Conf = Big East Region = Mid-Atlanti Nickname = C Hoyas Coach = Ricky FriedGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.3253250 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 212 A American Patriot Leagu ( 9- 9, 81.0) 20- 8 219 H Rutgers Big Ten (16- 5, 92.7) 16-17 302 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (10- 9, 90.2) 10-16 305 H Delaware Colonial ( 5-12, 81.8) 16- 6 309 H Loyola Patriot Leagu (20- 2, 95.1) 6-16 312 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 5-13, 78.1) 19- 3 316 A George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 77.0) 21- 5 319 H Penn Ivy League ( 6- 9, 89.3) 7-10 323 A Navy Patriot Leagu (15- 5, 88.1) 13-12 326 A Towson Colonial ( 9- 8, 87.6) 7-11 330 H Maryland Big Ten (19- 2, 98.7) 3-15 402 A Villanova Big East ( 5-11, 84.1) 13-11 409 A Butler Big East ( 7- 9, 79.3) 17- 7 415 H Denver Big East (18- 3, 92.8) 12-14 424 A Marquette WBig East ( 8-10, 84.3) 12-14 429 H UConn Big East (13- 5, 88.7) 22-12 505 A Marquette WBig East ( 8-10, 84.3) 17-13 507 A Denver Big East (18- 3, 92.8) 15-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 A American 20- 8 12 7 + 2.69 219 H Rutgers 16-17 -1 -2 1.32 302 A Johns Hopkins 10-16 -6 -1 -- -4.09 305 H Delaware 16- 6 10 8 1.38 309 H Loyola 6-16 -10 -4 -- -5.26 312 H George Washington 19- 3 16 12 0.00 316 A George Mason 21- 5 16 11 0.00 319 H Penn 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.10 323 A Navy 13-12 1 0 0.79 326 A Towson 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.66 330 H Maryland 3-15 -12 -8 -1.68 402 A Villanova 13-11 2 4 - -2.20 409 A Butler 17- 7 10 8 1.03 415 H Denver 12-14 -2 -2 0.44 424 A Marquette 12-14 -2 4 --- -6.01 429 H UConn 22-12 10 1 +++ 8.36 505 A Marquette 17-13 4 4 -0.01 507 A Denver 15-16 -1 -4 + 3.53UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Marquette 12-14 -2 4 --- -6.01 302 A Johns Hopkins 10-16 -6 -1 -- -4.09 309 H Loyola 6-16 -10 -4 -- -5.26 319 H Penn 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.10 326 A Towson 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.66 402 A Villanova 13-11 2 4 - -2.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H UConn 22-12 10 1 +++ 8.36 212 A American 20- 8 12 7 + 2.69 507 A Denver 15-16 -1 -4 + 3.53/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.33 Local Power Rank........... 24 Local SOS Rating......... 71.20 Local SOS Rank............. 30 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 40 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 47 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 53 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 12.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 12.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3