---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Saugus 1
  
Saugus                
W-L: (12- 8) PR = 85.6277

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 A St Francis-La Canada (16- 4, 92.9) 5-18 219 H Hart ( 8- 9, 79.6) 13- 3 224 H Harvard-Westlake ( 3-13, 82.8) 8- 6 226 A Castaic ( 4-12, 78.5) 17- 6 303 A Dos Pueblos (20- 1, 90.4) 2-15 305 H West Ranch ( 9- 8, 82.9) 7- 9 308 A Palos Verdes (10- 8, 88.0) 3-16 312 A Valencia Santa Clari (15- 4, 83.5) 8- 7 315 H Los Alamitos (13- 4, 90.8) 7-17 321 H Grace Brethren (14- 6, 82.5) 14- 5 322 H Palisades Charter ( 9- 7, 81.3) 20-10 324 A Santa Monica (12- 7, 87.2) 9-11 326 A Hart ( 8- 9, 79.6) 10- 5 329 A St John Bosco (13- 6, 88.2) 7-13 401 H Castaic ( 4-12, 78.5) 19- 3 403 A Notre Dame Sherman ( 6-11, 81.7) 12- 7 416 A West Ranch ( 9- 8, 82.9) 12- 7 418 H Canyon ( 8- 9, 86.3) 12- 4 423 H Valencia Santa Clari (15- 4, 83.5) 13- 2 429 A Crespi ( 9- 9, 87.0) 9-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A St Francis-La Canada    5-18     -13    -8           0.00
   219 H Hart                   13- 3      10     6           0.00
   224 H Harvard-Westlake        8- 6       2     3          -1.16
   226 A Castaic                17- 6      11     7           0.00
   303 A Dos Pueblos             2-15     -13    -5           0.00
   305 H West Ranch              7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.10
   308 A Palos Verdes            3-16     -13    -3    -     -2.27
   312 A Valencia Santa Clari    8- 7       1     2          -0.78
   315 H Los Alamitos            7-17     -10    -5          -0.23
   321 H Grace Brethren         14- 5       9     4           1.47
   322 H Palisades Charter      20-10      10     5           0.36
   324 A Santa Monica            9-11      -2    -2          -0.10
   326 A Hart                   10- 5       5     6           0.00
   329 A St John Bosco           7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.02
   401 H Castaic                19- 3      16     7           0.00
   403 A Notre Dame  Sherman    12- 7       5     4           1.43
   416 A West Ranch             12- 7       5     2    +      2.62
   418 H Canyon                 12- 4       8     0    ++     5.29
   423 H Valencia Santa Clari   13- 2      11     2    +      2.50
   429 A Crespi                  9-12      -3    -2          -1.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H West Ranch              7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.10
   308 A Palos Verdes            3-16     -13    -3    -     -2.27
   329 A St John Bosco           7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Canyon                 12- 4       8     0    ++     5.29
   416 A West Ranch             12- 7       5     2    +      2.62
   423 H Valencia Santa Clari   13- 2      11     2    +      2.50

