Swansboro
W-L: ( 6-14) PR = 78.6626Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A John Paul II Catholi ( 5- 7, 76.6) 10- 7 228 A Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 6-14 303 A JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 3-13 307 A Cape Fear HS ( 6- 8, 78.7) 10- 8 308 H New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 3-17 311 A West Brunswick ( 2-14, 77.1) 5- 4 312 A Cape Fear Academy ( 9- 6, 85.2) 2- 8 314 A North Brunswick ( 8-14, 78.1) 5- 6 319 H Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 7- 8 322 H Terry Sanford (11- 8, 80.2) 9-10 324 H Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 1- 9 327 H First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 1-17 403 A Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 8- 7 404 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 0-21 409 A Fike ( 1-16, 72.9) 11- 1 411 H West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 12- 4 422 H Jacksonville ( 6-12, 80.4) 7- 8 429 H Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 2-16 502 A West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 2-12 514 A Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 8-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 A John Paul II Catholi 10- 7 3 2 1.23
228 A Fuquay-Varina 6-14 -8 -7 0.00
303 A JH Rose 3-13 -10 -8 0.00
307 A Cape Fear HS 10- 8 2 0 + 2.35
308 H New Bern 3-17 -14 -6 0.00
311 A West Brunswick 5- 4 1 1 -0.25
312 A Cape Fear Academy 2- 8 -6 -7 0.00
314 A North Brunswick 5- 6 -1 0 -1.28
319 H Havelock 7- 8 -1 -2 0.78
322 H Terry Sanford 9-10 -1 -1 0.24
324 H Northside 1- 9 -8 -4 -0.58
327 H First Flight 1-17 -16 -11 0.00
403 A Grays Creek 8- 7 1 1 -0.09
404 A Croatan 0-21 -21 -16 0.00
409 A Fike 11- 1 10 5 0.00
411 H West Carteret 12- 4 8 1 + 3.62
422 H Jacksonville 7- 8 -1 -1 0.48
429 H Croatan 2-16 -14 -15 0.00
502 A West Carteret 2-12 -10 1 -- -5.84
514 A Havelock 8-11 -3 -2 -0.68
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A West Carteret 2-12 -10 1 -- -5.84 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Cape Fear HS 10- 8 2 0 + 2.35 411 H West Carteret 12- 4 8 1 + 3.62 |
Swansboro Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Arendell Parrott Aca | Arendell Parrott Aca | ||
| Asheville HS | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Asheville School | Asheville School | Asheville School | ||
| Ashley | Ashley | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Ashley | |
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | Atkins | Atkins | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Ballantyne Ridge | Ballantyne Ridge | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | ||
| Bradford Prep | Bradford Prep | Bradford Prep | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) | Broughton | |
| Butler | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | Carrboro | Carrboro | ||
| Cary Academy | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Cary Christian | Cary Christian | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Cary Christian | |
| Cary HS | Cary HS | Cary HS | ||
| Cedar Ridge | Cedar Ridge | Cedar Ridge | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King | ||
| Clayton | Clayton | Clayton 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Cleveland | Cleveland | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Cleveland | |
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | ||
| Corinth Holders | Corinth Holders | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Corinth Holders | |
| Cornerstone Charter | Cornerstone Charter | Cornerstone Charter | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davie | Davie | Davie | ||
| DH Conley | Swansboro | Swansboro 2- 4 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Swansboro | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Swansboro | |
| Eastern Guilford | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Enloe | Enloe | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Enloe | |
| Fike | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Garner | Garner | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Garner | |
| Glenn | Glenn | Glenn | ||
| Grays Creek | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | Green Level | ||
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Greensboro Day | |
| Grimsley | Grimsley | Grimsley | ||
| Havelock | Havelock | Havelock | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Heritage | |
| Hickory | Hickory | Hickory | ||
| High Point Central | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hough | Hough | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hough | |
| Hunt | Swansboro | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Swansboro | |
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| Jack Britt | Swansboro | Swansboro 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | Jacksonville | ||
| JF Webb | JF Webb | JF Webb | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | JH Rose | ||
| John Paul II Catholi | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Jordan | Jordan | Jordan 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Lake Norman Charter | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Laney | Laney 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Leesville Road | |
| Lincoln Charter | Lincoln Charter | Lincoln Charter | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Millbrook | |
| Mooresville | Mooresville | Mooresville | ||
