List of boy Div 158 Swansboro List of Team Values for NC Public


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A John Paul II Catholic   9- 5       4     3          n/a  
   302 A Jacksonville            8-11      -3    -2          -0.60
   304 A Cape Fear Academy       7-14      -7    -8          n/a  
   305 A New Hanover            14-11       3    -3    +++    6.00
   309 A North Brunswick        11- 6       5     0    ++     5.17
   313 A West Brunswick         11- 5       6     1    ++     4.81
   320 H West Carteret          14-10       4     1    +      2.90
   323 A DH Conley              17- 4      13    13           0.00
   326 A First Flight            8-13      -5   -17    +      2.00
   408 A Northside              13-15      -2    -7    ++     5.00
   414 H JH Rose                14-19      -5   -10    +      2.00
   417 H Havelock               18- 6      12    -2    +++    9.17
   418 H Terry Sanford          11- 7       4    -1    ++     5.80
   420 A Croatan                 6-19     -13   -20           0.00
   422 A New Bern               15-10       5   -10    +++   12.00
   424 A Cape Fear HS           16- 0      16     0    +++    7.44
   427 H Northside              19-13       6    -7    +++   13.00
   430 H Grays Creek            17- 7      10     2    ++     4.61
   504 H New Hanover             9-10      -1    -2           1.30
   505 H Jacksonville            5-11      -6    -1    --    -4.30
   512 H West Carteret          18- 9       9     1    ++     5.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Jacksonville            5-11      -6    -1    --    -4.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A New Hanover            14-11       3    -3    +++    6.00
   417 H Havelock               18- 6      12    -2    +++    9.17
   422 A New Bern               15-10       5   -10    +++   12.00
   424 A Cape Fear HS           16- 0      16     0    +++    7.44
   427 H Northside              19-13       6    -7    +++   13.00
   309 A North Brunswick        11- 6       5     0    ++     5.17
   313 A West Brunswick         11- 5       6     1    ++     4.81
   408 A Northside              13-15      -2    -7    ++     5.00
   418 H Terry Sanford          11- 7       4    -1    ++     5.80
   430 H Grays Creek            17- 7      10     2    ++     4.61
   512 H West Carteret          18- 9       9     1    ++     5.90
   320 H West Carteret          14-10       4     1    +      2.90
   326 A First Flight            8-13      -5   -17    +      2.00
   414 H JH Rose                14-19      -5   -10    +      2.00



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 62.86 Power Rank.................    90
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 36.54 SOS (PR) Rank..............    92
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4199 SOS (RPI) Rank.............   110
 RPI Rating............... .4783 RPI Rank...................    66
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........   111
 Selection sum ...........   241 Selection Rank ............    79
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -105. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    66
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -100. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    65
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  12.4 Ave Defensive Goals .......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7