Saugus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Acalanes Saugus   Saugus
Alhambra Saugus   Saugus
Amador Valley Saugus   Saugus
Archie Williams Saugus   Saugus
Bay School Saugus   Saugus
Bentley School Saugus   Saugus
Berean Christian Saugus   Saugus
Berkeley Berkeley   Berkeley
Bishop ODowd Saugus   Saugus
Branson Saugus   Saugus
California Saugus   Saugus
Campolindo Saugus   Saugus
Cardinal Newman Saugus   Saugus
Casa Grande Saugus   Saugus
Clayton Valley Chart Saugus   Saugus
College Park Saugus   Saugus
De LaSalle De LaSalle   De LaSalle
Dougherty Valley Saugus   Saugus
Drew Saugus   Saugus
Dublin Saugus   Saugus
Foothill Pleasanton Saugus   Saugus
George Washington SF Saugus   Saugus
Granada Saugus   Saugus
Head-Royce Saugus   Saugus
Justin Siena Justin Siena   Justin Siena
Las Lomas Saugus   Saugus
Lick Wilmerding Saugus   Saugus
Livermore Saugus   Saugus
Lowell Saugus   Saugus
Marin Academy Marin Academy   Marin Academy
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic   Marin Catholic
Miramonte Saugus   Saugus
Monte Vista Danville Monte Vista Danville   Monte Vista Danville
Moreau Catholic Saugus   Saugus
Napa Saugus   Saugus
Newark Memorial Saugus   Saugus
Northgate Saugus   Saugus
Novato Saugus   Saugus
Petaluma Saugus   Saugus
Piedmont Saugus   Saugus
Rancho Cotate Saugus   Saugus
Redwood Redwood   Redwood
San Marin Saugus   Saugus
San Rafael Saugus   Saugus
San Ramon Valley Saugus   Saugus
Sonoma Academy Saugus   Saugus
Sonoma Valley Saugus   Saugus
St Vincent de Paul Saugus   Saugus
Stuart Hall Saugus   Saugus
Tamalpais Tamalpais   Tamalpais
Terra Linda Saugus   Saugus
University SF Saugus   Saugus
Urban School Saugus   Saugus
Vintage Saugus   Saugus
Washington Fremont Saugus   Saugus
Windsor Saugus   Saugus
Birmingham Charter Saugus Saugus   4- 0 vs 0- 4
El Camino Real Chart Saugus Saugus   4- 1 vs 0- 5
North Valley Militar Saugus   Saugus
Palisades Charter Saugus Saugus  
University Los Angel Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Saugus
Aptos Saugus   Saugus
Aragon Saugus   Saugus
Archbishop Mitty Saugus   Saugus
Archbishop Riordan Saugus   Saugus
Bellarmine Prep Bellarmine Prep   Bellarmine Prep
Burlingame Saugus   Saugus
Carlmont Saugus   Saugus
Carmel Saugus   Saugus
Christopher Saugus   Saugus
Gunn Saugus   Saugus
Harbor Saugus   Saugus
Hillsdale Saugus   Saugus
Hollister-San Benito Saugus   Saugus
Latino College Prep Saugus   Saugus
Leland Saugus   Saugus
Live Oak Saugus   Saugus
Los Altos Saugus   Saugus
Los Gatos Saugus   Saugus
Menlo School Menlo School   Menlo School
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton   Menlo-Atherton
Monte Vista Christia Saugus   Saugus
Monterey Saugus   Saugus
Mountain View Saugus   Saugus
Pacific Grove Saugus   Saugus
Palma Saugus   Saugus
Palo Alto Saugus   Saugus
Pioneer Saugus   Saugus
Priory Saugus   Saugus
Sacred Heart Cathedr Saugus   Saugus
Sacred Heart Prep Sacred Heart Prep   Sacred Heart Prep
Salinas Saugus   Saugus
Santa Cruz Saugus   Saugus
Saratoga Saugus   Saugus
Scotts Valley Saugus   Saugus
Sequoia Saugus   Saugus
Serra San Mateo Serra San Mateo   Serra San Mateo
Sobrato Saugus   Saugus
Soquel Saugus   Saugus
St Francis-Mtn View St Francis-Mtn View   St Francis-Mtn View
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep   St Ignatius Prep
Stevenson School Stevenson School   Stevenson School
Valley Christian Saugus   Saugus
Woodside Saugus   Saugus
Agoura Saugus insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) Saugus
Aliso Niguel Aliso Niguel insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Aliso Niguel
Beckman Saugus Saugus   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Beverly Hills Saugus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Saugus
Brentwood School Saugus Saugus   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Calabasas Saugus Saugus   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Canyon Saugus Saugus  
Capistrano Valley Saugus   Saugus
Castaic Saugus Saugus  
Cate School Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Saugus
Centennial Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Saugus
Chaminade Prep Saugus Saugus   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Chaparral Saugus   Saugus
Compton Saugus   Saugus
Corona Saugus tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) Saugus
Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Crean Lutheran Crean Lutheran tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Crean Lutheran
Crescenta Valley Saugus insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Saugus
Crespi Crespi Crespi  
Culver City Saugus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Saugus
Damien Saugus   Saugus
Dana Hills Saugus   Saugus
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos  
Downey Saugus   Saugus
Edison Edison tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Edison
El Dorado Saugus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Saugus
El Modena Saugus Saugus   2- 0 vs 0- 2
El Segundo El Segundo tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) El Segundo
Eleanor Roosevelt Saugus   Saugus
Esperanza Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Saugus
Foothill Santa Ana Foothill Santa Ana insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Foothill Santa Ana
Glendale Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Saugus
Grace Brethren Saugus Saugus  
Great Oak Saugus   Saugus
Hart Saugus Saugus  
Harvard-Westlake Saugus Saugus  
Hemet Saugus   Saugus
Heritage Christian Saugus   Saugus
Heritage HS Saugus   Saugus
Huntington Beach Huntington Beach insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Huntington Beach
Irvine Saugus   Saugus
JSerra Catholic JSerra Catholic JSerra Catholic   3- 0 vs 0- 3
King Saugus Saugus   2- 1 vs 0- 1
La Canada Saugus   Saugus
Laguna Hills Saugus   Saugus
Lakewood Saugus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Saugus
Liberty Saugus   Saugus
