Conf = MASCAC Region = New England Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Kelly DownsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 73.4798965 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 223 H Smith College NEWMAC ( 8- 9, 71.5) 12- 4 302 H Emmanuel (MA) Great Northea (10- 7, 69.7) 14- 7 305 H Western Connecticut Little East (16- 4, 80.5) 6-10 310 A Johnson & Wales Independent D (14- 6, 74.0) 14-12 314 A Redlands SCIAC ( 6-10, 73.8) 11-17 316 A Chapman SCIAC (11- 6, 79.6) 4-14 322 A Western New England Comm. Coast (12- 7, 78.1) 7-14 324 H Keene State Little East ( 7-10, 72.3) 14-10 330 A Wheaton NEWMAC (10- 8, 77.8) 9-15 402 H MCLA MASCAC ( 1-11, 52.5) 19- 1 405 A Wellesley NEWMAC ( 4-11, 68.3) 12-10 408 A Massachusetts Maritime MASCAC ( 9- 9, 66.1) 16- 7 416 H Salem State Little East ( 6- 9, 66.2) 13- 6 420 H Framingham State MASCAC (10- 8, 79.3) 10-17 423 A Fitchburg State MASCAC ( 6-11, 63.2) 16- 8 426 A Westfield State MASCAC (12- 6, 80.3) 8-18 430 A Bridgewater State MASCAC (10- 9, 74.4) 10- 9 503 H Massachusetts Maritime MASCAC ( 9- 9, 66.1) 15- 5 505 A Framingham State MASCAC (10- 8, 79.3) 11-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 H Smith College 12- 4 8 3 ++ 4.94 302 H Emmanuel (MA) 14- 7 7 4 + 2.13 305 H Western Connecticut 6-10 -4 -5 1.95 310 A Johnson & Wales 14-12 2 -1 + 3.54 314 A Redlands 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.60 316 A Chapman 4-14 -10 -7 - -2.85 322 A Western New England 7-14 -7 -5 -1.33 324 H Keene State 14-10 4 2 1.76 330 A Wheaton 9-15 -6 -5 -0.62 402 H MCLA 19- 1 18 21 0.00 405 A Wellesley 12-10 2 4 - -2.09 408 A Massachusetts Maritime 16- 7 9 6 + 2.71 416 H Salem State 13- 6 7 8 -1.37 420 H Framingham State 10-17 -7 -4 - -2.27 423 A Fitchburg State 16- 8 8 9 -1.22 426 A Westfield State 8-18 -10 -7 - -2.10 430 A Bridgewater State 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.97 503 H Massachusetts Maritime 15- 5 10 8 1.61 505 A Framingham State 11-17 -6 -6 0.82UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Redlands 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.60 316 A Chapman 4-14 -10 -7 - -2.85 405 A Wellesley 12-10 2 4 - -2.09 420 H Framingham State 10-17 -7 -4 - -2.27 426 A Westfield State 8-18 -10 -7 - -2.10OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 H Smith College 12- 4 8 3 ++ 4.94 302 H Emmanuel (MA) 14- 7 7 4 + 2.13 310 A Johnson & Wales 14-12 2 -1 + 3.54 408 A Massachusetts Maritime 16- 7 9 6 + 2.71 430 A Bridgewater State 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.97/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 73.48 Local Power Rank........... 120 Local SOS Rating......... 45.19 Local SOS Rank............. 130 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 100 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 287 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 156 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7