Orange County
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 79.7557
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
318 A Culpeper County ( 4-11, 75.7) 13- 2
321 H Riverbend ( 8- 9, 80.5) 8- 9
324 A Charlottesville ( 3-11, 78.8) 8- 9
328 A Liberty Bealeton ( 6- 6, 81.3) 9-10
415 A James Monroe (11- 3, 81.0) 9-15
418 A Fluvanna County ( 5- 9, 79.3) 10-11
422 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 11-14
425 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 6-17
429 H Charlottesville ( 3-11, 78.8) 9- 7
502 H Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 5-11
506 A Western Albemarle (14- 5, 86.7) 4-17
509 H Powhatan ( 2-14, 77.0) 20- 8
516 A Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 12-14
520 H Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 7-12
527 H Fluvanna County ( 5- 9, 79.3) 11-10
528 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 4-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 A Culpeper County 13- 2 11 3 1.58
321 H Riverbend 8- 9 -1 0 -0.86
324 A Charlottesville 8- 9 -1 0 -1.34
328 A Liberty Bealeton 9-10 -1 -2 1.17
415 A James Monroe 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.17
418 A Fluvanna County 10-11 -1 0 -0.85
422 H Goochland 11-14 -3 -2 -0.72
425 A Monticello 6-17 -11 -8 0.00
429 H Charlottesville 9- 7 2 2 0.44
502 H Albemarle 5-11 -6 -4 -0.76
506 A Western Albemarle 4-17 -13 -8 0.00
509 H Powhatan 20- 8 12 3 1.63
516 A Goochland 12-14 -2 -3 1.50
520 H Monticello 7-12 -5 -6 0.00
527 H Fluvanna County 11-10 1 1 -0.07
528 A Monticello 4-13 -9 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
415 A James Monroe 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.17
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Orange County Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Albemarle |
Albemarle |
Albemarle |
 
| |
Alexandria City |
Alexandria City |
|
 
| Alexandria City |
Annandale |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Atlee |
Atlee |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Atlee |
Battlefield |
Battlefield |
|
 
| Battlefield |
Bayside |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Benedictine |
Benedictine |
|
 
| Benedictine |
Bishop Ireton |
Bishop Ireton |
|
 
| Bishop Ireton |
Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
|
 
| Bishop OConnell |
Blacksburg |
Blacksburg |
|
 
| Blacksburg |
Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
 
| Blue Ridge School |
Brentsville |
Brentsville |
|
Brentsville   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
|
Briar Woods   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Broad Run |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
Brooke Point |
Brooke Point |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Brooke Point |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
|
 
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
 
| Catholic HS |
Cave Spring |
Cave Spring |
|
 
| Cave Spring |
Centreville |
Centreville |
|
 
| Centreville |
Chantilly |
Chantilly |
|
 
| Chantilly |
Charlottesville |
Orange County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 5) |
Orange County |
Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
 
| Christchurch |
Christiansburg |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Clover Hill |
Orange County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Orange County |
Colgan |
Colgan |
|
 
| Colgan |
Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
 
| Collegiate School |
Colonial Forge |
Colonial Forge |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Colonial Forge |
Cosby |
Cosby |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Cosby |
Covenant School |
Covenant School |
|
 
| Covenant School |
Cox |
Cox |
|
 
| Cox |
Culpeper County |
Orange County |
Orange County |
 
| |
Deep Run |
Deep Run |
|
 
| Deep Run |
Dominion |
Dominion |
|
 
| Dominion |
Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Douglas Freeman |
Eastern View |
Orange County |
|
Orange County   2- 4 vs 0- 5 |
|
EC Glass |
EC Glass |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
EC Glass |
Edison |
Edison |
|
 
| Edison |
Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
 
| Episcopal |
Eukarya Christian |
Eukarya Christian |
|
 
| Eukarya Christian |
Fairfax |
Fairfax |
|
 
| Fairfax |
Falls Church |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
Fauquier |
Fauquier |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) |
Fauquier |
First Colonial |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Fishburne Military A |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Flint Hill |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Fluvanna County |
Orange County |
|
tied - ( 1- 6) ( 1- 5) |
Orange County |
Forest Park |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Fork Union Military |
Fork Union Military |
|
 