| Mount Tabor | Mount Tabor | Mount Tabor | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| New Hanover | New Hanover | New Hanover 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| North Brunswick | North Brunswick | North Brunswick | ||
| North Davidson | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| North Lincoln | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | North Raleigh Christ | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Raleigh Christ | |
| Northern Durham | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | ||
| Northside | Northside | Northside | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | Northwood | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwood | |
| Page | Page | Page | ||
| Panther Creek | Panther Creek | Panther Creek | ||
| Parkwood | Parkwood | Parkwood | ||
| Patton Morganton | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Pine Forest | Swansboro | Swansboro 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | Pinecrest 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Porter Ridge | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Providence | Providence | Providence | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Queens Grant | Queens Grant | Queens Grant | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ravenscroft School | |
| Reagan | Reagan | Reagan | ||
| Riverside Durham | Riverside Durham | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Riverside Durham | |
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | Swansboro | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Swansboro | |
| Roxboro Community | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Sanderson | Sanderson | Sanderson | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Seaforth | |
| South Brunswick | South Brunswick | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | South Brunswick | |
| South Garner | South Garner | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Garner | |
| South Iredell | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| South Mecklenburg | South Mecklenburg | South Mecklenburg | ||
| South View | South View | South View | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Southeast Guilford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southeast Guilford | |
| Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| St Davids School | St Davids School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Davids School | |
| St Stephens | St Stephens | St Stephens | ||
| Sun Valley | Sun Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sun Valley | |
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | TC Roberson | ||
| Terry Sanford | Terry Sanford | Terry Sanford | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Union Pines | Union Pines | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Union Pines | |
| Vance Charter | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Voyager Academy | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Wake Forest | |
| Wake Prep | Swansboro | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Swansboro | |
| Wakefield | Wakefield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wakefield | |
| Walter M Williams | Walter M Williams | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Walter M Williams | |
| Watauga | Watauga | Watauga | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| West Carteret | Swansboro | tied - ( 1- 6) ( 1- 6) | Swansboro | |
| West Forsyth | West Forsyth | West Forsyth | ||
| West Stokes | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Western Alamance | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Western Guilford | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 31
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A John Paul II C ( 5- 7, 76.6) 10- 7 -23.28 10.53 0.27 0.90 9.68
0 A Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 6-14 -14.54 19.27 0.27 0.90 -12.79
0 A JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 3-13 -14.00 19.81 0.27 0.90 -12.31
0 A Cape Fear HS ( 6- 8, 78.7) 10- 8 -21.16 12.65 0.27 0.90 11.58
0 H New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 3-17 -14.60 19.21 -0.27 0.90 -13.33
0 A West Brunswick ( 2-14, 77.1) 5- 4 -22.76 11.05 0.27 0.90 10.15
0 A Cape Fear Acad ( 9- 6, 85.2) 2- 8 -14.74 19.07 0.27 0.90 -12.97
0 A North Brunswic ( 8-14, 78.1) 5- 6 -21.79 12.02 0.27 0.90 -19.29
0 H Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 7- 8 -19.19 14.62 -0.27 0.90 -17.45
0 H Terry Sanford (11- 8, 80.2) 9-10 -19.72 14.08 -0.27 0.90 -17.93
0 H Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 1- 9 -16.55 17.26 -0.27 0.90 -15.08
0 H First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 1-17 -9.50 24.31 -0.27 0.90 -8.76
0 A Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 8- 7 -22.60 11.21 0.27 0.90 10.30
0 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 0-21 -5.52 28.29 0.27 0.90 -4.71
0 A Fike ( 1-16, 72.9) 11- 1 -26.98 6.83 0.27 0.90 6.37
0 H West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 12- 4 -22.35 11.46 -0.27 0.90 10.03
0 H Jacksonville ( 6-12, 80.4) 7- 8 -19.49 14.32 -0.27 0.90 -17.72
0 H Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 2-16 -5.52 28.29 -0.27 0.90 -5.19
0 A West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 2-12 -22.35 11.46 0.27 0.90 -19.79
0 A Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 8-11 -19.19 14.62 0.27 0.90 -16.96
------
-136.17
|
winning pts = 58.1136 losing points = -194.2851
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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