List of boy Div 44 Swansboro List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A John Paul II Catholic  10- 7       3     3          -0.93
   228 A Fuquay-Varina           6-14      -8    -8           0.00
   303 A JH Rose                 3-13     -10   -11           0.00
   307 A Cape Fear HS           10- 8       2     0    +      2.47
   308 H New Bern                3-17     -14    -9           0.00
   311 A West Brunswick          5- 4       1     1          -0.16
   312 A Cape Fear Academy       2- 8      -6    -8           1.00
   314 A North Brunswick         5- 6      -1     0          -0.80
   319 H Havelock                7- 8      -1    -2           1.14
   322 H Terry Sanford           9-10      -1    -1           0.77
   324 H Northside               1- 9      -8    -7           0.00
   327 H First Flight            1-17     -16   -16           0.00
   403 A Grays Creek             8- 7       1     1          -0.66
   404 A Croatan                 0-21     -21   -20           0.00
   409 A Fike                   11- 1      10     8           0.00
   411 H West Carteret          12- 4       8     1    ++     5.87
   422 H Jacksonville            7- 8      -1    -1           0.67
   429 H Croatan                 2-16     -14   -20           0.00
   502 A West Carteret           2-12     -10     0    ---   -7.37
   514 A Havelock                8-11      -3    -2          -0.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A West Carteret           2-12     -10     0    ---   -7.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H West Carteret          12- 4       8     1    ++     5.87
   307 A Cape Fear HS           10- 8       2     0    +      2.47



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 62.86 Power Rank.................   111
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 38.39 SOS (PR) Rank..............   105
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5928 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    68
 RPI Rating............... .4238 RPI Rank...................   102
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........   131
 Selection sum ...........   284 Selection Rank ............    95
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -300. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........   126
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -265. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........   114
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   5.6 Ave Defensive Goals .......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.0