Conf = Liberty League Region = East Nickname = Y Herons Coach = Anne PhillipGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.9669037 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 226 H Oswego SUNYAC ( 6-11, 77.0) 11- 3 305 A Geneseo SUNYAC (14- 4, 86.0) 20- 6 312 H Nazareth Empire Eight ( 8-10, 78.5) 19- 5 316 H Brockport SUNYAC (11- 6, 84.1) 14-10 322 A Salisbury Coast to Coas (17- 3, 94.1) 6-18 325 A Clarkson Liberty Leagu (10- 6, 83.1) 15- 4 326 A St Lawrence Liberty Leagu (16- 3, 86.0) 13- 5 330 H St John Fisher Empire Eight (10- 9, 84.3) 16- 9 402 H Skidmore Liberty Leagu ( 4-11, 81.7) 18- 5 406 H RIT Liberty Leagu ( 5-10, 78.2) 22- 4 409 A Rochester Liberty Leagu ( 5- 9, 77.2) 19- 7 413 A Ithaca Liberty Leagu (17- 4, 91.9) 14-13 415 A Bard Liberty Leagu ( 2-13, 69.8) 22- 5 422 H Rensselaer Liberty Leagu (11- 5, 82.7) 15- 2 423 H Union Liberty Leagu ( 7-10, 83.9) 14- 8 430 H Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 4-11, 76.8) 24- 3 507 H Union Liberty Leagu ( 7-10, 83.9) 18- 8 508 H Ithaca Liberty Leagu (17- 4, 91.9) 12-11 515 H Messiah MAC Commonwea (13- 6, 86.3) 17-10 521 A Colby NESCAC (16- 4, 95.0) 11-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 H Oswego 11- 3 8 16 - -2.00 305 A Geneseo 20- 6 14 4 ++ 5.06 312 H Nazareth 19- 5 14 14 0.00 316 H Brockport 14-10 4 8 -- -4.94 322 A Salisbury 6-18 -12 -3 --- -6.80 325 A Clarkson 15- 4 11 7 + 2.21 326 A St Lawrence 13- 5 8 4 + 3.11 330 H St John Fisher 16- 9 7 8 -1.73 402 H Skidmore 18- 5 13 11 0.00 406 H RIT 22- 4 18 14 0.00 409 A Rochester 19- 7 12 13 0.00 413 A Ithaca 14-13 1 -1 + 2.00 415 A Bard 22- 5 17 21 0.00 422 H Rensselaer 15- 2 13 10 0.00 423 H Union 14- 8 6 9 - -3.11 430 H Vassar 24- 3 21 16 0.00 507 H Union 18- 8 10 9 0.89 508 H Ithaca 12-11 1 1 -0.09 515 H Messiah 17-10 7 6 0.29 521 A Colby 11-13 -2 -4 + 2.11UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Salisbury 6-18 -12 -3 --- -6.80 316 H Brockport 14-10 4 8 -- -4.94 226 H Oswego 11- 3 8 16 - -2.00 423 H Union 14- 8 6 9 - -3.11OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 A Geneseo 20- 6 14 4 ++ 5.06 325 A Clarkson 15- 4 11 7 + 2.21 326 A St Lawrence 13- 5 8 4 + 3.11 413 A Ithaca 14-13 1 -1 + 2.00 521 A Colby 11-13 -2 -4 + 2.11/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.97 Local Power Rank........... 9 Local SOS Rating......... 64.62 Local SOS Rank............. 22 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 16.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 8.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 17.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0