Conf = MAC                        Region = Northeast              
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Katrina Silv          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.8668823    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 212 A Ohio State             Big Ten       ( 9- 7, 89.1)     5-17   
 219 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti (10- 6, 80.6)    11-16   
 223 H Detroit Mercy          MAC           ( 2-13, 71.0)    17- 9   
 226 A Bucknell               Patriot Leagu ( 6-10, 78.7)     6-17   
 302 A Kent State             MAC           ( 6-12, 71.8)    11- 8   
 305 A Liberty                Atlantic Sun  (11- 8, 86.3)     5-18   
 309 A Akron                  MAC           ( 2-15, 70.4)    10- 6   
 316 H Central Michigan       MAC           (12- 8, 80.5)    17-16   
 319 A UMBC                   America East  ( 8- 9, 84.3)    15-25   
 323 A Youngstown State       MAC           (10- 8, 74.9)    18- 7   
 327 H Cincinnati             American      ( 7-10, 80.9)     8-12   
 402 A Detroit Mercy          MAC           ( 2-13, 71.0)    13- 8   
 409 H Kent State             MAC           ( 6-12, 71.8)    15- 6   
 416 H Akron                  MAC           ( 2-15, 70.4)    12- 4   
 423 A Central Michigan       MAC           (12- 8, 80.5)    11-12   
 430 H Youngstown State       MAC           (10- 8, 74.9)    17-19   
 505 H Youngstown State       MAC           (10- 8, 74.9)    22-14   
 507 A Central Michigan       MAC           (12- 8, 80.5)    10-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 A Ohio State              5-17     -12   -13           0.00
   219 H Canisius               11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.34
   223 H Detroit Mercy          17- 9       8     6           1.11
   226 A Bucknell                6-17     -11    -2    ---   -7.07
   302 A Kent State             11- 8       3     4          -1.04
   305 A Liberty                 5-18     -13   -10           0.00
   309 A Akron                  10- 6       4     5          -1.39
   316 H Central Michigan       17-16       1    -2    +      3.55
   319 A UMBC                   15-25     -10    -8          -1.49
   323 A Youngstown State       18- 7      11     0    +++    9.07
   327 H Cincinnati              8-12      -4    -2          -1.02
   402 A Detroit Mercy          13- 8       5     4           0.21
   409 H Kent State             15- 6       9     6    +      2.87
   416 H Akron                  12- 4       8     7           0.51
   423 A Central Michigan       11-12      -1    -4    +      3.64
   430 H Youngstown State       17-19      -2     3    --    -5.02
   505 H Youngstown State       22-14       8     3    ++     4.98
   507 A Central Michigan       10-20     -10    -4    --    -5.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Bucknell                6-17     -11    -2    ---   -7.07
   430 H Youngstown State       17-19      -2     3    --    -5.02
   507 A Central Michigan       10-20     -10    -4    --    -5.36
   219 H Canisius               11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Youngstown State       18- 7      11     0    +++    9.07
   505 H Youngstown State       22-14       8     3    ++     4.98
   316 H Central Michigan       17-16       1    -2    +      3.55
   409 H Kent State             15- 6       9     6    +      2.87
   423 A Central Michigan       11-12      -1    -4    +      3.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.87 Local Power Rank...........    98
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.17 Local SOS Rank.............   109
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    81
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    89
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    76
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/