Fayetteville
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 90.0232Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 216 H Springfield ( 3-11, 85.9) 14- 8 223 H Salt County LC ( 9- 6, 91.1) 6- 9 225 A Springdale United (13- 3, 96.2) 0-16 308 A Springfield ( 3-11, 85.9) 8- 3 313 A Bentonville (16- 0, 99.9) 1-19 315 A Little Rock Catholic ( 3-11, 86.8) 16-10 315 A Episcopal Collegiate ( 9- 6, 91.4) 2-14 405 H Little Rock Catholic ( 3-11, 86.8) 15- 3 408 A Rogers ( 0-14, 84.0) 12- 1 412 A Salt County LC ( 9- 6, 91.1) 6- 8 416 H Bentonville (16- 0, 99.9) 3-21 423 H Springdale United (13- 3, 96.2) 11-16 426 H Episcopal Collegiate ( 9- 6, 91.4) 11-12 430 H Rogers ( 0-14, 84.0) 15- 2
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
216 H Springfield 14- 8 6 4 0.51
223 H Salt County LC 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.29
225 A Springdale United 0-16 -16 -7 0.00
308 A Springfield 8- 3 5 4 1.24
313 A Bentonville 1-19 -18 -10 0.00
315 A Little Rock Catholic 16-10 6 3 + 2.15
315 A Episcopal Collegiate 2-14 -12 -2 - -3.30
405 H Little Rock Catholic 15- 3 12 4 1.42
408 A Rogers 12- 1 11 6 0.00
412 A Salt County LC 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.56
416 H Bentonville 3-21 -18 -10 0.00
423 H Springdale United 11-16 -5 -6 0.00
426 H Episcopal Collegiate 11-12 -1 -1 -0.03
430 H Rogers 15- 2 13 6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 H Salt County LC 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.29 315 A Episcopal Collegiate 2-14 -12 -2 - -3.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 A Little Rock Catholic 16-10 6 3 + 2.15 |
Fayetteville Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bentonville | Bentonville | Bentonville | ||
| Episcopal Collegiate | Episcopal Collegiate | Episcopal Collegiate | ||
| Little Rock Catholic | Fayetteville | Fayetteville | ||
| Rogers | Fayetteville | Fayetteville | ||
| Salt County LC | Salt County LC | Salt County LC | ||
| Springdale United | Springdale United | Springdale United | ||
| Springfield | Fayetteville | Fayetteville |
PowerWise = 3
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Springfield ( 3-11, 85.9) 14- 8 -14.00 1.33 -0.36 1.05 1.02
0 H Salt County LC ( 9- 6, 91.1) 6- 9 -8.80 6.53 -0.36 1.05 -9.65
0 A Springdale Uni (13- 3, 96.2) 0-16 -3.67 11.66 0.36 1.05 -3.48
0 A Springfield ( 3-11, 85.9) 8- 3 -14.00 1.33 0.36 1.05 1.78
0 A Bentonville (16- 0, 99.9) 1-19 -0.00 15.33 0.36 1.05 -0.38
0 A Little Rock Ca ( 3-11, 86.8) 16-10 -13.09 2.24 0.36 1.05 2.74
0 A Episcopal Coll ( 9- 6, 91.4) 2-14 -8.54 6.79 0.36 1.05 -8.61
0 H Little Rock Ca ( 3-11, 86.8) 15- 3 -13.09 2.24 -0.36 1.05 1.98
0 A Rogers ( 0-14, 84.0) 12- 1 -15.33 1.00 0.36 1.05 1.44
0 A Salt County LC ( 9- 6, 91.1) 6- 8 -8.80 6.53 0.36 1.05 -8.89
0 H Bentonville (16- 0, 99.9) 3-21 -0.00 15.33 -0.36 1.05 -0.38
0 H Springdale Uni (13- 3, 96.2) 11-16 -3.67 11.66 -0.36 1.05 -4.25
0 H Episcopal Coll ( 9- 6, 91.4) 11-12 -8.54 6.79 -0.36 1.05 -9.38
0 H Rogers ( 0-14, 84.0) 15- 2 -15.33 1.00 -0.36 1.05 0.67
------
-35.40
|
winning pts = 9.6292 losing points = -45.0284
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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