---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys Moorhead 1
  
Moorhead              
W-L: (15- 4) PR = 94.8095

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 412 A Irondale ( 7- 7, 93.7) 5- 6 415 H Grand Rapids/Greenwa ( 6- 7, 84.7) 12- 2 418 A Hermantown/Proctor ( 6- 6, 87.7) 7- 1 419 A Duluth East/Denfield ( 7- 7, 90.4) 10- 4 425 A Monticello ( 8- 7, 88.8) 7- 8 426 A Eagan ( 2-13, 87.7) 12- 6 429 H St Cloud Unified ( 1-13, 80.9) 16- 1 502 H Elk River/Zimmerman ( 6- 9, 88.0) 12- 2 503 H TriMAC Academy ( 2-11, 85.6) 12- 1 508 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids ( 8- 6, 87.4) 14- 7 510 H St Michael-Albertvil ( 7- 9, 90.8) 12- 4 517 H Edina (18- 1, 99.9) 7-16 520 A Brainerd ( 6- 8, 84.6) 16- 2 529 H Rocori ( 8- 7, 84.3) 15- 5 603 H Elk River/Zimmerman ( 6- 9, 88.0) 13- 3 605 H St Michael-Albertvil ( 7- 9, 90.8) 6- 3 610 N Stillwater (18- 1, 99.1) 3-14 612 N Benilde-St Margarets (13- 5, 96.4) 12- 8 614 N Minnetonka (14- 5, 97.3) 8- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Irondale                5- 6      -1     0          -1.37
   415 H Grand Rapids/Greenwa   12- 2      10    11           0.00
   418 A Hermantown/Proctor      7- 1       6     6           0.00
   419 A Duluth East/Denfield   10- 4       6     4           1.34
   425 A Monticello              7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.00
   426 A Eagan                  12- 6       6     6           0.00
   429 H St Cloud Unified       16- 1      15    15           0.00
   502 H Elk River/Zimmerman    12- 2      10     8           0.00
   503 H TriMAC Academy         12- 1      11    10           0.00
   508 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids    14- 7       7     7           0.00
   510 H St Michael-Albertvil   12- 4       8     5           0.26
   517 H Edina                   7-16      -9    -4          -0.65
   520 A Brainerd               16- 2      14    10           0.00
   529 H Rocori                 15- 5      10    11           0.00
   603 H Elk River/Zimmerman    13- 3      10     8           0.00
   605 H St Michael-Albertvil    6- 3       3     5          -1.74
   610 N Stillwater              3-14     -11    -4          -0.68
   612 N Benilde-St Margarets   12- 8       4    -2    ++     5.59
   614 N Minnetonka              8- 7       1    -3    +      3.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Monticello              7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   612 N Benilde-St Margarets   12- 8       4    -2    ++     5.59
   614 N Minnetonka              8- 7       1    -3    +      3.52

