Conf = MIAA Region = West Nickname = I Hornets Coach = Jessica SmitGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 64.7242737 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 H Ohio Northern Ohio ( 7-10, 68.8) 11-10 224 A Cleary WHAC ( 2-10, 73.8) 19- 8 304 A Aquinas WHAC (12- 7, 87.9) 18-19 306 H Earlham Heartland ( 3-10, 52.1) 16- 2 312 A Concordia-Chicago Midwest ( 8- 6, 65.0) 8- 6 319 A Hanover Heartland ( 9- 7, 61.6) 9-10 321 A Pfeiffer USA South Atl ( 5-11, 60.9) 12-13 323 A Guilford Old Dominion ( 5-12, 60.0) 12- 6 327 H Concordia-Wisconsin Midwest ( 2-10, 54.7) 18- 6 403 H Mt Union Ohio (12- 5, 77.4) 7-17 409 A Adrian MIAA ( 3-12, 60.1) 12-11 413 A Calvin MIAA ( 7- 8, 72.4) 4-19 416 H Trine MIAA (11- 5, 73.2) 11-18 419 A St Marys (IN) MIAA (11- 7, 71.3) 15-23 423 H Albion MIAA (13- 4, 74.1) 10-20 427 A Alma MIAA (10- 6, 65.6) 15-14 430 H Hope MIAA (10- 7, 73.6) 11-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Ohio Northern 11-10 1 -3 ++ 4.07 224 A Cleary 19- 8 11 -9 n/a 304 A Aquinas 18-19 -1 -24 n/a 306 H Earlham 16- 2 14 13 0.00 312 A Concordia-Chicago 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.33 319 A Hanover 9-10 -1 2 - -3.03 321 A Pfeiffer 12-13 -1 2 - -3.83 323 A Guilford 12- 6 6 3 + 2.30 327 H Concordia-Wisconsin 18- 6 12 11 0.00 403 H Mt Union 7-17 -10 -11 0.00 409 A Adrian 12-11 1 3 - -2.62 413 A Calvin 4-19 -15 -8 -1.28 416 H Trine 11-18 -7 -7 0.48 419 A St Marys (IN) 15-23 -8 -7 -0.41 423 H Albion 10-20 -10 -8 -1.63 427 A Alma 15-14 1 -1 + 2.91 430 H Hope 11-17 -6 -7 1.83UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Cleary 19- 8 304 A Aquinas 18-19 224 A Cleary 19- 8 304 A Aquinas 18-19 224 A Cleary 19- 8 304 A Aquinas 18-19 319 A Hanover 9-10 -1 2 - -3.03 321 A Pfeiffer 12-13 -1 2 - -3.83 409 A Adrian 12-11 1 3 - -2.62OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Cleary 19- 8 304 A Aquinas 18-19 220 H Ohio Northern 11-10 1 -3 ++ 4.07 224 A Cleary 19- 8 304 A Aquinas 18-19 224 A Cleary 19- 8 304 A Aquinas 18-19 312 A Concordia-Chicago 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.33 323 A Guilford 12- 6 6 3 + 2.30 427 A Alma 15-14 1 -1 + 2.91/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 64.72 Local Power Rank........... 193 Local SOS Rating......... 36.29 Local SOS Rank............. 208 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 166 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 128 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 170 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.0