| Fork Union Military |
Franklin County |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Fredericksburg Acade |
Orange County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Orange County |
Fredericksburg Chris |
Fredericksburg Chris |
|
 
| Fredericksburg Chris |
Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
|
 
| Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom Woodbridge |
Freedom Woodbridge |
|
 
| Freedom Woodbridge |
Gainesville |
Gainesville |
|
 
| Gainesville |
Gar-field |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Glen Allen |
Glen Allen |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Glen Allen |
Goochland |
Goochland |
Goochland |
 
| |
Grafton LC |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Grassfield LC |
Grassfield LC |
|
 
| Grassfield LC |
Green Run |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Handley |
Handley |
|
 
| Handley |
Hanover |
Hanover |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Hanover |
Hayfield |
Hayfield |
|
 
| Hayfield |
Heritage Leesburg |
Heritage Leesburg |
|
 
| Heritage Leesburg |
Herndon |
Herndon |
|
 
| Herndon |
Hickory LC |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Hidden Valley |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Highland School |
Highland School |
|
 
| Highland School |
Highland Springs |
Orange County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) |
Orange County |
Hylton |
Hylton |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Hylton |
Independence |
Independence |
|
 
| Independence |
James Monroe |
James Monroe |
James Monroe |
 
| |
James River |
James River |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
James River |
Jamestown LC |
Jamestown LC |
|
 
| Jamestown LC |
Jefferson Forest |
Jefferson Forest |
|
Jefferson Forest   3- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
John Champe |
John Champe |
|
 
| John Champe |
Justice |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Kellam |
Kellam |
|
 
| Kellam |
Kempsville |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Kettle Run |
Orange County |
|
tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) |
Orange County |
Lafayette LC |
Lafayette LC |
|
 
| Lafayette LC |
Lake Braddock |
Lake Braddock |
|
 
| Lake Braddock |
Landstown |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Langley |
Langley |
|
 
| Langley |
Lewis |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Liberty Bealeton |
Liberty Bealeton |
Liberty Bealeton |
 
| |
Lightridge |
Lightridge |
|
 
| Lightridge |
Lloyd C Bird |
Lloyd C Bird |
|
 
| Lloyd C Bird |
Lord Botetourt |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun Valley |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
Madison |
Madison |
|
 
| Madison |
Manchester |
Manchester |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Manchester |
Marshall |
Marshall |
|
 
| Marshall |
Massaponax |
Orange County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Orange County |
Matoaca |
Orange County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Orange County |
Maury LC |
Maury LC |
|
 
| Maury LC |
McLean |
McLean |
|
 
| McLean |
Mechanicsville |
Orange County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Orange County |
Menchville LC |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Meridian |
Meridian |
|
Meridian   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Midlothian |
Midlothian |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Midlothian |
Mills Godwin |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Monacan |
Monacan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Monacan |
Monticello |
Monticello |
Monticello |
 
| |
Mount Vernon |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Mountain View |
Mountain View |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Mountain View |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
|
 
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
New Covenant School |
New Covenant School |
|
 
| New Covenant School |
Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
 
| Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Christian |
Norfolk Christian |
|
 
| Norfolk Christian |
Norfolk Collegiate |
Norfolk Collegiate |
|
 
| Norfolk Collegiate |
North Cross School |
North Cross School |
|
 
| North Cross School |
North Stafford |
Orange County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Orange County |
Northern VA Home Sch |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Oakton |
Oakton |
|
 
| Oakton |
Ocean Lakes |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Osbourn |
Orange County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Orange County |
Osbourn Park |
Orange County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Orange County |
Park View |
Orange County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Orange County |
Patrick Henry Ashla |
Orange County |
|
tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) |
Orange County |
Patrick Henry Roano |
Patrick Henry Roano |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Patrick Henry Roano |
Patriot |
Patriot |
|
 
| Patriot |
Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
 
| Paul VI |
Potomac Falls |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
Potomac School |
Potomac School |
|
 
| Potomac School |
Potomac-Dumfries |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Powhatan |
Orange County |
Orange County |
 