Linfield Christian Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Saugus
Long Beach Poly Saugus   Saugus
Los Alamitos Los Alamitos Los Alamitos  
Loyola Los Angeles Loyola Los Angeles Loyola Los Angeles   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Lynwood Saugus   Saugus
Mater Dei Santa Ana Mater Dei Santa Ana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mater Dei Santa Ana
Millikan Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Saugus
Mira Costa Mira Costa Mira Costa   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Mission Viejo Saugus   Saugus
Murrieta Mesa Saugus   Saugus
Murrieta Valley Saugus   Saugus
Newbury Park Saugus insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Saugus
Newport Harbor Saugus tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Saugus
Norco Saugus   Saugus
Northwood Saugus   Saugus
Notre Dame Sherman Saugus Saugus  
Oak Park Oak Park insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) Oak Park
Oaks Christian Oaks Christian tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Oaks Christian
Orange Lutheran Orange Lutheran tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orange Lutheran
Paloma Valley Saugus   Saugus
Palos Verdes Palos Verdes Palos Verdes  
Peninsula Saugus tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Saugus
Portola Saugus   Saugus
Redondo Union Saugus insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) Saugus
Riverside Poly Saugus   Saugus
San Clemente San Clemente insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) San Clemente
San Juan Hills Saugus   Saugus
San Marcos SB Saugus Saugus   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Santa Barbara Saugus Saugus   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Santa Margarita Cath Santa Margarita Cath Santa Margarita Cath   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Santa Monica Santa Monica Santa Monica  
Santiago Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Saugus
Segerstrom Saugus   Saugus
Servite Servite Servite   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Sierra Canyon Sierra Canyon tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) Sierra Canyon
Simi Royal Saugus Saugus   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Simi Valley Saugus insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) Saugus
St Francis-La Canada St Francis-La Canada St Francis-La Canada  
St John Bosco St John Bosco St John Bosco  
St Margarets Episcop St Margarets Episcop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Margarets Episcop
Temecula Valley Saugus   Saugus
Tesoro Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Saugus
Thacher School Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Saugus
Trabuco Hills Trabuco Hills tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Trabuco Hills
University Irvine Saugus   Saugus
Valencia Santa Clari Saugus Saugus  
Viewpoint School Saugus   Saugus
Village Christian Village Christian tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Village Christian
Vista Murrieta Vista Murrieta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Vista Murrieta
West Ranch Saugus Saugus   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Westlake Westlake Westlake   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Woodbridge Saugus   Saugus
Woodrow Wilson Saugus   Saugus
Yorba Linda Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Saugus
Army-Navy Academy Saugus   Saugus
Bishops School Bishops School   Bishops School
Bonita Vista Saugus   Saugus
Canyon Crest Saugus   Saugus
Canyon Hills Saugus   Saugus
Carlsbad Carlsbad   Carlsbad
Castle Park Saugus   Saugus
Cathedral Catholic Cathedral Catholic   Cathedral Catholic
Clairemont Saugus   Saugus
Classical Academy Saugus   Saugus
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Del Lago Academy Saugus   Saugus
Del Norte Del Norte   Del Norte
Eastlake Saugus   Saugus
El Capitan Saugus   Saugus
Fallbrook Saugus   Saugus
Foothills Christian Saugus   Saugus
Francis Parker Saugus   Saugus
Granite Hills Granite Hills   Granite Hills
Grossmont Saugus   Saugus
Helix Charter Saugus   Saugus
Hilltop Saugus   Saugus
La Costa Canyon La Costa Canyon   La Costa Canyon
La Jolla CDS Saugus   Saugus
La Jolla HS Saugus   Saugus
Lincoln San Diego Saugus   Saugus
Mar Vista Saugus   Saugus
Mater Dei Chula Vist Saugus   Saugus
Mira Mesa Saugus   Saugus
Mission Bay Saugus   Saugus
Mission Hills Saugus   Saugus
Monte Vista Spring V Saugus   Saugus
Morse Saugus   Saugus
Mt Carmel Saugus   Saugus
Olympian Saugus   Saugus
Otay Ranch Saugus   Saugus
Pacific Ridge Saugus   Saugus
Patrick Henry Saugus   Saugus
Point Loma Saugus   Saugus
Poway Saugus   Saugus
Preuss School Saugus   Saugus
Rancho Bernardo Saugus   Saugus
Rancho Buena Vista Saugus   Saugus
Sage Creek Saugus   Saugus
San Diego Saugus   Saugus
San Dieguito Saugus   Saugus
San Marcos SD San Marcos SD   San Marcos SD
San Ysidro Saugus   Saugus
Santa Fe Christian Santa Fe Christian   Santa Fe Christian
Santana Saugus   Saugus
Scripps Ranch Saugus   Saugus
St Augustine St Augustine tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Augustine
Torrey Pines Torrey Pines   Torrey Pines
University City Saugus   Saugus
Valhalla Saugus   Saugus
Valley Center Saugus   Saugus
West Hills Saugus   Saugus
Westview Saugus   Saugus
Bear River Saugus   Saugus
Bella Vista Saugus   Saugus
Christian Brothers Saugus   Saugus
Davis Saugus   Saugus
Del Oro Saugus   Saugus
Folsom Saugus   Saugus
Granite Bay Granite Bay   Granite Bay
Grant Union Saugus   Saugus
Jesuit Sacramento Jesuit Sacramento   Jesuit Sacramento
Lincoln Stockton Saugus   Saugus
Lincoln Sacramento Saugus   Saugus
Nevada Union Saugus   Saugus
Oak Ridge Oak Ridge   Oak Ridge
Oakmont Saugus   Saugus
Rio Americano Saugus   Saugus
Rocklin Saugus   Saugus
Roseville Saugus   Saugus
St Marys Stockton Saugus   Saugus
Vista del Lago Vista del Lago   Vista del Lago
West Park Saugus   Saugus
Whitney Whitney   Whitney
Woodcreek Saugus   Saugus

