---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Arlington 1
  
Arlington             
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 85.7755

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Glacier Peak (11- 2, 93.9) 7-12 319 H Shorecrest ( 6-12, 87.4) 10-11 325 A Glacier Peak (11- 2, 93.9) 4-17 402 A Snohomish ( 9- 5, 91.7) 2-10 404 A Lincoln ( 3- 6, 87.2) 3- 4 405 H Rogers (12- 3, 94.9) 3-19 416 A Shorecrest ( 6-12, 87.4) 4- 7 418 H Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 10- 5 418 H Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 10- 5 421 H Lake Stevens ( 7- 7, 90.0) 3- 7 423 H Jackson ( 0- 9, 75.1) 13- 2 425 H Snohomish ( 9- 5, 91.7) 9-14 429 A Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 7-11 430 A Lake Stevens ( 7- 7, 90.0) 6-10 502 A Nathan Hale (10- 2, 92.1) 2-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Glacier Peak            7-12      -5    -8           0.00
   319 H Shorecrest             10-11      -1    -1           0.06
   325 A Glacier Peak            4-17     -13    -9           0.00
   402 A Snohomish               2-10      -8    -6           0.00
   404 A Lincoln                 3- 4      -1    -2           0.93
   405 H Rogers                  3-19     -16    -9           0.00
   416 A Shorecrest              4- 7      -3    -2          -0.90
   418 H Stanwood               10- 5       5     4           1.45
   418 H Stanwood               10- 5       5     4           1.45
   421 H Lake Stevens            3- 7      -4    -4          -0.25
   423 H Jackson                13- 2      11    11           0.00
   425 H Snohomish               9-14      -5    -5           0.00
   429 A Stanwood                7-11      -4     3    ---   -6.51
   430 A Lake Stevens            6-10      -4    -5           0.79
   502 A Nathan Hale             2-10      -8    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Stanwood                7-11      -4     3    ---   -6.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Arlington Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anacortes Anacortes   Anacortes
Archbishop Murphy Archbishop Murphy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Archbishop Murphy
Auburn Riverside Auburn Riverside tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Auburn Riverside
Bainbridge Island Bainbridge Island insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bainbridge Island
Ballard Ballard Ballard   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Bellarmine Prep Bellarmine Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bellarmine Prep
Bellevue Bellevue insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bellevue
Bellingham Arlington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arlington
Blanchet Blanchet insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Blanchet
Bonney Lake Bonney Lake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bonney Lake
Bothell Bothell Bothell   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Burlington-Edison Arlington   Arlington
Camas Camas insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Camas
Cedarcrest Arlington   Arlington
Chiawana Chiawana   Chiawana
Curtis Curtis insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Curtis
East Valley East Valley   East Valley
Eastlake Eastlake Eastlake   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Eastside Catholic Eastside Catholic   Eastside Catholic
Emerald Ridge Arlington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arlington
Enumclaw Enumclaw tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Enumclaw
Franklin Franklin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Franklin
Gig Harbor Gig Harbor   Gig Harbor
Glacier Peak Glacier Peak Glacier Peak  
Graham Kapowsin Graham Kapowsin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Graham Kapowsin
Hanford Hanford   Hanford
Hermiston Hermiston   Hermiston
Inglemoor Arlington   Arlington
Interlake Arlington   Arlington
Issaquah Issaquah tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Issaquah
Jackson Arlington Arlington  
Juanita Juanita   Juanita
Kamiak Arlington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arlington
Kamiakin Kamiakin   Kamiakin
Kennedy Catholic Kennedy Catholic   Kennedy Catholic
Klahowya Arlington   Arlington
Lake Stevens Lake Stevens Lake Stevens  
Lake Washington Lake Washington   Lake Washington
Lakeside Lakeside tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lakeside
Liberty Arlington   Arlington
Lincoln Lincoln Lincoln  
Lynden Lynden   Lynden
Marysville Getchell Marysville Getchell   Marysville Getchell
Mercer Island Mercer Island tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Mercer Island
Monroe Monroe   Monroe
Mount Si Mount Si Mount Si   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mount Vernon Arlington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Arlington
Mountain View Arlington   Arlington
Nathan Hale Nathan Hale Nathan Hale  
Newport Arlington   Arlington
North Creek North Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Creek
North Kitsap Arlington   Arlington
O'Dea O'Dea insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) O'Dea
Olympia Olympia   Olympia
Orting Orting   Orting
Overlake Arlington   Arlington
Peninsula Peninsula   Peninsula
Providence Classical Providence Classical   Providence Classical
Puyallup Arlington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arlington
Redmond Arlington   Arlington
Richland Richland   Richland
Rogers Rogers Rogers  
Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Sammamish Arlington   Arlington
Seattle Academy Seattle Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Seattle Academy
Seattle Prep Seattle Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seattle Prep
Sedro-Woolley Sedro-Woolley   Sedro-Woolley
Sehome Sehome   Sehome
Selah Selah   Selah
Shorecrest Shorecrest Shorecrest  
Skyline Skyline Skyline   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Skyview Arlington   Arlington
Snohomish Snohomish Snohomish  
South Kitsap Arlington   Arlington
Southridge Arlington   Arlington
Squalicum Arlington tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Arlington
Stadium Arlington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arlington
Stanwood Arlington Arlington  
Sumner Sumner tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sumner
Tahoma Tahoma tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tahoma
Union Arlington   Arlington
Vashon Island Arlington   Arlington
Walla Walla Walla Walla   Walla Walla
Wenatchee Wenatchee   Wenatchee
West Seattle Arlington tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Arlington
White River Arlington   Arlington
Woodinville Woodinville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Woodinville

PowerWise = 28


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Glacier Peak    (11- 2, 93.9)     7-12       -5.97      19.83      -0.52         0.76            -4.91
   0 H Shorecrest      ( 6-12, 87.4)    10-11      -12.55      13.25      -0.52         0.76            -9.88
   0 A Glacier Peak    (11- 2, 93.9)     4-17       -5.97      19.83       0.52         0.76            -4.12
   0 A Snohomish       ( 9- 5, 91.7)     2-10       -8.22      17.58       0.52         0.76            -5.82
   0 A Lincoln         ( 3- 6, 87.2)     3- 4      -12.71      13.09       0.52         0.76            -9.22
   0 H Rogers          (12- 3, 94.9)     3-19       -4.96      20.84      -0.52         0.76            -4.14
   0 A Shorecrest      ( 6-12, 87.4)     4- 7      -12.55      13.25       0.52         0.76            -9.09
   0 H Stanwood        ( 3-12, 82.7)    10- 5      -17.15       8.65      -0.52         0.76             6.15
   0 H Stanwood        ( 3-12, 82.7)    10- 5      -17.15       8.65      -0.52         0.76             6.15
   0 H Lake Stevens    ( 7- 7, 90.0)     3- 7       -9.86      15.94      -0.52         0.76            -7.85
   0 H Jackson         ( 0- 9, 75.1)    13- 2      -24.77       1.03      -0.52         0.76             0.38
   0 H Snohomish       ( 9- 5, 91.7)     9-14       -8.22      17.58      -0.52         0.76            -6.61
   0 A Stanwood        ( 3-12, 82.7)     7-11      -17.15       8.65       0.52         0.76           -12.57
   0 A Lake Stevens    ( 7- 7, 90.0)     6-10       -9.86      15.94       0.52         0.76            -7.06
   0 A Nathan Hale     (10- 2, 92.1)     2-10       -7.76      18.04       0.52         0.76            -5.48
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -74.07

winning pts = 12.6744 losing points = -86.7398

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------