Asheville HS
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 81.9575
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
225 H Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 6-17
227 A Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 11- 8
304 A North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 6-13
311 A TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 9-20
313 H Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 18- 5
325 H St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 11-12
327 A Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 5- 8
401 H Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 11- 7
408 H North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 11-21
428 A Asheville School ( 0-10, 79.1) 10- 9
429 A Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 17- 2
506 A St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 11-17
513 A Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 5-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H Hickory 6-17 -11 -5 -0.46
227 A Watauga 11- 8 3 3 0.18
304 A North Lincoln 6-13 -7 -6 0.00
311 A TC Roberson 9-20 -11 -7 0.00
313 H Patton Morganton 18- 5 13 6 0.00
325 H St Stephens 11-12 -1 -2 1.30
327 A Hickory 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.00
401 H Watauga 11- 7 4 3 0.64
408 H North Lincoln 11-21 -10 -5 0.00
428 A Asheville School 10- 9 1 3 -1.57
429 A Patton Morganton 17- 2 15 6 0.00
506 A St Stephens 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.16
513 A Reagan 5-11 -6 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
506 A St Stephens 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.16
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
327 A Hickory 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.00
|
Asheville HS Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Apex |
Apex |
|
 
| Apex |
Apex Friendship |
Apex Friendship |
|
 
| Apex Friendship |
Ardrey Kell |
Ardrey Kell |
|
 
| Ardrey Kell |
Arendell Parrott Aca |
Arendell Parrott Aca |
|
 
| Arendell Parrott Aca |
Asheville School |
Asheville HS |
Asheville HS |
 
| |
Ashley |
Ashley |
|
 
| Ashley |
Athens Drive |
Athens Drive |
|
 
| Athens Drive |
Atkins |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Ballantyne Ridge |
Ballantyne Ridge |
|
 
| Ballantyne Ridge |
Bishop McGuinness |
Bishop McGuinness |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Bishop McGuinness |
Bradford Prep |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Broughton |
Broughton |
|
 
| Broughton |
Butler |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Cannon School |
Cannon School |
|
 
| Cannon School |
Cape Fear Academy |
Cape Fear Academy |
|
 
| Cape Fear Academy |
Cape Fear HS |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Cardinal Gibbons |
Cardinal Gibbons |
|
 
| Cardinal Gibbons |
Carrboro |
Carrboro |
|
 
| Carrboro |
Cary Academy |
Cary Academy |
|
 
| Cary Academy |
Cary Christian |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Cary HS |
Asheville HS |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Asheville HS |
Cedar Ridge |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Chapel Hill |
Chapel Hill |
|
 
| Chapel Hill |
Charlotte Catholic |
Charlotte Catholic |
|
Charlotte Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte CDS |
|
 
| Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte Christian |
Charlotte Christian |
|
 
| Charlotte Christian |
Charlotte Latin |
Charlotte Latin |
|
 
| Charlotte Latin |
Christ School |
Christ School |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Christ School |
Christ The King |
Christ The King |
|
Christ The King   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Clayton |
Clayton |
|
 
| Clayton |
Cleveland |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Community School-Dav |
Community School-Dav |
|
Community School-Dav   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Corinth Holders |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Cornerstone Charter |
Cornerstone Charter |
|
 
| Cornerstone Charter |
Croatan |
Croatan |
|
 
| Croatan |
Cuthbertson |
Cuthbertson |
|
 
| Cuthbertson |
Davie |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Davie |
DH Conley |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Durham Academy |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
East Chapel Hill |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
East Forsyth |
East Forsyth |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
East Forsyth |
Eastern Alamance |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Eastern Guilford |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Enloe |
Enloe |
|
 
| Enloe |
Fike |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
First Flight |
First Flight |
|
 
| First Flight |
Forsyth Country Day |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Forsyth Country Day |
Fuquay-Varina |
Fuquay-Varina |
|
 
| Fuquay-Varina |
Garner |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Glenn |
Asheville HS |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Asheville HS |
Grays Creek |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Green Hope |
Green Hope |
|
 
| Green Hope |
Green Level |
Green Level |
|
 
| Green Level |
Greensboro Day |
Greensboro Day |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Greensboro Day |
Grimsley |
Grimsley |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Grimsley |
Havelock |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Heritage |
Heritage |
|
 
| Heritage |
Hickory |
Hickory |
Hickory |
 
| |
High Point Central |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Hillsborough Orange |
Hillsborough Orange |
|
 
| Hillsborough Orange |
Hoggard |
Hoggard |
|
 
| Hoggard |
Holly Springs |
Holly Springs |
|
 
| Holly Springs |
Hough |
Hough |
|
 
| Hough |
Hunt |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Independence |
Independence |
|
 
| Independence |
Jack Britt |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Jacksonville |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
JF Webb |
JF Webb |
|
 
| JF Webb |
JH Rose |
JH Rose |
|
 
| JH Rose |
John Paul II Catholi |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Jordan |
Jordan |
|
 
| Jordan |
Lake Norman Charter |
Lake Norman Charter |
|
Lake Norman Charter   2- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Lake Norman HS |
Lake Norman HS |
|
 
