---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys South Garner 1
  
South Garner          
W-L: ( 5-14) PR = 79.9589

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Sanderson ( 8-13, 85.2) 4-15 228 H Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 12- 4 304 H Rolesville ( 7-14, 78.0) 11- 3 306 A Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 3- 2 312 H Wake Prep ( 5- 7, 75.9) 8- 4 314 H Garner ( 5-10, 81.0) 6- 7 318 A Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 2-16 321 H Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 3-16 324 A Corinth Holders ( 7-13, 81.8) 5- 8 327 A Enloe ( 4-15, 84.3) 2-14 409 H Cleveland ( 7-10, 79.6) 11- 5 415 A Garner ( 5-10, 81.0) 3-10 417 A Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 6-13 423 A Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 3-14 425 H Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 1-18 428 A Wake Prep ( 5- 7, 75.9) 6- 7 502 A Cleveland ( 7-10, 79.6) 6- 7 507 H Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 5-12 508 H Corinth Holders ( 7-13, 81.8) 4- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Sanderson               4-15     -11    -5          -0.06
   228 H Cary HS                12- 4       8     1    +      3.94
   304 H Rolesville             11- 3       8     2    +      2.79
   306 A Panther Creek           3- 2       1     0           0.67
   312 H Wake Prep               8- 4       4     4          -0.31
   314 H Garner                  6- 7      -1    -1          -0.22
   318 A Clayton                 2-16     -14    -7           0.00
   321 H Willow Spring           3-16     -13    -8           0.00
   324 A Corinth Holders         5- 8      -3    -2          -0.86
   327 A Enloe                   2-14     -12    -5          -0.35
   409 H Cleveland              11- 5       6     1    ++     4.35
   415 A Garner                  3-10      -7    -1    -     -3.67
   417 A Fuquay-Varina           6-13      -7    -6           0.00
   423 A Willow Spring           3-14     -11    -8           0.00
   425 H Clayton                 1-18     -17    -7           0.00
   428 A Wake Prep               6- 7      -1     4    --    -4.77
   502 A Cleveland               6- 7      -1     0          -1.11
   507 H Fuquay-Varina           5-12      -7    -5           0.00
   508 H Corinth Holders         4- 6      -2    -2          -0.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Wake Prep               6- 7      -1     4    --    -4.77
   415 A Garner                  3-10      -7    -1    -     -3.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Cleveland              11- 5       6     1    ++     4.35
   228 H Cary HS                12- 4       8     1    +      3.94
   304 H Rolesville             11- 3       8     2    +      2.79

South Garner Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School South Garner   South Garner
Ashley Ashley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive Athens Drive   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Bradford Prep   Bradford Prep
Broughton Broughton Broughton   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Butler South Garner   South Garner
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS South Garner insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) South Garner
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian South Garner   South Garner
Cary HS South Garner South Garner  
Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton Clayton  
Cleveland South Garner insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 2- 4) South Garner
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders Corinth Holders  
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter   Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley South Garner   South Garner
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance South Garner   South Garner
Eastern Guilford South Garner   South Garner
Enloe Enloe Enloe  
Fike South Garner insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Garner
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina  
Garner Garner Garner  
Glenn South Garner   South Garner
Grays Creek South Garner insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) South Garner
Green Hope Green Hope Green Hope   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Green Level Green Level tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Havelock   Havelock
Heritage Heritage Heritage   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central South Garner   South Garner
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange   Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt South Garner insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Garner
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt South Garner South Garner   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi South Garner   South Garner
Jordan Jordan Jordan   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road Leesville Road   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook Millbrook   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor   Mount Tabor
Mountain Island Char South Garner   South Garner
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick South Garner   South Garner
North Davidson South Garner   South Garner
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Raleigh Christ
Northern Durham South Garner South Garner   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek South Garner South Garner  
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton South Garner   South Garner
Pine Forest South Garner   South Garner
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge South Garner   South Garner
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale South Garner   South Garner
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Riverside Durham
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville South Garner South Garner  
Roxboro Community South Garner insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) South Garner
Sanderson Sanderson Sanderson  
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Garner   South Garner
South Iredell South Garner   South Garner
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance South Garner   South Garner
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford   Southeast Guilford
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford South Garner   South Garner
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Swansboro South Garner tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Garner
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines Union Pines   3- 2 vs 1- 5
Vance Charter South Garner insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) South Garner
Voyager Academy South Garner insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) South Garner
Wake Forest Wake Forest tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Wake Forest
Wake Prep South Garner South Garner   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams   Walter M Williams
Watauga South Garner insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Garner
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick South Garner   South Garner
West Carteret South Garner   South Garner
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes South Garner   South Garner
Western Alamance South Garner   South Garner
Western Guilford South Garner   South Garner
Willow Spring Willow Spring Willow Spring  

PowerWise = 41


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Sanderson       ( 8-13, 85.2)     4-15      -14.73      19.08      -0.27         0.94           -14.16
   0 H Cary HS         ( 7-17, 79.2)    12- 4      -20.72      13.08      -0.27         0.94            12.09
   0 H Rolesville      ( 7-14, 78.0)    11- 3      -21.88      11.93      -0.27         0.94            11.00
   0 A Panther Creek   ( 2-18, 79.4)     3- 2      -20.55      13.26       0.27         0.94            12.77
   0 H Wake Prep       ( 5- 7, 75.9)     8- 4      -23.98       9.83      -0.27         0.94             9.02
   0 H Garner          ( 5-10, 81.0)     6- 7      -18.89      14.92      -0.27         0.94           -18.08
   0 A Clayton         (13- 6, 86.9)     2-16      -12.98      20.83       0.27         0.94           -11.99
   0 H Willow Spring   (13- 7, 88.0)     3-16      -11.91      21.90      -0.27         0.94           -11.50
   0 A Corinth Holder  ( 7-13, 81.8)     5- 8      -18.08      15.73       0.27         0.94           -16.80
   0 A Enloe           ( 4-15, 84.3)     2-14      -15.57      18.24       0.27         0.94           -14.44
   0 H Cleveland       ( 7-10, 79.6)    11- 5      -20.32      13.48      -0.27         0.94            12.47
   0 A Garner          ( 5-10, 81.0)     3-10      -18.89      14.92       0.27         0.94           -17.57
   0 A Fuquay-Varina   (14- 8, 85.4)     6-13      -14.54      19.27       0.27         0.94           -13.47
   0 A Willow Spring   (13- 7, 88.0)     3-14      -11.91      21.90       0.27         0.94           -10.98
   0 H Clayton         (13- 6, 86.9)     1-18      -12.98      20.83      -0.27         0.94           -12.50
   0 A Wake Prep       ( 5- 7, 75.9)     6- 7      -23.98       9.83       0.27         0.94           -22.38
   0 A Cleveland       ( 7-10, 79.6)     6- 7      -20.32      13.48       0.27         0.94           -18.93
   0 H Fuquay-Varina   (14- 8, 85.4)     5-12      -14.54      19.27      -0.27         0.94           -13.98
   0 H Corinth Holder  ( 7-13, 81.8)     4- 6      -18.08      15.73      -0.27         0.94           -17.32
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -156.72

winning pts = 57.3622 losing points = -214.0867

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------