---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Erie 1
  
Erie                  
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 87.2754

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Boulder ( 7- 6, 86.0) 11- 9 310 A Kent Denver ( 2-11, 87.9) 8- 4 312 H Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 8- 7 404 A Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 11- 8 409 H Mountain Range ( 3-12, 85.5) 4- 8 411 A Lakewood ( 8- 7, 89.6) 6- 7 414 A Chatfield (11- 6, 91.3) 5-10 416 H Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 2- 7 421 H Monarch ( 3-11, 86.6) 11- 8 423 H Fairview (11- 5, 91.7) 7-12 426 H Resurrection Christi (11- 4, 87.2) 11-12 430 A Poudre District (10- 6, 91.7) 3- 7 502 H Cheyenne Mountain ( 8- 7, 87.7) 6-12 507 A Cherokee Trail ( 8- 7, 92.1) 9-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Boulder                11- 9       2     1           1.12
   310 A Kent Denver             8- 4       4    -1    ++     5.03
   312 H Lewis Palmer            8- 7       1     0           1.34
   404 A Columbine              11- 8       3     0    +      2.81
   409 H Mountain Range          4- 8      -4     2    ---   -6.11
   411 A Lakewood                6- 7      -1    -3           1.68
   414 A Chatfield               5-10      -5    -4          -0.65
   416 H Ralston Valley          2- 7      -5    -4          -0.65
   421 H Monarch                11- 8       3     1           1.97
   423 H Fairview                7-12      -5    -4          -0.92
   426 H Resurrection Christi   11-12      -1     0          -1.47
   430 A Poudre District         3- 7      -4    -5           0.80
   502 H Cheyenne Mountain       6-12      -6     0    --    -4.93
   507 A Cherokee Trail          9-15      -6    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Mountain Range          4- 8      -4     2    ---   -6.11
   502 H Cheyenne Mountain       6-12      -6     0    --    -4.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Kent Denver             8- 4       4    -1    ++     5.03
   404 A Columbine              11- 8       3     0    +      2.81

Erie Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Air Academy
Arapahoe Arapahoe Arapahoe   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Arvada West Erie Erie   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Aspen Aspen   Aspen
Battle Mountain Erie   Erie
Boulder Erie Erie  
Castle View Castle View tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Castle View
Chaparral Erie insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Erie
Chatfield Chatfield Chatfield  
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail  
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek Cherry Creek   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain  
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Columbine Erie Erie  
Conifer Erie   Erie
Crested Butte Erie   Erie
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Denver East Denver East Denver East   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Denver North Erie   Erie
Denver South Denver South tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Denver South
Douglas County Erie Erie   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Durango Erie   Erie
Eagle Valley Erie   Erie
Eaglecrest Erie Erie   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Evergreen Evergreen Evergreen   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Fairview Fairview Fairview  
Fountain Valley Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Erie
Fruita Monument Erie   Erie
Glenwood Springs Erie   Erie
Golden Erie insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Erie
Grand Junction Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Erie
Grandview Grandview insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Grandview
Green Mountain Erie insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Erie
Heritage Erie Erie   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Holy Family Erie tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Erie
Jefferson Academy Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Erie
Kent Denver Erie Erie  
Lakewood Lakewood Lakewood  
Legend Legend Legend   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Lewis Palmer Erie Erie  
Littleton Erie   Erie
Lutheran Erie tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Erie
Middle Park Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Erie
Monarch Erie Erie  
Montrose Erie   Erie
Mountain Range Mountain Range Mountain Range  
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Mountain Vista
Mullen Erie   Erie
Northfield Northfield insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) Northfield
Palmer Erie   Erie
Pine Creek Erie Erie   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Ponderosa Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Erie
Poudre District Poudre District Poudre District  
Prairie View Erie insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Erie
Pueblo West Erie   Erie
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley Ralston Valley  
Rangeview Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Erie
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Regis Jesuit
Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi  
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Rock Canyon
Smoky Hill Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Erie
St Marys HS Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Erie
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs   Steamboat Springs
Summit Erie   Erie
Telluride Erie   Erie
Thomas Jefferson Erie   Erie
Thompson Valley Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Erie
ThunderRidge Erie insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Erie
Vail Mountain Erie   Erie
Valor Christian Valor Christian   Valor Christian
Vanguard School Erie   Erie
Windsor Erie tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Erie

PowerWise = 45


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Boulder         ( 7- 6, 86.0)    11- 9      -13.87      19.63       0.37         1.07            21.49
   0 A Kent Denver     ( 2-11, 87.9)     8- 4      -11.96      21.54       0.37         1.07            23.54
   0 H Lewis Palmer    ( 9- 5, 88.0)     8- 7      -11.92      21.59      -0.37         1.07            22.80
   0 A Columbine       ( 6-10, 86.7)    11- 8      -13.19      20.32       0.37         1.07            22.22
   0 H Mountain Range  ( 3-12, 85.5)     4- 8      -14.37      19.13      -0.37         1.07           -15.83
   0 A Lakewood        ( 8- 7, 89.6)     6- 7      -10.31      23.19       0.37         1.07           -10.68
   0 A Chatfield       (11- 6, 91.3)     5-10       -8.64      24.86       0.37         1.07            -8.89
   0 H Ralston Valley  (13- 3, 92.0)     2- 7       -7.91      25.59      -0.37         1.07            -8.89
   0 H Monarch         ( 3-11, 86.6)    11- 8      -13.29      20.21      -0.37         1.07            21.32
   0 H Fairview        (11- 5, 91.7)     7-12       -8.18      25.33      -0.37         1.07            -9.18
   0 H Resurrection C  (11- 4, 87.2)    11-12      -12.73      20.77      -0.37         1.07           -14.07
   0 A Poudre Distric  (10- 6, 91.7)     3- 7       -8.19      25.31       0.37         1.07            -8.40
   0 H Cheyenne Mount  ( 8- 7, 87.7)     6-12      -12.19      21.32      -0.37         1.07           -13.49
   0 A Cherokee Trail  ( 8- 7, 92.1)     9-15       -7.76      25.74       0.37         1.07            -7.94
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        14.00

winning pts = 111.3719 losing points = -97.3766

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------