Conf = Colonial Region = South Nickname = A Dragons Coach = Jill BatchelGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.0066071 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 212 H Wagner Northeast ( 8-10, 80.6) 18- 7 216 H Penn State Big Ten ( 6- 9, 91.0) 12- 8 220 H Lafayette Patriot Leagu ( 2-13, 75.2) 16- 4 301 H Navy Patriot Leagu (15- 5, 88.1) 6-13 306 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (10- 9, 90.2) 6-11 309 H Penn Ivy League ( 6- 9, 89.3) 8- 9 311 A Albany America East ( 8- 9, 86.5) 20-13 320 H Florida American (17- 5, 94.6) 9-10 323 A San Diego State MPSF ( 7- 8, 86.3) 15-14 325 H Denver Big East (18- 3, 92.8) 4-10 330 H Delaware Colonial ( 5-12, 81.8) 20- 6 402 A William & Mary Colonial ( 4-12, 79.5) 21-10 409 A Towson Colonial ( 9- 8, 87.6) 15-16 413 H Hofstra Colonial ( 9- 8, 86.0) 18- 7 423 A Elon Colonial ( 5-11, 80.8) 14-13 426 A Dartmouth Ivy League ( 3-12, 83.7) 15- 6 430 H James Madison Colonial (14- 5, 92.9) 12-18 506 H Hofstra Colonial ( 9- 8, 86.0) 14-10 508 H Towson Colonial ( 9- 8, 87.6) 11-10 513 A Stony Brook America East (16- 3, 96.9) 4-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 H Wagner 18- 7 11 9 0.54 216 H Penn State 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.97 220 H Lafayette 16- 4 12 14 0.00 301 H Navy 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.98 306 A Johns Hopkins 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.77 309 H Penn 8- 9 -1 0 -1.78 311 A Albany 20-13 7 1 ++ 5.55 320 H Florida 9-10 -1 -4 + 3.50 323 A San Diego State 15-14 1 1 -0.63 325 H Denver 4-10 -6 -2 - -3.25 330 H Delaware 20- 6 14 8 1.70 402 A William & Mary 21-10 11 8 1.58 409 A Towson 15-16 -1 0 -1.34 413 H Hofstra 18- 7 11 4 ++ 5.96 423 A Elon 14-13 1 7 --- -6.16 426 A Dartmouth 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.72 430 H James Madison 12-18 -6 -2 - -3.20 506 H Hofstra 14-10 4 4 -0.04 508 H Towson 11-10 1 2 -1.44 513 A Stony Brook 4-16 -12 -8 -1.11UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Navy 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.98 423 A Elon 14-13 1 7 --- -6.16 306 A Johns Hopkins 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.77 325 H Denver 4-10 -6 -2 - -3.25 430 H James Madison 12-18 -6 -2 - -3.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 H Penn State 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.97 311 A Albany 20-13 7 1 ++ 5.55 413 H Hofstra 18- 7 11 4 ++ 5.96 426 A Dartmouth 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.72 320 H Florida 9-10 -1 -4 + 3.50/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.01 Local Power Rank........... 27 Local SOS Rating......... 70.82 Local SOS Rank............. 33 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 37 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 40 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3