Conf = Big South Region = South Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Elaine JonesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 72.2126770 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 212 A UMBC America East ( 8- 9, 84.3) 3-21 219 A Delaware State Atlantic Sun ( 1-13, 64.6) 15- 7 226 H Old Dominion American ( 5-12, 78.2) 6-15 302 H VCU Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 79.5) 8-15 306 H Howard Northeast ( 1-16, 62.1) 21-10 313 H St Francis Northeast ( 5-11, 70.5) 17- 5 319 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 5-13, 78.1) 4-14 323 A William & Mary Colonial ( 4-12, 79.5) 10-19 330 H Radford Big South ( 2-14, 69.8) 13- 8 402 A Presbyterian Big South ( 2-15, 67.8) 15- 8 406 H Furman Big South ( 8- 8, 76.1) 10-15 409 H Campbell Big South (10- 7, 80.2) 10-17 413 A High Point Big South (10- 9, 85.2) 7-19 416 A Mercer Big South (14- 5, 86.0) 7-20 420 H Wofford Big South ( 5-11, 71.5) 6-11 423 A Gardner Webb Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 11-15 427 H Winthrop Big South ( 4-14, 73.1) 14-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 A UMBC 3-21 -18 -13 0.00 219 A Delaware State 15- 7 8 6 1.46 226 H Old Dominion 6-15 -9 -4 -- -4.05 302 H VCU 8-15 -7 -6 -0.77 306 H Howard 21-10 11 11 0.00 313 H St Francis 17- 5 12 2 +++ 7.29 319 A George Washington 4-14 -10 -6 - -3.06 323 A William & Mary 10-19 -9 -8 -0.63 330 H Radford 13- 8 5 3 1.55 402 A Presbyterian 15- 8 7 3 + 3.64 406 H Furman 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.12 409 H Campbell 10-17 -7 -6 -0.09 413 A High Point 7-19 -12 -14 0.00 416 A Mercer 7-20 -13 -14 0.00 420 H Wofford 6-11 -5 1 --- -6.73 423 A Gardner Webb 11-15 -4 -5 1.84 427 H Winthrop 14-13 1 0 0.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 H Wofford 6-11 -5 1 --- -6.73 226 H Old Dominion 6-15 -9 -4 -- -4.05 319 A George Washington 4-14 -10 -6 - -3.06 406 H Furman 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.12OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H St Francis 17- 5 12 2 +++ 7.29 402 A Presbyterian 15- 8 7 3 + 3.64/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 72.21 Local Power Rank........... 108 Local SOS Rating......... 50.30 Local SOS Rank............. 113 Local RPI Rating......... 0.35 Local RPI Rank............. 108 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 66 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 94 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 13.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7