---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Squalicum 1
  
Squalicum             
W-L: ( 7- 4) PR = 84.5940

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Burlington-Edison ( 1- 8, 76.9) 12- 5 321 H Bellingham ( 5- 7, 83.3) 6- 9 325 H Anacortes ( 9- 3, 88.2) 5-12 328 A Mount Vernon ( 1-11, 76.4) 14- 0 331 A Lynden ( 6- 4, 86.0) 1- 9 416 H Burlington-Edison ( 1- 8, 76.9) 10- 4 421 H Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 13- 4 422 H Mount Vernon ( 1-11, 76.4) 11- 3 424 H Lynden ( 6- 4, 86.0) 12- 8 428 A Bellingham ( 5- 7, 83.3) 13- 2 508 A Shorecrest ( 6-12, 87.4) 6-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Burlington-Edison      12- 5       7     7           0.00
   321 H Bellingham              6- 9      -3     2    --    -4.86
   325 H Anacortes               5-12      -7    -3          -1.92
   328 A Mount Vernon           14- 0      14     8           0.00
   331 A Lynden                  1- 9      -8    -2    -     -3.12
   416 H Burlington-Edison      10- 4       6     8           0.00
   421 H Stanwood               13- 4       9     2    +      2.63
   422 H Mount Vernon           11- 3       8     9           0.00
   424 H Lynden                 12- 8       4    -1    ++     4.84
   428 A Bellingham             13- 2      11     1    ++     4.19
   508 A Shorecrest              6-19     -13    -3          -1.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Bellingham              6- 9      -3     2    --    -4.86
   331 A Lynden                  1- 9      -8    -2    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Lynden                 12- 8       4    -1    ++     4.84
   428 A Bellingham             13- 2      11     1    ++     4.19
   421 H Stanwood               13- 4       9     2    +      2.63

Squalicum Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anacortes Anacortes Anacortes  
Archbishop Murphy Archbishop Murphy   Archbishop Murphy
Arlington Arlington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Arlington
Auburn Riverside Auburn Riverside   Auburn Riverside
Bainbridge Island Bainbridge Island tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Bainbridge Island
Ballard Ballard Ballard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bellarmine Prep Bellarmine Prep   Bellarmine Prep
Bellevue Bellevue   Bellevue
Bellingham Squalicum insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) Squalicum
Blanchet Blanchet insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Blanchet
Bonney Lake Bonney Lake   Bonney Lake
Bothell Bothell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bothell
Burlington-Edison Squalicum Squalicum  
Camas Camas   Camas
Cedarcrest Squalicum   Squalicum
Chiawana Chiawana   Chiawana
Curtis Curtis   Curtis
East Valley East Valley   East Valley
Eastlake Eastlake   Eastlake
Eastside Catholic Eastside Catholic   Eastside Catholic
Emerald Ridge Squalicum   Squalicum
Enumclaw Enumclaw   Enumclaw
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Gig Harbor Gig Harbor   Gig Harbor
Glacier Peak Glacier Peak insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Glacier Peak
Graham Kapowsin Graham Kapowsin   Graham Kapowsin
Hanford Hanford   Hanford
Hermiston Hermiston   Hermiston
Inglemoor Inglemoor   Inglemoor
Interlake Squalicum   Squalicum
Issaquah Issaquah insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Issaquah
Jackson Squalicum insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Squalicum
Juanita Juanita   Juanita
Kamiak Squalicum tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Squalicum
Kamiakin Kamiakin   Kamiakin
Kennedy Catholic Kennedy Catholic   Kennedy Catholic
Klahowya Squalicum   Squalicum
Lake Stevens Lake Stevens insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Lake Stevens
Lake Washington Lake Washington   Lake Washington
Lakeside Lakeside   Lakeside
Liberty Squalicum   Squalicum
Lincoln Lincoln   Lincoln
Lynden Lynden tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) Lynden
Marysville Getchell Marysville Getchell   Marysville Getchell
Mercer Island Mercer Island tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer Island
Monroe Monroe   Monroe
Mount Si Mount Si   Mount Si
Mount Vernon Squalicum Squalicum  
Mountain View Squalicum   Squalicum
Nathan Hale Nathan Hale insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Nathan Hale
Newport Squalicum   Squalicum
North Creek North Creek   North Creek
North Kitsap Squalicum   Squalicum
O'Dea O'Dea   O'Dea
Olympia Olympia   Olympia
Orting Orting   Orting
Overlake Squalicum   Squalicum
Peninsula Peninsula   Peninsula
Providence Classical Providence Classical   Providence Classical
Puyallup Puyallup   Puyallup
Redmond Squalicum   Squalicum
Richland Richland   Richland
Rogers Rogers tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Rogers
Roosevelt Roosevelt insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Roosevelt
Sammamish Squalicum   Squalicum
Seattle Academy Seattle Academy   Seattle Academy
Seattle Prep Seattle Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seattle Prep
Sedro-Woolley Sedro-Woolley   Sedro-Woolley
Sehome Sehome   Sehome
Selah Selah insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Selah
Shorecrest Shorecrest Shorecrest  
Skyline Skyline   Skyline
Skyview Skyview   Skyview
Snohomish Snohomish insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Snohomish
South Kitsap Squalicum   Squalicum
Southridge Squalicum   Squalicum
Stadium Squalicum   Squalicum
Stanwood Squalicum Squalicum  
Sumner Sumner   Sumner
Tahoma Tahoma   Tahoma
Union Squalicum   Squalicum
Vashon Island Squalicum   Squalicum
Walla Walla Walla Walla   Walla Walla
Wenatchee Wenatchee   Wenatchee
West Seattle Squalicum   Squalicum
White River Squalicum   Squalicum
Woodinville Woodinville tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Woodinville

PowerWise = 24


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Burlington-Edi  ( 1- 8, 76.9)    12- 5      -22.95       2.85       0.52         1.03             3.47
   0 H Bellingham      ( 5- 7, 83.3)     6- 9      -16.64       9.16      -0.52         1.03           -17.69
   0 H Anacortes       ( 9- 3, 88.2)     5-12      -11.70      14.10      -0.52         1.03           -12.60
   0 A Mount Vernon    ( 1-11, 76.4)    14- 0      -23.55       2.25       0.52         1.03             2.86
   0 A Lynden          ( 6- 4, 86.0)     1- 9      -13.95      11.85       0.52         1.03           -13.84
   0 H Burlington-Edi  ( 1- 8, 76.9)    10- 4      -22.95       2.85      -0.52         1.03             2.40
   0 H Stanwood        ( 3-12, 82.7)    13- 4      -17.15       8.65      -0.52         1.03             8.38
   0 H Mount Vernon    ( 1-11, 76.4)    11- 3      -23.55       2.25      -0.52         1.03             1.78
   0 H Lynden          ( 6- 4, 86.0)    12- 8      -13.95      11.85      -0.52         1.03            11.68
   0 A Bellingham      ( 5- 7, 83.3)    13- 2      -16.64       9.16       0.52         1.03             9.98
   0 A Shorecrest      ( 6-12, 87.4)     6-19      -12.55      13.25       0.52         1.03           -12.40
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -15.97

winning pts = 40.5595 losing points = -56.5325

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------