--- 07-19-25 08:24 PDT
safe3step boys Broken Arrow 1
Broken Arrow
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 96.1841
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
225 A Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 11- 9
227 H Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 8- 7
303 H 405 LC ( 6-10, 95.8) 8- 7
304 H Tulsa Alliance ( 5-10, 94.0) 10-14
306 A Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 9-11
325 H Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 9-12
328 A Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 11-10
401 A Tulsa Alliance ( 5-10, 94.0) 11- 5
408 A Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 8- 3
410 H Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 9- 2
412 A 405 LC ( 6-10, 95.8) 7- 6
415 H Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 9- 3
422 H Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 8-11
429 A Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 7- 8
506 H 405 LC ( 6-10, 95.8) 5- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A Bixby 11- 9 2 1 0.50
227 H Jenks 8- 7 1 -1 1.95
303 H 405 LC 8- 7 1 1 0.30
304 H Tulsa Alliance 10-14 -4 3 --- -6.55
306 A Cascia Hall 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.07
325 H Cascia Hall 9-12 -3 -3 0.37
328 A Union 11-10 1 1 -0.20
401 A Tulsa Alliance 11- 5 6 2 + 3.14
408 A Owasso 8- 3 5 4 1.14
410 H Bixby 9- 2 7 2 + 2.80
412 A 405 LC 7- 6 1 0 1.00
415 H Owasso 9- 3 6 5 0.44
422 H Union 8-11 -3 2 -- -4.90
429 A Jenks 7- 8 -1 -2 0.65
506 H 405 LC 5- 7 -2 1 - -2.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Tulsa Alliance 10-14 -4 3 --- -6.55
422 H Union 8-11 -3 2 -- -4.90
506 H 405 LC 5- 7 -2 1 - -2.70
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Cascia Hall 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.07
401 A Tulsa Alliance 11- 5 6 2 + 3.14
410 H Bixby 9- 2 7 2 + 2.80
|
Broken Arrow Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets
the Point?
| Head-2-Head
Point |
Common Opponent
Point |
Power Rating
Point |
| 405 LC |
Broken Arrow |
Broken Arrow |
| |
| Bixby |
Broken Arrow |
Broken Arrow |
| |
| Cascia Hall |
Cascia Hall |
Cascia Hall |
| |
| Jenks |
Jenks |
|
tied - ( 5- 4) ( 5- 1) |
Jenks |
| Owasso |
Broken Arrow |
Broken Arrow |
| |
| Tulsa Alliance |
Broken Arrow |
|
Broken Arrow 5- 4 vs 2- 4 |
|
| Union |
Broken Arrow |
|
Broken Arrow 5- 4 vs 0- 6 |
|
PowerWise = 5
division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 11- 9 -5.56 2.36 0.35 1.05 2.84
0 H Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 8- 7 -2.42 5.50 -0.35 1.05 5.41
0 H 405 LC ( 6-10, 95.8) 8- 7 -4.07 3.86 -0.35 1.05 3.68
0 H Tulsa Alliance ( 5-10, 94.0) 10-14 -5.92 2.00 -0.35 1.05 -6.58
0 A Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 9-11 -0.00 7.92 0.35 1.05 -0.37
0 H Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 9-12 -0.00 7.92 -0.35 1.05 -0.37
0 A Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 11-10 -5.27 2.65 0.35 1.05 3.15
0 A Tulsa Alliance ( 5-10, 94.0) 11- 5 -5.92 2.00 0.35 1.05 2.47
0 A Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 8- 3 -7.92 1.00 0.35 1.05 1.42
0 H Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 9- 2 -5.56 2.36 -0.35 1.05 2.11
0 A 405 LC ( 6-10, 95.8) 7- 6 -4.07 3.86 0.35 1.05 4.42
0 H Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 9- 3 -7.92 1.00 -0.35 1.05 0.68
0 H Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 8-11 -5.27 2.65 -0.35 1.05 -5.90
0 A Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 7- 8 -2.42 5.50 0.35 1.05 -2.17
0 H 405 LC ( 6-10, 95.8) 5- 7 -4.07 3.86 -0.35 1.05 -4.64
------
6.16
|
winning pts = 26.1813 losing points = -20.0256
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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