---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Cape Fear HS 1
  
Cape Fear HS          
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 78.7395

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 3-16 303 H Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 2-15 307 H Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 8-10 310 A Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 13-12 312 A Cleveland ( 7-10, 79.6) 5- 6 324 A Union Pines (16- 9, 83.6) 7-15 326 H Pine Forest ( 0-12, 69.9) 15- 1 407 A Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 1-11 408 H Jack Britt ( 5-16, 75.1) 9- 3 410 H Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 9-11 423 A Pine Forest ( 0-12, 69.9) 17- 1 424 A Jack Britt ( 5-16, 75.1) 14- 8 428 A Terry Sanford (11- 8, 80.2) 15-14 501 H Union Pines (16- 9, 83.6) 9-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A JH Rose                 3-16     -13    -7           0.00
   303 H Pinecrest               2-15     -13    -7           0.00
   307 H Swansboro               8-10      -2     0    -     -2.35
   310 A Grays Creek            13-12       1     1          -0.17
   312 A Cleveland               5- 6      -1    -1           0.11
   324 A Union Pines             7-15      -8    -5           0.00
   326 H Pine Forest            15- 1      14     9           0.00
   407 A Pinecrest               1-11     -10    -8           0.00
   408 H Jack Britt              9- 3       6     4           1.13
   410 H Grays Creek             9-11      -2     2    -     -3.71
   423 A Pine Forest            17- 1      16     9           0.00
   424 A Jack Britt             14- 8       6     3           1.67
   428 A Terry Sanford          15-14       1    -2    +      2.71
   501 H Union Pines             9-13      -4    -5           0.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Swansboro               8-10      -2     0    -     -2.35
   410 H Grays Creek             9-11      -2     2    -     -3.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Terry Sanford          15-14       1    -2    +      2.71

Cape Fear HS Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Bradford Prep   Bradford Prep
Broughton Broughton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Broughton
Butler Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cape Fear Academy
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian Cary Christian   Cary Christian
Cary HS Cary HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cary HS
Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Cedar Ridge
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton Clayton   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland  
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter   Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan Croatan   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Cape Fear HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cape Fear HS
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Eastern Guilford Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Enloe Enloe tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Enloe
Fike Cape Fear HS tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Cape Fear HS
First Flight First Flight First Flight   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Garner Garner tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Garner
Glenn Glenn   Glenn
Grays Creek Cape Fear HS tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) Cape Fear HS
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Havelock insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Havelock
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS  
Jacksonville Jacksonville tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Jacksonville
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose JH Rose  
John Paul II Catholi Cape Fear HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cape Fear HS
Jordan Jordan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road Leesville Road   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor   Mount Tabor
Mountain Island Char Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick Cape Fear HS tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Cape Fear HS
North Davidson Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Raleigh Christ
Northern Durham Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Pine Forest Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS  
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest Pinecrest  
Porter Ridge Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Riverside Durham
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Cape Fear HS tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Cape Fear HS
Roxboro Community Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Sanderson Sanderson insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Garner South Garner insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Garner
South Iredell Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southeast Guilford
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Sun Valley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Sun Valley
Swansboro Swansboro Swansboro  
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS  
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines Union Pines  
Vance Charter Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Voyager Academy Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wake Prep Cape Fear HS insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Cape Fear HS
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Walter M Williams
Watauga Watauga   Watauga
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Cape Fear HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cape Fear HS
West Carteret Cape Fear HS tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Cape Fear HS
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Western Alamance Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Western Guilford Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Willow Spring Willow Spring insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Willow Spring

PowerWise = 32


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A JH Rose         (17- 5, 85.9)     3-16      -14.00      19.81       0.27         1.28           -17.58
   0 H Pinecrest       (13- 8, 86.5)     2-15      -13.41      20.40      -0.27         1.28           -17.53
   0 H Swansboro       ( 6-14, 78.7)     8-10      -21.24      12.57      -0.27         1.28           -27.55
   0 A Grays Creek     ( 5-13, 77.3)    13-12      -22.60      11.21       0.27         1.28            14.71
   0 A Cleveland       ( 7-10, 79.6)     5- 6      -20.32      13.48       0.27         1.28           -25.69
   0 A Union Pines     (16- 9, 83.6)     7-15      -16.30      17.51       0.27         1.28           -20.53
   0 H Pine Forest     ( 0-12, 69.9)    15- 1      -29.98       3.83      -0.27         1.28             4.56
   0 A Pinecrest       (13- 8, 86.5)     1-11      -13.41      20.40       0.27         1.28           -16.83
   0 H Jack Britt      ( 5-16, 75.1)     9- 3      -24.76       9.05      -0.27         1.28            11.24
   0 H Grays Creek     ( 5-13, 77.3)     9-11      -22.60      11.21      -0.27         1.28           -29.29
   0 A Pine Forest     ( 0-12, 69.9)    17- 1      -29.98       3.83       0.27         1.28             5.26
   0 A Jack Britt      ( 5-16, 75.1)    14- 8      -24.76       9.05       0.27         1.28            11.94
   0 A Terry Sanford   (11- 8, 80.2)    15-14      -19.72      14.08       0.27         1.28            18.39
   0 H Union Pines     (16- 9, 83.6)     9-13      -16.30      17.51      -0.27         1.28           -21.23
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -110.13

winning pts = 66.0988 losing points = -176.2295

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------