---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Orange County 1
  
Orange County         
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 79.7557

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Culpeper County ( 4-11, 75.7) 13- 2 321 H Riverbend ( 8- 9, 80.5) 8- 9 324 A Charlottesville ( 3-11, 78.8) 8- 9 328 A Liberty Bealeton ( 6- 6, 81.3) 9-10 415 A James Monroe (11- 3, 81.0) 9-15 418 A Fluvanna County ( 5- 9, 79.3) 10-11 422 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 11-14 425 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 6-17 429 H Charlottesville ( 3-11, 78.8) 9- 7 502 H Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 5-11 506 A Western Albemarle (14- 5, 86.7) 4-17 509 H Powhatan ( 2-14, 77.0) 20- 8 516 A Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 12-14 520 H Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 7-12 527 H Fluvanna County ( 5- 9, 79.3) 11-10 528 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 4-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Culpeper County        13- 2      11     3           1.58
   321 H Riverbend               8- 9      -1     0          -0.86
   324 A Charlottesville         8- 9      -1     0          -1.34
   328 A Liberty  Bealeton       9-10      -1    -2           1.17
   415 A James Monroe            9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.17
   418 A Fluvanna County        10-11      -1     0          -0.85
   422 H Goochland              11-14      -3    -2          -0.72
   425 A Monticello              6-17     -11    -8           0.00
   429 H Charlottesville         9- 7       2     2           0.44
   502 H Albemarle               5-11      -6    -4          -0.76
   506 A Western Albemarle       4-17     -13    -8           0.00
   509 H Powhatan               20- 8      12     3           1.63
   516 A Goochland              12-14      -2    -3           1.50
   520 H Monticello              7-12      -5    -6           0.00
   527 H Fluvanna County        11-10       1     1          -0.07
   528 A Monticello              4-13      -9    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A James Monroe            9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Orange County Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle Albemarle  
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Orange County   Orange County
Atlee Atlee insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Orange County   Orange County
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville Brentsville   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Briar Woods Briar Woods Briar Woods   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Brooke Point tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brooke Point
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Orange County insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 5) Orange County
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Orange County   Orange County
Clover Hill Orange County insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Orange County
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Orange County Orange County  
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Orange County Orange County   2- 4 vs 0- 5
EC Glass EC Glass tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) EC Glass
Edison Edison   Edison
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Falls Church   Falls Church
Fauquier Fauquier insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Fauquier
First Colonial Orange County   Orange County
Fishburne Military A Orange County   Orange County
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Orange County tied - ( 1- 6) ( 1- 5) Orange County
Forest Park Orange County   Orange County
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Orange County   Orange County
Fredericksburg Acade Orange County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orange County
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Orange County   Orange County
Glen Allen Glen Allen tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland Goochland  
Grafton LC Orange County   Orange County
Grassfield LC Grassfield LC   Grassfield LC
Green Run Orange County   Orange County
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hanover
Hayfield Hayfield   Hayfield
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Orange County   Orange County
Hidden Valley Orange County   Orange County
Highland School Highland School   Highland School
Highland Springs Orange County insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Orange County
Hylton Hylton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hylton
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe James Monroe  
James River James River tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   3- 0 vs 1- 3
John Champe John Champe   John Champe
Justice Orange County   Orange County
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Orange County   Orange County
Kettle Run Orange County tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) Orange County
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Orange County   Orange County
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Orange County   Orange County
Liberty Bealeton Liberty Bealeton Liberty Bealeton  
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Orange County   Orange County
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Loudoun Valley   Loudoun Valley
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Manchester tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Manchester
Marshall Marshall   Marshall
Massaponax Orange County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orange County
Matoaca Orange County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orange County
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Orange County insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orange County
Menchville LC Orange County   Orange County
Meridian Meridian Meridian   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Midlothian Midlothian insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Midlothian
Mills Godwin Orange County   Orange County
Monacan Monacan insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Monacan
Monticello Monticello Monticello  
Mount Vernon Orange County   Orange County
Mountain View Mountain View insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Norfolk Collegiate   Norfolk Collegiate
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Orange County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orange County
Northern VA Home Sch Orange County   Orange County
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Orange County   Orange County
Osbourn Orange County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orange County
Osbourn Park Orange County insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orange County
Park View Orange County insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orange County
Patrick Henry Ashla Orange County tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) Orange County
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Orange County   Orange County
Powhatan Orange County Orange County  
Princess Anne Orange County   Orange County
Riverbend Riverbend Riverbend  
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Orange County   Orange County
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem Salem   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Salem Virginia Beach Orange County   Orange County
Seton School Seton School   Seton School
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre St John Paul the Gre   St John Paul the Gre
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stafford
Steward School Orange County   Orange County
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Orange County   Orange County
Tandem Friends Orange County   Orange County
Thomas Dale Orange County   Orange County
Thomas Jefferson Orange County   Orange County
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Trinity Episcopal   Trinity Episcopal
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Orange County   Orange County
Unity Reed Orange County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orange County
Veritas School Orange County   Orange County
Virginia Academy Orange County   Orange County
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Wakefield HS   Wakefield HS
Wakefield School Orange County   Orange County
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle Western Albemarle  
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Orange County   Orange County
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC Orange County   Orange County
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 55


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Culpeper Count  ( 4-11, 75.7)    13- 2      -24.17      10.83       0.61         0.87             9.97
   0 H Riverbend       ( 8- 9, 80.5)     8- 9      -19.39      15.61      -0.61         0.87           -17.43
   0 A Charlottesvill  ( 3-11, 78.8)     8- 9      -21.10      13.90       0.61         0.87           -17.85
   0 A Liberty  Beale  ( 6- 6, 81.3)     9-10      -18.58      16.42       0.61         0.87           -15.66
   0 A James Monroe    (11- 3, 81.0)     9-15      -18.92      16.08       0.61         0.87           -15.96
   0 A Fluvanna Count  ( 5- 9, 79.3)    10-11      -20.61      14.40       0.61         0.87           -17.43
   0 H Goochland       (12- 5, 82.6)    11-14      -17.26      17.75      -0.61         0.87           -15.57
   0 A Monticello      (14- 3, 86.8)     6-17      -13.06      21.95       0.61         0.87           -10.85
   0 H Charlottesvill  ( 3-11, 78.8)     9- 7      -21.10      13.90      -0.61         0.87            11.59
   0 H Albemarle       ( 9- 7, 84.6)     5-11      -15.30      19.70      -0.61         0.87           -13.86
   0 A Western Albema  (14- 5, 86.7)     4-17      -13.16      21.84       0.61         0.87           -10.94
   0 H Powhatan        ( 2-14, 77.0)    20- 8      -22.91      12.09      -0.61         0.87            10.01
   0 A Goochland       (12- 5, 82.6)    12-14      -17.26      17.75       0.61         0.87           -14.51
   0 H Monticello      (14- 3, 86.8)     7-12      -13.06      21.95      -0.61         0.87           -11.91
   0 H Fluvanna Count  ( 5- 9, 79.3)    11-10      -20.61      14.40      -0.61         0.87            12.02
   0 A Monticello      (14- 3, 86.8)     4-13      -13.06      21.95       0.61         0.87           -10.85
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -129.23

winning pts = 43.5798 losing points = -172.8078

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------