| Lake Norman HS |
Laney |
Laney |
|
 
| Laney |
Leesville Road |
Leesville Road |
|
 
| Leesville Road |
Lincoln Charter |
Lincoln Charter |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Lincoln Charter |
Marvin Ridge |
Marvin Ridge |
|
 
| Marvin Ridge |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
Millbrook |
Millbrook |
|
 
| Millbrook |
Mooresville |
Mooresville |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Mooresville |
Mount Tabor |
Asheville HS |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Asheville HS |
Mountain Island Char |
Asheville HS |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Asheville HS |
Myers Park |
Myers Park |
|
 
| Myers Park |
New Bern |
New Bern |
|
 
| New Bern |
New Hanover |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
North Brunswick |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
North Davidson |
Asheville HS |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Asheville HS |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
 
| |
North Raleigh Christ |
North Raleigh Christ |
|
 
| North Raleigh Christ |
Northern Durham |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Northern Guilford |
Northern Guilford |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Northern Guilford |
Northside |
Northside |
|
 
| Northside |
Northwest Guilford |
Northwest Guilford |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Northwest Guilford |
Northwood |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Page |
Page |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) |
Page |
Panther Creek |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Parkwood |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Patton Morganton |
Asheville HS |
Asheville HS |
 
| |
Pine Forest |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Pine Lake Prep |
Pine Lake Prep |
|
 
| Pine Lake Prep |
Pinecrest |
Pinecrest |
|
 
| Pinecrest |
Porter Ridge |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Providence |
Providence |
|
 
| Providence |
Providence Day |
Providence Day |
|
 
| Providence Day |
Queens Grant |
Queens Grant |
|
 
| Queens Grant |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Ragsdale |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Ravenscroft School |
Ravenscroft School |
|
 
| Ravenscroft School |
Reagan |
Reagan |
Reagan |
 
| |
Riverside Durham |
Asheville HS |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Asheville HS |
RJ Reynolds |
RJ Reynolds |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
RJ Reynolds |
Rolesville |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Roxboro Community |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Sanderson |
Sanderson |
|
 
| Sanderson |
Seaforth |
Seaforth |
|
 
| Seaforth |
South Brunswick |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
South Garner |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
South Iredell |
Asheville HS |
|
Asheville HS   2- 3 vs 0- 5 |
|
South Mecklenburg |
Asheville HS |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Asheville HS |
South View |
South View |
|
 
| South View |
Southeast Alamance |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Southeast Guilford |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Southern Alamance |
Southern Alamance |
|
 
| Southern Alamance |
Southlake Christian |
Southlake Christian |
|
Southlake Christian   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Southwest Guilford |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
St Davids School |
St Davids School |
|
 
| St Davids School |
St Stephens |
St Stephens |
St Stephens |
 
| |
Sun Valley |
Asheville HS |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Asheville HS |
Swansboro |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
TC Roberson |
TC Roberson |
TC Roberson |
 
| |
Terry Sanford |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Topsail |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
Union Pines |
Union Pines |
|
 
| Union Pines |
Vance Charter |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Voyager Academy |
Asheville HS |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Asheville HS |
Wake Forest |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Wake Prep |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Wakefield |
Wakefield |
|
 
| Wakefield |
Walter M Williams |
Walter M Williams |
|
 
| Walter M Williams |
Watauga |
Asheville HS |
Asheville HS |
 
| |
Weddington |
Weddington |
|
 
| Weddington |
West Brunswick |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
West Carteret |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
West Forsyth |
West Forsyth |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
West Forsyth |
West Stokes |
Asheville HS |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Asheville HS |
Western Alamance |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Western Guilford |
Asheville HS |
|
 
| Asheville HS |
Willow Spring |
Willow Spring |
|
 
| Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 59

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 6-17 -13.13 20.68 -0.27 1.38 -18.49
0 A Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 11- 8 -21.04 12.77 0.27 1.38 17.99
0 A North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 6-13 -12.38 21.43 0.27 1.38 -16.70
0 A TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 9-20 -11.44 22.37 0.27 1.38 -15.41
0 H Patton Morgan ( 2-13, 76.0) 18- 5 -23.90 9.91 -0.27 1.38 13.30
0 H St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 11-12 -15.37 18.44 -0.27 1.38 -21.58
0 A Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 5- 8 -13.13 20.68 0.27 1.38 -17.74
0 H Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 11- 7 -21.04 12.77 -0.27 1.38 17.25
0 H North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 11-21 -12.38 21.43 -0.27 1.38 -17.45
0 A Asheville Scho ( 0-10, 79.1) 10- 9 -20.79 13.02 0.27 1.38 18.34
0 A Patton Morgan ( 2-13, 76.0) 17- 2 -23.90 9.91 0.27 1.38 14.05
0 A St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 11-17 -15.37 18.44 0.27 1.38 -20.83
0 A Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 5-11 -13.13 20.68 0.27 1.38 -17.74
------
-65.00
|
winning pts = 80.9263 losing points = -145.9294
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------