Conf = Colonial                   Region = South                  
   Nickname = A Dragons              Coach  =   Jill Batchel          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0066071    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 212 H Wagner                 Northeast     ( 8-10, 80.6)    18- 7   
 216 H Penn State             Big Ten       ( 6- 9, 91.0)    12- 8   
 220 H Lafayette              Patriot Leagu ( 2-13, 75.2)    16- 4   
 301 H Navy                   Patriot Leagu (15- 5, 88.1)     6-13   
 306 A Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       (10- 9, 90.2)     6-11   
 309 H Penn                   Ivy League    ( 6- 9, 89.3)     8- 9   
 311 A Albany                 America East  ( 8- 9, 86.5)    20-13   
 320 H Florida                American      (17- 5, 94.6)     9-10   
 323 A San Diego State        MPSF          ( 7- 8, 86.3)    15-14   
 325 H Denver                 Big East      (18- 3, 92.8)     4-10   
 330 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 5-12, 81.8)    20- 6   
 402 A William & Mary         Colonial      ( 4-12, 79.5)    21-10   
 409 A Towson                 Colonial      ( 9- 8, 87.6)    15-16   
 413 H Hofstra                Colonial      ( 9- 8, 86.0)    18- 7   
 423 A Elon                   Colonial      ( 5-11, 80.8)    14-13   
 426 A Dartmouth              Ivy League    ( 3-12, 83.7)    15- 6   
 430 H James Madison          Colonial      (14- 5, 92.9)    12-18   
 506 H Hofstra                Colonial      ( 9- 8, 86.0)    14-10   
 508 H Towson                 Colonial      ( 9- 8, 87.6)    11-10   
 513 A Stony Brook            America East  (16- 3, 96.9)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 H Wagner                 18- 7      11     9           0.54
   216 H Penn State             12- 8       4     0    ++     4.97
   220 H Lafayette              16- 4      12    14           0.00
   301 H Navy                    6-13      -7     1    ---   -8.98
   306 A Johns Hopkins           6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.77
   309 H Penn                    8- 9      -1     0          -1.78
   311 A Albany                 20-13       7     1    ++     5.55
   320 H Florida                 9-10      -1    -4    +      3.50
   323 A San Diego State        15-14       1     1          -0.63
   325 H Denver                  4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.25
   330 H Delaware               20- 6      14     8           1.70
   402 A William & Mary         21-10      11     8           1.58
   409 A Towson                 15-16      -1     0          -1.34
   413 H Hofstra                18- 7      11     4    ++     5.96
   423 A Elon                   14-13       1     7    ---   -6.16
   426 A Dartmouth              15- 6       9     4    ++     4.72
   430 H James Madison          12-18      -6    -2    -     -3.20
   506 H Hofstra                14-10       4     4          -0.04
   508 H Towson                 11-10       1     2          -1.44
   513 A Stony Brook             4-16     -12    -8          -1.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Navy                    6-13      -7     1    ---   -8.98
   423 A Elon                   14-13       1     7    ---   -6.16
   306 A Johns Hopkins           6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.77
   325 H Denver                  4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.25
   430 H James Madison          12-18      -6    -2    -     -3.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Penn State             12- 8       4     0    ++     4.97
   311 A Albany                 20-13       7     1    ++     5.55
   413 H Hofstra                18- 7      11     4    ++     5.96
   426 A Dartmouth              15- 6       9     4    ++     4.72
   320 H Florida                 9-10      -1    -4    +      3.50
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.01 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.82 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/