover Hill Independence   Independence
Colgan Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Collegiate School Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Independence   Independence
Cosby Independence insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 4- 0) Independence
Covenant School Independence   Independence
Cox Independence Independence  
Culpeper County Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Deep Run Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Dominion Independence Independence   8- 2 vs 2- 5
Douglas Freeman Independence Independence  
Eastern View Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
EC Glass Independence tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Independence
Edison Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Independence   Independence
Fairfax Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Falls Church Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Fauquier Independence Independence  
First Colonial Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fishburne Military A Independence   Independence
Flint Hill Independence   Independence
Fluvanna County Independence   Independence
Forest Park Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Fork Union Military Independence   Independence
Franklin County Independence   Independence
Fredericksburg Acade Independence   Independence
Fredericksburg Chris Independence   Independence
Freedom South Ridin Independence Independence   9- 2 vs 5- 3
Freedom Woodbridge Independence   Independence
Gainesville Independence insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Independence
Gar-field Independence   Independence
Glen Allen Independence tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Independence
Goochland Independence   Independence
Grafton LC Independence   Independence
Grassfield LC Independence   Independence
Green Run Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Handley Independence   Independence
Hanover Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Hayfield Independence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Independence
Heritage Leesburg Independence Independence  
Herndon Independence   Independence
Hickory LC Independence   Independence
Hidden Valley Independence   Independence
Highland School Independence   Independence
Highland Springs Independence   Independence
Hylton Independence   Independence
James Monroe Independence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Independence
James River Independence tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Independence
Jamestown LC Independence   Independence
Jefferson Forest Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
John Champe Independence Independence   6- 1 vs 1- 5
Justice Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Kellam Independence Independence  
Kempsville Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kettle Run Independence Independence   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lafayette LC Independence   Independence
Lake Braddock Independence Independence  
Landstown Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Langley Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Lewis Independence   Independence
Liberty Bealeton Independence Independence   3- 1 vs 0- 2
Lightridge Independence Independence  
Lloyd C Bird Independence   Independence
Lord Botetourt Independence   Independence
Loudoun County Independence Independence  
Loudoun Valley Independence Independence  
Madison Madison tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Madison
Manchester Independence   Independence
Marshall Independence   Independence
Massaponax Independence   Independence
Matoaca Independence   Independence
Maury LC Independence   Independence
McLean Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Mechanicsville Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Menchville LC Independence   Independence
Meridian Independence insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Independence
Midlothian Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Mills Godwin Independence tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Independence
Monacan Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Monticello Independence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Independence
Mount Vernon Independence   Independence
Mountain View Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Independence insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Independence
New Covenant School Independence   Independence
Norfolk Academy Independence   Independence
Norfolk Christian Independence   Independence
Norfolk Collegiate Independence   Independence
North Cross School Independence   Independence
North Stafford Independence   Independence
Northern VA Home Sch Independence   Independence
Oakton Independence   Independence
Ocean Lakes Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Orange County Independence   Independence
Osbourn Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Osbourn Park Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Park View Independence Independence   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Patrick Henry Ashla Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Patrick Henry Roano Independence Independence   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Patriot Independence Independence  
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Independence Independence  
Potomac School Independence   Independence
Potomac-Dumfries Independence   Independence
Powhatan Independence   Independence
Princess Anne Independence insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Independence
Riverbend Independence Independence   2- 1 vs 0- 1
Riverside Independence insuffient: ( 8- 1)( 7- 0) Independence
Robinson Independence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Independence
Rock Ridge Independence   Independence
Rockbridge County Independence   Independence
Rockingham LC Independence   Independence
Salem Independence tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Independence
Salem Virginia Beach Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Seton School Independence   Independence
South County Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
South Lakes Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Independence   Independence
St Stephen-St Agnes Independence   Independence
Stafford Independence   Independence
Steward School Independence   Independence
Stone Bridge Independence Independence  
Strasburg LC Independence   Independence
Tabb LC Independence   Independence
Tallwood Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Tandem Friends Independence   Independence
Thomas Dale Independence   Independence
Thomas Jefferson Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Trinity Christian Independence   Independence
Trinity Episcopal Independence   Independence
Trinity Meadow View Independence   Independence
Tuscarora Independence Independence   7- 1 vs 0- 6
Unity Reed Independence Independence   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Veritas School Independence   Independence
Virginia Academy Independence   Independence
Virginia Episcopal S Independence   Independence
Wakefield HS Independence   Independence
Wakefield School Independence   Independence
Washington-Liberty Independence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Independence
West Potomac Independence insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Independence
West Springfield Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Western Albemarle Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Westfield Independence Independence   4- 1 vs 1- 2
William Byrd Independence   Independence
William Fleming Independence   Independence
Woodberry Forest Independence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Independence
Woodbridge Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
Woodgrove Independence Independence  
Woodson Independence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Independence
York LC Independence   Independence
Yorktown Independence   Independence

PowerWise = 168


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Battlefield     (18- 4, 92.3)    10- 4       -7.63      27.37      -0.61         0.66            17.77
   0 A Patriot         ( 8- 8, 86.2)    14- 4      -13.66      21.34       0.61         0.66            14.57
   0 A Atlee           (10- 9, 90.9)    16- 7       -9.04      25.96       0.61         0.66            17.64
   0 A Heritage  Lees  ( 7-10, 82.2)    19- 1      -17.73      17.28       0.61         0.66            11.88
   0 A Woodgrove       ( 7- 7, 85.4)    16- 6      -14.49      20.51       0.61         0.66            14.02
   0 H Lake Braddock   ( 9- 9, 86.0)    10- 2      -13.90      21.10      -0.61         0.66            13.60
   0 H Loudoun Valley  ( 5- 9, 80.3)    17- 2      -19.64      15.36      -0.61         0.66             9.79
   0 H Loudoun County  (17- 4, 90.5)    11- 6       -9.41      25.59      -0.61         0.66            16.59
   0 H Fauquier        ( 6- 9, 82.2)    18- 5      -17.69      17.31      -0.61         0.66            11.09
   0 H Potomac Falls   ( 2-13, 79.8)    19- 2      -20.06      14.94      -0.61         0.66             9.51
   0 H Lightridge      ( 6-10, 84.9)    18- 4      -14.99      20.01      -0.61         0.66            12.88
   0 A Stone Bridge    ( 9- 8, 89.7)    15- 5      -10.16      24.84       0.61         0.66            16.90
   0 H Riverside       (13- 3, 93.2)     4- 7       -6.71      28.29      -0.61         0.66            -4.86
   0 A Briar Woods     (16- 6, 91.2)    14- 8       -8.67      26.33       0.61         0.66            17.89
   0 H Briar Woods     (16- 6, 91.2)     3- 8       -8.67      26.33      -0.61         0.66            -6.16
   0 H Stone Bridge    ( 9- 8, 89.7)    12- 4      -10.16      24.84      -0.61         0.66            16.09
   0 A Riverside       (13- 3, 93.2)    12-11       -6.71      28.29       0.61         0.66            19.19
   0 A Briar Woods     (16- 6, 91.2)     9- 8       -8.67      26.33       0.61         0.66            17.89
   0 H Cox             (11- 6, 81.3)    15- 1      -18.61      16.39      -0.61         0.66            10.48
   0 A Kellam          (16- 3, 87.2)    15- 3      -12.65      22.35       0.61         0.66            15.24
   0 H Douglas Freema  (14- 6, 91.7)    13- 9       -8.19      26.81      -0.61         0.66            17.40
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       269.40

winning pts = 280.4272 losing points = -11.0223

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------