| |
Princess Anne |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Riverbend |
Riverbend |
Riverbend |
 
| |
Riverside |
Riverside |
|
 
| Riverside |
Robinson |
Robinson |
|
 
| Robinson |
Rock Ridge |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Rockbridge County |
Rockbridge County |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Rockbridge County |
Rockingham LC |
Rockingham LC |
|
 
| Rockingham LC |
Salem |
Salem |
|
Salem   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Salem Virginia Beach |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Seton School |
Seton School |
|
 
| Seton School |
South County |
South County |
|
 
| South County |
South Lakes |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
 
| St Annes-Belfield |
St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
 
| St Christophers |
St John Paul the Gre |
St John Paul the Gre |
|
 
| St John Paul the Gre |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
|
 
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
Stafford |
Stafford |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Stafford |
Steward School |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
|
 
| Stone Bridge |
Strasburg LC |
Strasburg LC |
|
 
| Strasburg LC |
Tabb LC |
Tabb LC |
|
 
| Tabb LC |
Tallwood |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Tandem Friends |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Thomas Dale |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Thomas Jefferson |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Trinity Christian |
Trinity Christian |
|
 
| Trinity Christian |
Trinity Episcopal |
Trinity Episcopal |
|
 
| Trinity Episcopal |
Trinity Meadow View |
Trinity Meadow View |
|
 
| Trinity Meadow View |
Tuscarora |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Unity Reed |
Orange County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Orange County |
Veritas School |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Virginia Academy |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Virginia Episcopal S |
Virginia Episcopal S |
|
 
| Virginia Episcopal S |
Wakefield HS |
Wakefield HS |
|
 
| Wakefield HS |
Wakefield School |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Washington-Liberty |
Washington-Liberty |
|
 
| Washington-Liberty |
West Potomac |
West Potomac |
|
 
| West Potomac |
West Springfield |
West Springfield |
|
 
| West Springfield |
Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
 
| |
Westfield |
Westfield |
|
 
| Westfield |
William Byrd |
William Byrd |
|
 
| William Byrd |
William Fleming |
William Fleming |
|
 
| William Fleming |
Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
 
| Woodberry Forest |
Woodbridge |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Woodgrove |
Woodgrove |
|
 
| Woodgrove |
Woodson |
Woodson |
|
 
| Woodson |
York LC |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Yorktown |
Yorktown |
|
 
| Yorktown |
PowerWise = 55

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Culpeper Count ( 4-11, 75.7) 13- 2 -24.17 10.83 0.61 0.87 9.97
0 H Riverbend ( 8- 9, 80.5) 8- 9 -19.39 15.61 -0.61 0.87 -17.43
0 A Charlottesvill ( 3-11, 78.8) 8- 9 -21.10 13.90 0.61 0.87 -17.85
0 A Liberty Beale ( 6- 6, 81.3) 9-10 -18.58 16.42 0.61 0.87 -15.66
0 A James Monroe (11- 3, 81.0) 9-15 -18.92 16.08 0.61 0.87 -15.96
0 A Fluvanna Count ( 5- 9, 79.3) 10-11 -20.61 14.40 0.61 0.87 -17.43
0 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 11-14 -17.26 17.75 -0.61 0.87 -15.57
0 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 6-17 -13.06 21.95 0.61 0.87 -10.85
0 H Charlottesvill ( 3-11, 78.8) 9- 7 -21.10 13.90 -0.61 0.87 11.59
0 H Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 5-11 -15.30 19.70 -0.61 0.87 -13.86
0 A Western Albema (14- 5, 86.7) 4-17 -13.16 21.84 0.61 0.87 -10.94
0 H Powhatan ( 2-14, 77.0) 20- 8 -22.91 12.09 -0.61 0.87 10.01
0 A Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 12-14 -17.26 17.75 0.61 0.87 -14.51
0 H Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 7-12 -13.06 21.95 -0.61 0.87 -11.91
0 H Fluvanna Count ( 5- 9, 79.3) 11-10 -20.61 14.40 -0.61 0.87 12.02
0 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 4-13 -13.06 21.95 0.61 0.87 -10.85
------
-129.23
|
winning pts = 43.5798 losing points = -172.8078
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------