2022 NCAA Womens Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 22 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 4 42.00 2 Boston College Atlantic Coast 19 4 3 5 2 2 1 3 6 8.00 3 Maryland Big Ten 19 2 2 7 3 3 7 2 12 23.00 4 Northwestern Big Ten 16 5 5 1 4 4 3 5 12 6.00 5 Florida American 17 5 8 15 7 5 5 8 18 3.00 6 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 15 6 6 4 6 6 6 7 19 2.00 7 Stony Brook America East 16 3 4 18 8 7 9 6 22 11.00 8 Loyola Patriot League 20 2 7 36 5 8 14 4 26 2.00 9 Rutgers Big Ten 16 5 14 10 10 9 10 11 30 0.10 10 Princeton Ivy League 15 4 15 13 12 11 11 12 34 0.10 11 James Madison Colonial 14 5 12 14 14 12 12 13 37 0.10 12 Denver Big East 18 3 13 24 11 10 18 10 38 0.10 13 Duke Atlantic Coast 16 4 11 20 9 13 23 9 45 1.00 14 Virginia Atlantic Coast 10 10 17 3 21 14 4 27 45 0.10 15 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 16 4 23 58 15 19 15 14 48 0.10 16 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 10 9 21 9 30 16 13 30 59 0.10 17 Michigan Big Ten 11 7 18 11 18 18 22 20 60 0.10 18 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 9 10 10 6 33 20 8 33 61 1.00 19 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 14 5 9 46 13 15 32 15 62 0.10 20 UConn Big East 13 5 28 43 23 17 30 19 66 0.10 21 Temple American 11 6 36 44 28 22 29 26 77 0.10 22 St Josephs Atlantic 10 14 7 47 50 39 30 17 34 81 0.10 23 Ohio State Big Ten 9 7 26 23 31 23 31 29 83 0.10 24 Navy Patriot League 15 5 30 56 22 29 34 21 84 0.10 25 Arizona State Pac-12 11 8 22 12 27 28 19 38 85 0.10 26 Penn State Big Ten 6 9 20 8 48 25 16 45 86 0.10 27 USC Pac-12 13 5 16 25 20 21 42 23 86 0.10 28 Yale Ivy League 11 6 33 27 24 24 38 24 86 0.10 29 Mercer Big South 14 5 45 85 17 34 37 16 87 0.10 30 Stanford Pac-12 12 7 19 22 34 27 25 37 89 0.10 31 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 9 9 31 21 32 36 20 35 91 0.10 32 Vanderbilt American 11 7 38 38 38 26 35 31 92 0.10 33 Georgetown Big East 9 9 24 30 53 40 21 43 104 0.10 34 Army Patriot League 12 6 46 57 35 35 39 32 106 0.10 35 Richmond Atlantic 10 14 4 32 68 19 31 58 18 107 0.10 36 Vermont America East 14 5 39 61 25 32 55 22 109 0.10 37 Drexel Colonial 12 8 27 33 40 37 40 39 116 1.00 38 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 13 7 48 70 42 33 43 40 116 0.10 39 Davidson Atlantic 10 13 5 49 78 29 38 56 28 122 0.10 40 Pittsburgh Atlantic Coast 9 10 41 28 44 50 28 48 126 0.10 41 Liberty Atlantic Sun 11 8 43 52 41 44 41 42 127 0.10 42 Penn Ivy League 6 9 25 16 54 47 27 53 127 0.10 43 Louisville Atlantic Coast 7 11 29 17 64 42 24 64 130 0.10 44 High Point Big South 10 9 50 72 60 46 26 60 132 0.10 45 Colorado Pac-12 11 6 34 29 37 43 49 41 133 0.10 46 Mount St Marys Northeast 15 5 54 92 26 45 65 25 135 0.10 47 Albany America East 8 9 40 41 63 41 36 67 144 0.10 48 Towson Colonial 9 8 35 32 55 39 53 56 148 0.10 49 Harvard Ivy League 7 8 51 37 49 53 47 52 152 0.10 50 East Carolina American 9 9 66 66 57 58 45 51 154 0.10 51 Monmouth (NJ) Metro Atlantic 12 7 62 89 47 48 59 47 154 0.10 52 San Diego State MPSF 7 8 42 31 50 55 50 49 154 0.10 53 Hofstra Colonial 9 8 44 47 59 52 51 58 161 0.10 54 Cornell Ivy League 8 8 37 34 52 54 60 55 169 0.10 55 Lehigh Patriot League 9 9 63 59 62 57 52 62 171 0.10 56 Brown Ivy League 7 8 53 45 51 59 62 54 175 0.10 57 Furman Big South 8 8 101 87 58 62 57 59 178 0.10 58 Canisius Metro Atlantic 10 6 78 90 45 49 93 46 188 0.10 59 Dartmouth Ivy League 3 12 59 26 86 70 33 85 188 0.10 60 Siena Metro Atlantic 10 8 65 75 67 51 74 65 190 0.10 61 Villanova Big East 5 11 58 42 82 69 44 79 