Moorhead Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Moorhead tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Moorhead
Anoka Moorhead tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Moorhead
Becker Moorhead Moorhead   6- 1 vs 1- 6
Benilde-St Margarets Moorhead Moorhead  
Big Lake/Princeton Moorhead Moorhead   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Blaine Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Moorhead
Blake School Moorhead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Moorhead
Bloomington Jefferso Moorhead Moorhead   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bloomington Kennedy/ Moorhead Moorhead   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Brainerd Moorhead Moorhead  
Breck School Moorhead insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Moorhead
Buffalo Moorhead tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Moorhead
Centennial Moorhead tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Moorhead
Champlin Park Moorhead tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Moorhead
Chanhassen Moorhead Moorhead   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Chaska Moorhead insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Moorhead
Chisago Lakes Moorhead tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Moorhead
Cloquet/Esko/Carlton Moorhead Moorhead   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Cretin-Derham Hall Moorhead insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Moorhead
Delano/Rockford Moorhead insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Moorhead
Duluth East/Denfield Moorhead Moorhead  
Duluth Marshall Moorhead Moorhead   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Eagan Moorhead Moorhead  
East Ridge East Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) East Ridge
Eastview/Apple Valle Moorhead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Moorhead
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Eden Prairie
Edina Edina Edina  
Elk River/Zimmerman Moorhead Moorhead  
Farmington Farmington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Farmington
Forest Lake Moorhead tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Moorhead
Grand Rapids/Greenwa Moorhead Moorhead  
Hastings Moorhead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Moorhead
Hermantown/Proctor Moorhead Moorhead  
Hill-Murray Moorhead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Moorhead
Holy Angels Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moorhead
Holy Family Catholic Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moorhead
Hopkins/St Louis Par Moorhead Moorhead   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Hutchinson Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moorhead
Irondale Irondale Irondale  
Lakeville North Lakeville North tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Lakeville North
Lakeville South Moorhead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Moorhead
Mahtomedi Moorhead insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Moorhead
Mankato United Moorhead   Moorhead
Maple Grove Moorhead tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Moorhead
Minneapolis United Moorhead tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Moorhead
Minnetonka Moorhead Moorhead  
Monticello Monticello Monticello  
Mound Westonka Moorhead   Moorhead
Mounds View Moorhead tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Moorhead
New Prague Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moorhead
Northfield Moorhead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Moorhead
Orono Moorhead Moorhead   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Osseo/Park Center Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moorhead
Owatonna Moorhead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Moorhead
Park Cottage Grove Moorhead tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Moorhead
Prior Lake Prior Lake insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Prior Lake
Providence Academy Moorhead Moorhead   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Robbinsdale Armstron Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moorhead
Rochester United Moorhead   Moorhead
Rocori Moorhead Moorhead  
Rogers Moorhead insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Moorhead
Rosemount Rosemount tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Rosemount
Roseville Moorhead tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Moorhead
Sartell/Sauk Rapids Moorhead Moorhead  
Shakopee Moorhead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Moorhead
Simley Moorhead   Moorhead
Southwest Christian Moorhead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Moorhead
Spring Lake Park/Coo Moorhead insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Moorhead
St Cloud Unified Moorhead Moorhead  
St Michael-Albertvil Moorhead Moorhead  
St Paul/Two Rivers Moorhead tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Moorhead
St Thomas Academy St Thomas Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Thomas Academy
Stillwater Stillwater Stillwater  
Totino Grace Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Moorhead
TriMAC Academy Moorhead Moorhead  
Waconia Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moorhead
Wayzata Moorhead Moorhead   3- 1 vs 1- 3
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) White Bear Lake
Woodbury Moorhead insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Moorhead

PowerWise = 67


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Irondale        ( 7- 7, 93.7)     5- 6       -6.20      18.87       0.74         0.77            -4.20
   0 H Grand Rapids/G  ( 6- 7, 84.7)    12- 2      -15.15       9.92      -0.74         0.77             7.06
   0 A Hermantown/Pro  ( 6- 6, 87.7)     7- 1      -12.21      12.86       0.74         0.77            10.47
   0 A Duluth East/De  ( 7- 7, 90.4)    10- 4       -9.49      15.58       0.74         0.77            12.56
   0 A Monticello      ( 8- 7, 88.8)     7- 8      -11.10      13.96       0.74         0.77            -7.98
   0 A Eagan           ( 2-13, 87.7)    12- 6      -12.16      12.91       0.74         0.77            10.50
   0 H St Cloud Unifi  ( 1-13, 80.9)    16- 1      -18.99       6.08      -0.74         0.77             4.11
   0 H Elk River/Zimm  ( 6- 9, 88.0)    12- 2      -11.87      13.20      -0.74         0.77             9.59
   0 H TriMAC Academy  ( 2-11, 85.6)    12- 1      -14.34      10.73      -0.74         0.77             7.69
   0 A Sartell/Sauk R  ( 8- 6, 87.4)    14- 7      -12.54      12.52       0.74         0.77            10.21
   0 H St Michael-Alb  ( 7- 9, 90.8)    12- 4       -9.09      15.98      -0.74         0.77            11.73
   0 H Edina           (18- 1, 99.9)     7-16       -0.00      25.07      -0.74         0.77            -0.57
   0 A Brainerd        ( 6- 8, 84.6)    16- 2      -15.33       9.73       0.74         0.77             8.06
   0 H Rocori          ( 8- 7, 84.3)    15- 5      -15.61       9.46      -0.74         0.77             6.71
   0 H Elk River/Zimm  ( 6- 9, 88.0)    13- 3      -11.87      13.20      -0.74         0.77             9.59
   0 H St Michael-Alb  ( 7- 9, 90.8)     6- 3       -9.09      15.98      -0.74         0.77            11.73
   0 N Stillwater      (18- 1, 99.1)     3-14       -0.78      24.29      -0.00         0.77            -0.60
   0 N Benilde-St Mar  (13- 5, 96.4)    12- 8       -3.50      21.57      -0.00         0.77            16.60
   0 N Minnetonka      (14- 5, 97.3)     8- 7       -2.57      22.50      -0.00         0.77            17.32
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       140.59

winning pts = 153.9391 losing points = -13.3465

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------