Conf = Atlantic Sun Region = South Nickname = A Flames Coach = Kelly NangleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.3177719 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 212 A Vanderbilt American (11- 7, 86.8) 13-18 219 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 4, 87.9) 12-13 223 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 88.0) 15-14 302 H Old Dominion American ( 5-12, 78.2) 18- 7 305 H Robert Morris MAC ( 9- 9, 76.9) 18- 5 309 H Florida American (17- 5, 94.6) 6-14 311 A UC Davis MPSF ( 5- 8, 85.1) 11-12 313 A California Pac-12 ( 2-16, 81.4) 17-13 320 A Cincinnati American ( 7-10, 80.9) 16-12 326 H High Point Big South (10- 9, 85.2) 11-10 329 H Duke Atlantic Coas (16- 4, 93.4) 7- 8 402 H Delaware State Atlantic Sun ( 1-13, 64.6) 22- 5 409 H Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 4-11, 75.2) 22- 9 413 A James Madison Colonial (14- 5, 92.9) 3-22 416 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun ( 6-11, 81.7) 18-11 423 H Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (14- 5, 94.1) 7-20 430 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun (11- 7, 80.6) 16- 7 505 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun (11- 7, 80.6) 21- 6 507 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (14- 5, 94.1) 12-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 A Vanderbilt 13-18 -5 -1 - -3.50 219 H Richmond 12-13 -1 0 -0.42 223 A Virginia Tech 15-14 1 -2 + 3.76 302 H Old Dominion 18- 7 11 9 0.84 305 H Robert Morris 18- 5 13 10 0.00 309 H Florida 6-14 -8 -7 -0.81 311 A UC Davis 11-12 -1 0 -1.20 313 A California 17-13 4 3 0.12 320 A Cincinnati 16-12 4 4 -0.38 326 H High Point 11-10 1 2 -1.16 329 H Duke 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.03 402 H Delaware State 22- 5 17 22 0.00 409 H Stetson 22- 9 13 12 0.00 413 A James Madison 3-22 -19 -7 - -2.41 416 A Coastal Carolina 18-11 7 3 + 3.39 423 H Jacksonville 7-20 -13 -6 - -3.29 430 A Kennesaw State 16- 7 9 4 ++ 4.34 505 H Kennesaw State 21- 6 15 6 + 3.25 507 A Jacksonville 12-20 -8 -8 0.81UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 A Vanderbilt 13-18 -5 -1 - -3.50 413 A James Madison 3-22 -19 -7 - -2.41 423 H Jacksonville 7-20 -13 -6 - -3.29OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Duke 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.03 430 A Kennesaw State 16- 7 9 4 ++ 4.34 223 A Virginia Tech 15-14 1 -2 + 3.76 416 A Coastal Carolina 18-11 7 3 + 3.39 505 H Kennesaw State 21- 6 15 6 + 3.25/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.32 Local Power Rank........... 43 Local SOS Rating......... 66.28 Local SOS Rank............. 52 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 44 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 64 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 41 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.3