192 0.10 62 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 11 8 87 95 65 60 71 63 194 0.10 63 Binghamton America East 7 9 60 54 69 65 66 69 200 0.10 64 Delaware Colonial 5 12 67 39 91 67 48 91 206 0.10 65 Marquette WBig East 8 10 56 49 73 63 70 73 206 0.10 66 Bryant Northeast 12 5 57 104 36 64 108 36 208 0.10 67 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 11 7 75 96 43 73 92 44 209 0.10 68 Niagara Metro Atlantic 9 9 76 73 74 56 78 75 209 0.10 69 Wagner Northeast 8 10 77 91 79 68 63 81 212 0.10 70 UMBC America East 8 9 55 60 75 61 83 74 218 0.10 71 UC Davis MPSF 5 8 52 40 70 72 77 70 219 0.10 72 Cincinnati American 7 10 72 64 78 66 76 78 220 0.10 73 Central Michigan MAC 12 8 79 97 46 71 100 50 221 0.10 74 New Hampshire America East 7 8 82 69 66 74 86 66 226 0.10 75 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 6 11 68 67 85 84 67 86 237 0.10 76 Campbell Big South 10 7 81 110 56 75 106 57 238 0.10 77 Elon Colonial 5 11 74 51 89 77 75 87 239 0.10 78 Duquesne Atlantic 10 7 10 84 79 83 76 82 84 242 0.10 79 American Patriot League 9 9 71 86 71 79 95 71 245 0.10 80 Iona Metro Atlantic 9 7 83 99 61 78 107 61 246 0.10 81 Colgate Patriot League 6 12 89 65 96 82 69 96 247 0.10 82 William & Mary Colonial 4 12 85 48 92 83 73 92 248 0.10 83 Holy Cross Patriot League 6 10 70 71 81 85 84 83 252 0.10 84 Bucknell Patriot League 6 10 90 81 80 86 85 82 253 0.10 85 Gardner Webb Big South 10 9 96 107 72 87 94 72 253 0.10 86 Boston Universit Patriot League 2 15 93 55 111 99 46 110 255 0.10 87 Massachusetts-Lo America East 4 13 80 62 102 92 61 102 255 0.10 88 VCU Atlantic 10 7 10 86 80 84 88 89 80 257 0.10 89 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 6 10 73 83 87 80 91 88 259 0.10 90 Robert Morris MAC 9 9 98 109 76 81 101 77 259 0.10 91 California Pac-12 2 16 69 19 116 93 54 117 264 0.10 92 Oregon Pac-12 4 14 64 35 109 89 64 112 265 0.10 93 Stetson Atlantic Sun 4 11 104 88 90 95 80 90 265 0.10 94 George Washingto Atlantic 10 5 13 92 76 105 90 72 104 266 0.10 95 Butler Big East 7 9 88 84 77 91 103 76 270 0.10 96 La Salle Atlantic 10 5 12 100 82 100 94 81 99 274 0.10 97 Youngstown State MAC 10 8 106 117 68 97 112 68 277 0.10 98 George Mason Atlantic 10 3 14 97 77 113 102 68 111 281 0.10 99 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 13 95 74 110 96 79 109 284 0.10 100 Sacred Heart Northeast 6 10 94 105 88 100 96 89 285 0.10 101 Old Dominion American 5 12 91 93 97 101 88 97 286 0.10 102 Columbia Ivy League 2 13 102 53 107 98 90 105 293 0.10 103 Lafayette Patriot League 2 13 103 63 106 103 87 106 296 0.10 104 Wofford Big South 5 11 111 106 93 105 98 93 296 0.10 105 LIU Northeast 6 12 99 102 99 104 97 100 301 0.10 106 St Francis Northeast 1 5 11 113 118 95 110 111 95 316 0.10 107 Longwood Big South 6 11 108 113 94 108 116 94 318 0.10 108 Winthrop Big South 4 14 107 98 112 106 99 113 318 0.10 109 Central Connecti Northeast 2 12 116 108 103 111 105 103 319 0.10 110 Kent State MAC 6 12 110 114 98 107 115 98 320 0.10 111 Merrimack Northeast 4 12 105 100 101 109 113 101 323 0.10 112 Detroit Mercy MAC 2 13 112 101 104 114 109 107 330 0.10 113 Radford Big South 2 14 115 103 114 112 104 114 330 0.10 114 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 1 14 109 94 115 113 102 115 330 0.10 115 Delaware State Atlantic Sun 1 13 118 111 108 117 117 108 342 0.10 116 Presbyterian Big South 2 15 117 115 118 115 110 118 343 0.10 117 Akron MAC 2 15 114 116 117 116 114 116 346 0.10 118 Howard Northeast 1 16 119 112 119 118 118 119 355 0.10 119 Eastern Michigan 36 17 61 119 16 119 119 17 0 0.10