Lake Stevens
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 90.0435Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 18- 7 321 H Glacier Peak (11- 2, 93.9) 11-14 324 H Snohomish ( 9- 5, 91.7) 9-10 327 A Eastlake (16- 3, 99.5) 3-14 331 A Shorecrest ( 6-12, 87.4) 9- 6 403 A Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 16- 7 412 A Mount Si (17- 2, 99.9) 3-16 418 A Glacier Peak (11- 2, 93.9) 8-16 421 A Arlington ( 3-12, 85.8) 7- 3 425 A Skyline ( 5- 7, 93.4) 4-14 429 A Snohomish ( 9- 5, 91.7) 11-10 430 H Arlington ( 3-12, 85.8) 10- 6 501 H Shorecrest ( 6-12, 87.4) 11-10 509 H Bothell (11- 5, 96.2) 3-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H Stanwood 18- 7 11 8 0.00
321 H Glacier Peak 11-14 -3 -3 0.36
324 H Snohomish 9-10 -1 -1 0.12
327 A Eastlake 3-14 -11 -10 0.00
331 A Shorecrest 9- 6 3 2 0.83
403 A Stanwood 16- 7 9 7 0.00
412 A Mount Si 3-16 -13 -10 0.00
418 A Glacier Peak 8-16 -8 -4 -0.59
421 A Arlington 7- 3 4 4 0.25
425 A Skyline 4-14 -10 -4 -1.09
429 A Snohomish 11-10 1 -2 + 3.16
430 H Arlington 10- 6 4 5 -0.79
501 H Shorecrest 11-10 1 3 - -2.21
509 H Bothell 3-12 -9 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 H Shorecrest 11-10 1 3 - -2.21 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 A Snohomish 11-10 1 -2 + 3.16 |
Lake Stevens Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anacortes | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Archbishop Murphy | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Arlington | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Auburn Riverside | Auburn Riverside | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Auburn Riverside | |
| Bainbridge Island | Bainbridge Island | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bainbridge Island | |
| Ballard | Ballard | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ballard | |
| Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bellarmine Prep | |
| Bellevue | Bellevue | Bellevue 3- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Bellingham | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Blanchet | Lake Stevens | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Stevens | |
| Bonney Lake | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Bothell | Bothell | Bothell | ||
| Burlington-Edison | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Camas | Lake Stevens | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Stevens | |
| Cedarcrest | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Chiawana | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Curtis | Curtis | Curtis 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| East Valley | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Eastlake | Eastlake | Eastlake | ||
| Eastside Catholic | Eastside Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Eastside Catholic | |
| Emerald Ridge | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Enumclaw | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Franklin | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Gig Harbor | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Glacier Peak | Glacier Peak | Glacier Peak | ||
| Graham Kapowsin | Lake Stevens | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Stevens | |
| Hanford | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Hermiston | Hermiston | Hermiston | ||
| Inglemoor | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Interlake | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Issaquah | Issaquah | tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) | Issaquah | |
| Jackson | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Juanita | Lake Stevens | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Lake Stevens | |
| Kamiak | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Kamiakin | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Kennedy Catholic | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Klahowya | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Lake Washington | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Lakeside | Lake Stevens | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Lake Stevens | |
| Liberty | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Lincoln | Lake Stevens | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Stevens | |
| Lynden | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Marysville Getchell | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Mercer Island | Mercer Island | Mercer Island 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Monroe | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Mount Si | Mount Si | Mount Si | ||
| Mount Vernon | Lake Stevens | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Stevens | |
| Mountain View | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Nathan Hale | Nathan Hale | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Nathan Hale | |
| Newport | Lake Stevens | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Stevens | |
| North Creek | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| North Kitsap | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| O'Dea | O'Dea | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | O'Dea | |
| Olympia | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Orting | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Overlake | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Peninsula | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Providence Classical | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Puyallup | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Redmond | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Richland | Richland | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Richland | |
| Rogers | Rogers | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Rogers | |
| Roosevelt | Lake Stevens | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Lake Stevens | |
| Sammamish | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Seattle Academy | Seattle Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Seattle Academy | |
| Seattle Prep | Seattle Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Seattle Prep | |
| Sedro-Woolley | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Sehome | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Selah | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Shorecrest | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Skyline | Skyline | Skyline | ||
| Skyview | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Snohomish | Snohomish | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Snohomish | |
| South Kitsap | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Southridge | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Squalicum | Lake Stevens | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Lake Stevens | |
| Stadium | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Stanwood | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Sumner | Sumner | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sumner | |
| Tahoma | Tahoma | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Tahoma | |
| Union | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Vashon Island | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Walla Walla | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Wenatchee | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| West Seattle | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| White River | Lake Stevens | Lake Stevens | ||
| Woodinville | Woodinville | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Woodinville |
PowerWise = 62
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 18- 7 -17.15 8.65 -0.52 0.81 6.58
0 H Glacier Peak (11- 2, 93.9) 11-14 -5.97 19.83 -0.52 0.81 -5.26
0 H Snohomish ( 9- 5, 91.7) 9-10 -8.22 17.58 -0.52 0.81 -7.08
0 A Eastlake (16- 3, 99.5) 3-14 -0.36 25.44 0.52 0.81 -0.13
0 A Shorecrest ( 6-12, 87.4) 9- 6 -12.55 13.25 0.52 0.81 11.16
0 A Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 16- 7 -17.15 8.65 0.52 0.81 7.43
0 A Mount Si (17- 2, 99.9) 3-16 -0.00 25.80 0.52 0.81 -0.42
0 A Glacier Peak (11- 2, 93.9) 8-16 -5.97 19.83 0.52 0.81 -4.42
0 A Arlington ( 3-12, 85.8) 7- 3 -14.12 11.68 0.52 0.81 9.88
0 A Skyline ( 5- 7, 93.4) 4-14 -6.46 19.34 0.52 0.81 -4.81
0 A Snohomish ( 9- 5, 91.7) 11-10 -8.22 17.58 0.52 0.81 14.66
0 H Arlington ( 3-12, 85.8) 10- 6 -14.12 11.68 -0.52 0.81 9.04
0 H Shorecrest ( 6-12, 87.4) 11-10 -12.55 13.25 -0.52 0.81 10.31
0 H Bothell (11- 5, 96.2) 3-12 -3.66 22.14 -0.52 0.81 -3.38
------
43.56
|
winning pts = 69.0668 losing points = -25.5037
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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