---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Asheville HS 1
  
Asheville HS          
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 81.9575

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 6-17 227 A Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 11- 8 304 A North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 6-13 311 A TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 9-20 313 H Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 18- 5 325 H St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 11-12 327 A Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 5- 8 401 H Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 11- 7 408 H North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 11-21 428 A Asheville School ( 0-10, 79.1) 10- 9 429 A Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 17- 2 506 A St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 11-17 513 A Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 5-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Hickory                 6-17     -11    -5          -0.46
   227 A Watauga                11- 8       3     3           0.18
   304 A North Lincoln           6-13      -7    -6           0.00
   311 A TC Roberson             9-20     -11    -7           0.00
   313 H Patton  Morganton      18- 5      13     6           0.00
   325 H St Stephens            11-12      -1    -2           1.30
   327 A Hickory                 5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.00
   401 H Watauga                11- 7       4     3           0.64
   408 H North Lincoln          11-21     -10    -5           0.00
   428 A Asheville School       10- 9       1     3          -1.57
   429 A Patton  Morganton      17- 2      15     6           0.00
   506 A St Stephens            11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.16
   513 A Reagan                  5-11      -6    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A St Stephens            11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Hickory                 5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.00

Asheville HS Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville School Asheville HS Asheville HS  
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Cary HS Asheville HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Asheville HS
Cedar Ridge Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King Christ The King   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Corinth Holders Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter   Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Davie
DH Conley Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Eastern Guilford Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fike Asheville HS   Asheville HS
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Glenn Asheville HS tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Asheville HS
Grays Creek Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grimsley
Havelock Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory Hickory  
High Point Central Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange   Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Jacksonville Asheville HS   Asheville HS
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mooresville
Mount Tabor Asheville HS tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Asheville HS
Mountain Island Char Asheville HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Asheville HS
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover Asheville HS   Asheville HS
North Brunswick Asheville HS   Asheville HS
North Davidson Asheville HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Asheville HS
North Lincoln North Lincoln North Lincoln  
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ   North Raleigh Christ
Northern Durham Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Page Page insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Page
Panther Creek Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Parkwood Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Patton Morganton Asheville HS Asheville HS  
Pine Forest Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan Reagan  
Riverside Durham Asheville HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Asheville HS
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Roxboro Community Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick Asheville HS   Asheville HS
South Garner Asheville HS   Asheville HS
South Iredell Asheville HS Asheville HS   2- 3 vs 0- 5
South Mecklenburg Asheville HS tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Asheville HS
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Southeast Guilford Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Southwest Guilford Asheville HS   Asheville HS
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Stephens St Stephens St Stephens  
Sun Valley Asheville HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Asheville HS
Swansboro Asheville HS   Asheville HS
TC Roberson TC Roberson TC Roberson  
Terry Sanford Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Vance Charter Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Voyager Academy Asheville HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Asheville HS
Wake Forest Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Wake Prep Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams   Walter M Williams
Watauga Asheville HS Asheville HS  
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Asheville HS   Asheville HS
West Carteret Asheville HS   Asheville HS
West Forsyth West Forsyth tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) West Forsyth
West Stokes Asheville HS tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Asheville HS
Western Alamance Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Western Guilford Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 59


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Hickory         (13- 5, 86.8)     6-17      -13.13      20.68      -0.27         1.38           -18.49
   0 A Watauga         ( 6-15, 78.9)    11- 8      -21.04      12.77       0.27         1.38            17.99
   0 A North Lincoln   (15- 7, 87.5)     6-13      -12.38      21.43       0.27         1.38           -16.70
   0 A TC Roberson     (13- 2, 88.5)     9-20      -11.44      22.37       0.27         1.38           -15.41
   0 H Patton  Morgan  ( 2-13, 76.0)    18- 5      -23.90       9.91      -0.27         1.38            13.30
   0 H St Stephens     (12- 8, 84.5)    11-12      -15.37      18.44      -0.27         1.38           -21.58
   0 A Hickory         (13- 5, 86.8)     5- 8      -13.13      20.68       0.27         1.38           -17.74
   0 H Watauga         ( 6-15, 78.9)    11- 7      -21.04      12.77      -0.27         1.38            17.25
   0 H North Lincoln   (15- 7, 87.5)    11-21      -12.38      21.43      -0.27         1.38           -17.45
   0 A Asheville Scho  ( 0-10, 79.1)    10- 9      -20.79      13.02       0.27         1.38            18.34
   0 A Patton  Morgan  ( 2-13, 76.0)    17- 2      -23.90       9.91       0.27         1.38            14.05
   0 A St Stephens     (12- 8, 84.5)    11-17      -15.37      18.44       0.27         1.38           -20.83
   0 A Reagan          (12-12, 86.8)     5-11      -13.13      20.68       0.27         1.38           -17.74
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -65.00

winning pts = 80.9263 losing points = -145.9294

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------