All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.4100037 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Battlefield (18- 4, 83.9) 10- 4 326 A Patriot ( 8- 8, 75.4) 14- 4 328 A Atlee (10- 9, 82.6) 16- 7 402 A Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 70.4) 19- 1 409 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 75.3) 16- 6 422 H Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 75.3) 10- 2 423 H Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 67.9) 17- 2 429 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 81.9) 11- 6 430 H Fauquier ( 6- 9, 69.4) 18- 5 502 H Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 67.6) 19- 2 506 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 73.8) 18- 4 508 A Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 79.8) 15- 5 513 H Riverside (13- 4, 85.2) 4- 7 515 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 82.4) 14- 8 521 H Briar Woods (16- 6, 82.4) 3- 8 522 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 79.8) 12- 4 528 A Riverside (13- 4, 85.2) 12-11 602 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 82.4) 9- 8 606 H Cox (11- 8, 70.2) 15- 1 609 A Kellam (16- 3, 77.8) 15- 3 614 H Douglas Freeman (14- 6, 84.7) 13- 9
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Battlefield 10- 4 6 3 + 2.67 326 A Patriot 14- 4 10 10 0.00 328 A Atlee 16- 7 9 3 + 3.97 402 A Heritage Leesburg 19- 1 18 15 0.00 409 A Woodgrove 16- 6 10 10 0.00 422 H Lake Braddock 10- 2 8 11 0.00 423 H Loudoun Valley 17- 2 15 19 0.00 429 H Loudoun County 11- 6 5 5 -0.27 430 H Fauquier 18- 5 13 17 0.00 502 H Potomac Falls 19- 2 17 19 0.00 506 H Lightridge 18- 4 14 13 0.00 508 A Stone Bridge 15- 5 10 5 1.15 513 H Riverside 4- 7 -3 1 -- -4.95 515 A Briar Woods 14- 8 6 3 + 2.77 521 H Briar Woods 3- 8 -5 4 --- -9.79 522 H Stone Bridge 12- 4 8 7 0.00 528 A Riverside 12-11 1 0 0.61 602 A Briar Woods 9- 8 1 3 - -2.23 606 H Cox 15- 1 14 17 0.00 609 A Kellam 15- 3 12 7 0.00 614 H Douglas Freeman 13- 9 4 2 1.54UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 86.41 Power Rank................. 8 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 53.92 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 32 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7189 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 7 RPI Rating............... .6841 RPI Rank................... 4 Champ. Probability ...... 4.0 Championship Rank ......... 7 Selection sum ........... 15 Selection Rank ............ 3 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 65. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 11 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 110. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 5.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 19- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 8.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 10.0