PowerWise = 223


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A St Francis-La   (16- 4, 92.9)     5-18       -6.99      33.15       0.36         0.83            -5.51
   0 H Hart            ( 8- 9, 79.6)    13- 3      -20.29      19.85      -0.36         0.83            16.20
   0 H Harvard-Westla  ( 3-13, 82.8)     8- 6      -17.07      23.07      -0.36         0.83            18.88
   0 A Castaic         ( 4-12, 78.5)    17- 6      -21.41      18.73       0.36         0.83            15.87
   0 A Dos Pueblos     (20- 1, 90.4)     2-15       -9.45      30.69       0.36         0.83            -7.56
   0 H West Ranch      ( 9- 8, 82.9)     7- 9      -17.02      23.12      -0.36         0.83           -14.45
   0 A Palos Verdes    (10- 8, 88.0)     3-16      -11.90      28.24       0.36         0.83            -9.60
   0 A Valencia Santa  (15- 4, 83.5)     8- 7      -16.41      23.73       0.36         0.83            20.03
   0 H Los Alamitos    (13- 4, 90.8)     7-17       -9.14      31.00      -0.36         0.83            -7.90
   0 H Grace Brethren  (14- 6, 82.5)    14- 5      -17.44      22.70      -0.36         0.83            18.58
   0 H Palisades Char  ( 9- 7, 81.3)    20-10      -18.55      21.59      -0.36         0.83            17.65
   0 A Santa Monica    (12- 7, 87.2)     9-11      -12.73      27.41       0.36         0.83           -10.28
   0 A Hart            ( 8- 9, 79.6)    10- 5      -20.29      19.85       0.36         0.83            16.80
   0 A St John Bosco   (13- 6, 88.2)     7-13      -11.65      28.49       0.36         0.83            -9.39
   0 H Castaic         ( 4-12, 78.5)    19- 3      -21.41      18.73      -0.36         0.83            15.28
   0 A Notre Dame  Sh  ( 6-11, 81.7)    12- 7      -18.20      21.94       0.36         0.83            18.54
   0 A West Ranch      ( 9- 8, 82.9)    12- 7      -17.02      23.12       0.36         0.83            19.53
   0 H Canyon          ( 8- 9, 86.3)    12- 4      -13.62      26.52      -0.36         0.83            21.75
   0 H Valencia Santa  (15- 4, 83.5)    13- 2      -16.41      23.73      -0.36         0.83            19.43
   0 A Crespi          ( 9- 9, 87.0)     9-12      -12.89      27.25       0.36         0.83           -10.42
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       143.44

winning pts = 218.5461 losing points = -75.1095

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------